Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -9.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 96.8

Total Profit: -3.3

U.S. OPEN

16/06/2022 - 19/06/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 10 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.6% 3.13% -4.46% T37
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 11 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.96% 2.24% -4.72% T5
3 USA Scottie Scheffler 14 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.57% 3.52% -2.05% T2
4 ESP Jon Rahm 16 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.92% 1.96% -2.96% T12
5 AUS Cameron Smith 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.63% 2.76% -0.87% MC
6 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.21% 2.34% -0.88% T14
7 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.21% 1.53% -1.68% T14
8 USA Will Zalatoris 28 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.88% 2.56% -0.32% T2 (tied w/2) 12.29 +40.6
9 USA Jordan Spieth 28 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.88% 2.27% -0.61% T37
10 USA Collin Morikawa 28 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.88% 1.17% -1.71% T5
11 USA Sam Burns 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.7% 2.09% -0.6% T27 11.5
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.7% 1.91% -0.78% 1
13 CHI Joaquin Niemann 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.7% 1.78% -0.92% T47
14 USA Tony Finau 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.7% 1.22% -1.48% MC
15 IRL Shane Lowry 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.32% 1.8% -0.52% MC 9.9
16 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.32% 1.53% -0.8% MC
17 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.32% 1.42% -0.9% 4
18 NOR Viktor Hovland 40 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.04% 1.28% -0.75% MC
19 USA Dustin Johnson 40 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.04% 0.58% -1.46% T24
20 USA Cameron Young 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.82% 2.11% 0.29% MC 7.75
21 USA Max Homa 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.64% 2.27% 0.64% T47 6.99
22 CAN Corey Conners 55 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.49% 1.6% 0.11% MC 6.37
23 ENG Justin Rose 55 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.49% 0.6% -0.89% T37
24 USA Harold Varner III 66 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% 0.73% -0.52% MC 5.32
25 USA Billy Horschel 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.21% 1.73% 0.52% MC 5.17
26 USA Daniel Berger 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.13% 1.18% 0.05% MC 4.82
27 USA Keegan Bradley 75 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.1% 0.96% -0.14% T7 (tied w/3) 4.69 +37.5
28 USA Brooks Koepka 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.07% 0.44% -0.64% 55
29 USA Davis Riley 80 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.04% 0.01% T31 4.4
30 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 0.98% -0.05% T12 (tied w/2) 4.4 +18.7
31 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.01% 1.38% 0.37% MC 4.3
32 USA Aaron Wise 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.97% 0.15% T27 3.53
33 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% 0.4% -0.31% MC 3.02
34 USA Talor Gooch 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 1.02% 0.36% MC 2.81
35 MEX Abraham Ancer 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.77% 0.12% 2.81
36 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% 1.62% 1.01% T56
37 USA Webb Simpson 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% 0.39% -0.14% MC
38 USA Russell Henley 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 0.8% 0.32% MC
39 USA Patrick Reed 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 0.55% 0.08% T49
40 USA Bryson DeChambeau 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 0.17% -0.31% T56
41 AUS Adam Scott 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.67% 0.25% T14
42 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.96% 0.55% T37
43 CAN Adam Hadwin 200 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.94% 0.52% T7
44 COL Sebastian Munoz 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 1.04% 0.65% T14
45 KOR Siwoo Kim 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 1.1% 0.73% MC
46 USA Jason Kokrak 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.8% 0.43% MC
47 USA Gary Woodland 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.78% 0.45% T10
48 USA Brian Harman 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.92% 0.61% T43
49 ESP Sergio Garcia 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.73% 0.41% MC
50 USA Luke List 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.79% 0.51% MC
51 NZL Ryan Fox 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.74% 0.46% MC
52 AUS Marc Leishman 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% T14
53 USA Tom Hoge 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 1.15% 0.89% MC
54 SWE Alexander Noren 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 1.03% 0.78% MC
55 USA Taylor Montgomery 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 1.04% 0.8% MC
56 AUT Sepp Straka 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.82% 0.58% MC
57 BEL Thomas Pieters 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.7% 0.47% T27
58 USA Nick Hardy 400 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.17% -0.04% T14
59 USA Kevin Na 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.88% 0.68% MC
60 ITA Francesco Molinari 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.69% 0.49% MC
61 AUS Lucas Herbert 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.64% 0.44% MC
62 USA Phil Mickelson 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.17% -0.03% MC
63 USA Lanto Griffin 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.74% 0.55% MC
64 USA Mackenzie Hughes 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% T24
65 FRA Victor Perez 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.77% 0.59% MC
66 ENG Sam Horsfield 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.72% 0.54% MC
67 USA Stewart Cink 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
68 ESP Adria Arnaus 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.77% 0.59% MC
69 USA Cameron Tringale 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.59% 0.41% T14
70 USA Kevin Kisner 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 1.57% 1.4% MC
71 USA Denny McCarthy 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 1.03% 0.86% T7
72 RSA Erik van Rooyen 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
73 RSA Branden Grace 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
74 USA Wyndham Clark 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.52% 0.38% MC
75 USA Beau Hossler 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.55% 0.41% T53
76 USA Matthew NeSmith 616 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.9/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.56% 0.42% T37
77 USA Harris English 616 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.9/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.18% 0.05% T61
78 USA Scott Stallings 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.52% 0.39% MC
