Betting Market Analysis for Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 6/1 10% -4.36%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 4% -3.18%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 6% -0.28%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 3% -1.37%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 3% -1.37%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 1% -3.37%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 4% 0.13%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 3% -0.87%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 3% -0.87%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 2% -0.96%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2% -0.79%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2% -0.45%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 2% -0.19%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1% -0.97%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 3% 1.35%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 2% 0.5%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 2% 0.5%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 1% -0.5%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 2% 0.68%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 2% 0.68%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 1% -0.32%
22 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 90/1 0% -1.1%
23 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 99/1 2% 1%
24 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 99/1 2% 1%
25 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 99/1 1% 0%
26 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 99/1 1% 0%
27 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 109/1 1% 0.09%
28 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 109/1 1% 0.09%
29 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 2% 1.2%
30 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1% 0.2%
31 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1% 0.2%
32 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1% 0.2%
33 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1% 0.2%
34 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1% 0.2%
35 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 149/1 1% 0.33%
36 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 149/1 1% 0.33%
37 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 149/1 1% 0.33%
38 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 149/1 1% 0.33%
39 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 174/1 1% 0.43%
40 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 174/1 1% 0.43%
41 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 174/1 1% 0.43%
42 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 174/1 1% 0.43%
43 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 174/1 1% 0.43%
44 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 174/1 1% 0.43%
45 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 1% 0.5%
46 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 1% 0.5%
47 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 224/1 1% 0.56%
48 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 224/1 1% 0.56%
49 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 224/1 1% 0.56%
50 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 249/1 1% 0.6%
51 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 274/1 1% 0.64%
52 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 274/1 1% 0.64%
53 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 274/1 1% 0.64%
54 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 298/1 1% 0.67%
55 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 298/1 1% 0.67%
56 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 298/1 1% 0.67%
57 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 298/1 1% 0.67%
58 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 348/1 1% 0.71%
59 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 348/1 1% 0.71%
60 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 348/1 1% 0.71%
61 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 373/1 1% 0.73%
62 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 373/1 1% 0.73%
63 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 497/1 1% 0.8%
64 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 547/1 1% 0.82%
65 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 746/1 1% 0.87%
66 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 1492/1 1% 0.93%
67 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 1492/1 0% -0.07%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: -2.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -12.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 16.2% 1.6%
2 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 14.6% 1.7%
3 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 14.6% 1.7%
4 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 25.2% 2.2%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 25.2% 2.2%
6 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 17.8% 3%
7 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 7.7% 4.9%
8 Betway 5 @ 1/4 20.3% 5.2%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 18.6% 5.3%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 18.6% 5.3%
11 BoyleSports 6 @ 1/5 18.9% 5.6%
12 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 19.4% 6%
13 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 19.4% 6%
14 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 20% 6.6%
15 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 21.3% 7.7%
16 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 11.9% 11.9%