Betting Market Analysis for Open de France

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.69% -3.41%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 3.49% -2.39%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.69% -0.53%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.17% -1.05%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 1.91% -1.18%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.06% -0.82%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.03% -1.67%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.84% 0.38%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.38% -0.08%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.38% -0.94%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 3.05% 1.01%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.71% -0.33%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.52% -0.42%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 1.21% -0.61%
15 ENG Daniel A Brown 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.71% ≈ 58/1 1.67% -0.03%
16 FRA Antoine Rozner 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 1.17% -0.47%
17 ENG Laurie Canter 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 1.62% 0.07%
18 AUS Elvis Smylie 60 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 0.8% -0.57%
19 ITA Francesco Laporta 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.31% ≈ 76/1 0.85% -0.45%
20 ENG Todd Clements 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 0.8% -0.45%
21 DEN Jacob Skov Olesen 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 0.63% -0.61%
22 FRA Tom Vaillant 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 0.51% -0.74%
23 ITA Guido Migliozzi 70 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.85% -0.32%
24 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.13% ≈ 88/1 1.31% 0.19%
25 SWE Joakim Lagergren 75 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.29% 0.19%
26 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 0.93% -0.07%
27 NED Joost Luiten 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 0.93% -0.08%
28 ENG Andy Sullivan 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 1.05% 0.1%
29 FRA Julien Guerrier 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.9% -0.05%
30 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.92% ≈ 108/1 0.9% -0.02%
31 CHN Ding Wenyi 90 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.92% ≈ 108/1 0.43% -0.49%
32 USA Brooks Koepka 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.44% -0.46%
33 ENG Richard Mansell 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 1.07% 0.22%
34 USA Johannes Veerman 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.94% 0.09%
35 ENG Dan Bradbury 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.83% -0.03%
36 NZL Kazuma Kobori 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.98% 0.21%
37 ENG Sam Bairstow 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.81% 0.05%
38 FRA Romain Langasque 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 1.15% 0.44%
39 NZL Daniel Hillier 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.87% 0.17%
40 FRA Ugo Coussaud 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.72% 0.01%
41 DEN Jeff Winther 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.7% -0.01%
42 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.83% 0.17%
43 FRA Frederic LaCroix 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% ≈ 151/1 0.74% 0.08%
44 ESP Jorge Campillo 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 1.18% 0.57%
45 GER Marcel Schneider 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.76% 0.15%
46 POL Adrian Meronk 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.23% -0.38%
47 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.57% ≈ 175/1 0.61% 0.04%
48 SCO Connor Syme 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.98% 0.43%
49 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.98% 0.42%
50 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.96% 0.4%
51 ENG Marcus Armitage 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.78% 0.22%
52 GER Marcel Siem 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.7% 0.15%
53 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Unibet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.59% 0.04%
54 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.55% 0%
55 RSA Casey Jarvis 150 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.51% -0.04%
56 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.39% -0.17%
57 FRA Matthieu Pavon 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 1.39% 0.86%
58 SCO Grant Forrest 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.97% 0.43%
59 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.92% 0.39%
60 FRA David Ravetto 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.71% 0.17%
61 FRA Clement Sordet 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.39% -0.14%
62 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.68% 0.18%
63 ENG Ben Schmidt 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.51% 0.01%
64 SWE Mikael Lindberg 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.44% -0.06%
65 USA Davis Bryant 175 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% ≈ 210/1 0.42% -0.05%
66 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 175 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% ≈ 210/1 0.42% -0.05%
67 SCO Calum Hill 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 240/1 0.89% 0.47%
68 SCO Richie Ramsay 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 240/1 0.56% 0.14%
69 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 240/1 0.5% 0.09%
70 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 240/1 0.46% 0.04%
71 NOR Andreas Halvorsen 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 240/1 0.39% -0.03%
72 ESP Manuel Elvira 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.41% ≈ 246/1 0.71% 0.3%
73 NED Darius Van Driel 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.71% 0.33%
74 ITA Andrea Pavan 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 0.54% 0.17%
75 CAN Aaron Cockerill 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 0.49% 0.12%
76 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 0.47% 0.1%
77 ENG Andrew Wilson 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 0.35% -0.02%
78 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.49% 0.16%
79 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.44% 0.1%
80 RSA Richard Sterne 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.23% -0.08%
81 ENG Jack Senior 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.51% 0.2%
82 ENG Robin Williams 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.62% 0.34%
83 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.49% 0.22%
84 DEN Hamish Brown 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.48% 0.2%