79 USA Joel Dahmen 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% T10
80 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.45% 0.33% MC
81 FIN Kalle Samooja 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.75% 0.64% MC
82 USA Chase Seiffert 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
83 RSA MJ Daffue 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.08% -0.03% T31
84 NZL Danny Lee 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% MC
85 USA Patrick Rodgers 812 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.6/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% T31
86 USA Kurt Kitayama 852 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 94.9/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.4% 0.31% MC
87 USA Troy Merritt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.71% 0.63% MC
88 RSA Shaun Norris 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.65% 0.56% MC
89 USA Andrew Putnam 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.52% 0.43% T31
90 CAN Nick Taylor 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% MC
91 GER Marcel Schneider 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
92 ENG Richard Bland 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.33% T43
93 ENG Richard Mansell 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% MC
94 NED Wil Besseling 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% T56
95 USA Adam Schenk 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.25% T24
96 AUS Minwoo Lee 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T27
97 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T53
98 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
99 USA Joseph Bramlett 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T37
100 USA Kevin Chappell 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
101 KOR Tom Kim 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% 23
102 USA Sean Crocker 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.09% MC
103 ENG Harry Hall 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.08% -0.01% MC
104 ITA Guido Migliozzi 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% T14
105 GER Yannik Paul 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.23% MC
106 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% MC
107 USA Brian Stuard 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.19% MC
108 USA Grayson Murray 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% 63
109 USA Andrew Novak 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.15% MC
110 SWE David Lingmerth 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.08% T49
111 ENG Callum Tarren 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% T31
112 USA Hayden Buckley 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% T14
113 USA Chan Kim 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.01% MC
114 USA Stewart Hagestad 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0% 64
115 USA Brandon Matthews 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% 0% 60
116 CAN Benjamin Silverman 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% 0% MC
117 JPN Jinichiro Kozuma 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% -0.01% MC
118 USA Erik Barnes 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% -0.01% MC
119 USA Michael D. Smith(Dec1985) 1000 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% -0.01%
120 USA Samuel Stevens 1000 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% T49
121 USA Bo Hoag 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.03% MC
122 CAN Roger Sloan 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.07% 0.1% 0.04% MC
123 SWE Jonas Blixt 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.12% 0.07% MC
124 USA Chris Naegel 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.08% 0.02% T56
125 USA James Piot 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.07% MC
126 ENG Laird Shepherd 2000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.09% 0.04% MC
127 USA Austin Greaser 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.09% 0.04% T61
128 USA Sam Bennett 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% T49
129 AUS Jediah Morgan 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% MC
130 AUS Todd Sinnott 2000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.03% T31
131 JPN Daijiro Izumida 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.03% MC
132 JPN Tomoyasu Sugiyama 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.03% MC
133 USA Isaiah Salinda 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.03% MC
134 USA Davis Shore 2000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.03% MC
135 USA Luke Gannon 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.03% MC
136 USA Jim Furyk 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.16% MC
137 USA Jesse Mueller 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
138 USA Fran Quinn 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
139 USA Charles Reiter 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
140 USA Matt McCarty 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
141 USA Patton Kizzire 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
145 USA Travis Vick 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
146 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Ryan Gerard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Maxwell Moldovan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 BEL Adrien Dumont de Chassart 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Andrew Beckler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Brady Calkins 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA William Mouw 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 BRA Fred Biondi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Nick Dunlap 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Ben Lorenz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Caleb Manuel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 SCO Sean Jacklin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Keith Greene 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -9.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 49.8% 6.3%
2 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 61.4% 7.2%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.9% 8.9%
4 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 42.6% 8.9%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 12 @ 1/5 88.5% 11%
6 Skybet 10 @ 1/5 70% 12.9%
7 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 28.9% 13.8%
8 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 28.9% 13.8%
9 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 49.3% 14%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 29.8% 14.6%
11 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 50.7% 15.1%
12 Coral 10 @ 1/5 73.7% 15.4%
13 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 53.8% 17.4%
14 Betway 8 @ 1/5 54.4% 17.9%
15 QuinnBet 8 @ 1/5 57.8% 20.5%
16 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 46.6% 21.1%
17 Sporting Index 7 @ 1/5 46.7% 21.3%
18 VBet 8 @ 1/5 59.6% 21.9%
19 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 26.5%
20 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 30.1%