85 IRL Conor Purcell 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.45% 0.17%
86 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.44% 0.16%
87 FRA Alexander Levy 300 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.29% 0.02%
88 GER Jannik De Bruyn 300 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.27% -0.01%
89 ENG Nathan Kimsey 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.26% -0.01%
90 ENG Callum Shinkwin 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.2% -0.08%
91 GER Yannik Paul 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.64% 0.39%
92 SWE Marcus Kinhult 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.52% 0.27%
93 SUI Joel Girrbach 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.24% ≈ 410/1 0.41% 0.16%
94 AUS David Micheluzzi 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.54% 0.3%
95 SCO Scott Jamieson 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.43% 0.19%
96 MAS Gavin Green 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.4% 0.16%
97 FRA Julien Sale 350 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.37% 0.13%
98 ITA Gregorio De Leo 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.35% 0.12%
99 IND Veer Ahlawat 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.33% 0.09%
100 GER Maximilian Kieffer 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 419/1 0.33% 0.09%
101 USA Troy Merritt 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 421/1 0.43% 0.19%
102 ENG Callum Tarren 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.34% 0.1%
103 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 479/1 0.37% 0.16%
104 USA Brandon Wu 400 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 479/1 0.36% 0.15%
105 ENG Matthew Southgate 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 479/1 0.32% 0.11%
106 ESP Nacho Elvira 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% ≈ 492/1 0.67% 0.47%
107 SWE Simon Forsstrom 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.19% ≈ 539/1 0.24% 0.05%
108 KOR Minkyu Kim 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.61% 0.45%
109 RSA Dylan Naidoo 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.61% 0.44%
110 Joshua Berry 500 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.54% 0.38%
111 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.43% 0.26%
112 RSA Thomas Aiken 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.33% 0.16%
113 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.32% 0.16%
114 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.25% 0.08%
115 ESP Pablo Ereno Perez 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0% -0.17%
116 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 718/1 0.38% 0.24%
117 FRA Julien Quesne 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 718/1 0.19% 0.06%
118 FRA Julien Brun 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 718/1 0.09% -0.05%
119 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 718/1 0.09% -0.05%
120 ENG Matthew Baldwin 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.35% 0.24%
121 USA Jordan Gumberg 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.31% 0.2%
122 ENG Ross Fisher 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.23% 0.12%
123 ENG Chris Wood 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.13% 0.02%
124 NED Wil Besseling 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.11% 0%
125 FRA Clement Charmasson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1172/1 0.3% 0.22%
126 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1197/1 0.36% 0.28%
127 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1197/1 0.34% 0.26%
128 ENG Dale Whitnell 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1197/1 0.25% 0.17%
129 AUS Daniel Gale 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1197/1 0.13% 0.05%
130 FRA Alexis Leray 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1197/1 0% -0.08%
131 AUT Fabian Lang(Am) 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1197/1 0% -0.08%
132 IND Shubhankar Sharma 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1496/1 0.33% 0.27%
133 SWE Bjorn Akesson 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1795/1 0.23% 0.18%
134 FRA Matthieu Van Hauwe 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1795/1 0% -0.06%
135 Bastien Amat 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1795/1 0% -0.06%
136 RSA Deon Germishuys 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2394/1 0.33% 0.28%
137 CHN Zihao Jin 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2394/1 0.19% 0.14%
138 AUT Matthias Schwab 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2394/1 0.15% 0.11%
139 SVK Tadeas Tetak 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2394/1 0.15% 0.11%
140 RSA Justin Harding 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2394/1 0.12% 0.08%
141 ENG Sam Hutsby 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2992/1 0.12% 0.09%
142 Alexander George Frances 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2992/1 0.11% 0.08%
143 FRA Jean Bekirian 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2992/1 0.09% 0.06%
144 USA Corey Shaun 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2992/1 0.09% 0.05%
145 GER Alexander Knappe 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2992/1 0.08% 0.05%
146 SWE Adam Blomme 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2992/1 0.08% 0.04%
147 FRA Pierre Pineau 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3591/1 0.19% 0.17%
148 USA Martin Trainer 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3591/1 0.1% 0.07%
149 RSA Neil Schietekat 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4788/1 0.1% 0.08%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.3% 15.6%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 29.6%
3 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 96.9% 30.7%
4 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 61.3% 33.2%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 61.3% 33.2%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 51% 33.3%
7 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 53.4% 35.5%
8 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37.1%
9 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37.1%
10 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.7%
11 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.7%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 38%
13 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 38%
14 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 56.6% 40.9%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 61.1% 44.9%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 61.1% 44.9%
17 Betway 6 @ 1/5 64.2% 47.7%
18 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 64.4% 47.8%
19 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 52% 52%
20 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 54.8% 54.8%