Betting Market Analysis for THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 5/1 7.98% -9.8%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 1.11% -3.34%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.37% -0.81%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.22% -1.34%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 0.97% -1.59%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.62% -0.53%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.54% -0.61%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.6% -0.36%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.57% -0.28%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 0.92% -0.71%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 68/1 1.45% 0%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 68/1 1.39% -0.06%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 68/1 1.16% -0.29%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 68/1 1.01% -0.44%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 1.38% 0.07%
16 USA Ryan Gerard 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.08% -0.22%
17 KOR Woohyun Kim 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 0.07% -1.12%
18 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% ≈ 90/1 1.06% -0.04%
19 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% ≈ 90/1 1% -0.09%
20 IRL Seamus Power 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% ≈ 90/1 0.77% -0.32%
21 USA Alex Smalley 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% ≈ 90/1 0.73% -0.36%
22 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% ≈ 90/1 0.5% -0.6%
23 USA Samuel Stevens 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.08% 0.09%
24 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.05% 0.06%
25 ENG Harry Hall 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.91% -0.08%
26 AUS Kevin Yuan 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.12% -0.87%
27 USA Gary Woodland 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.81% -0.13%
28 ARG Alejandro Tosti 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.74% -0.2%
29 AUS Cameron Davis 75 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 1.32% 0.44%
30 USA Patrick Rodgers 75 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 1.12% 0.24%
31 ENG Matt Wallace 75 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 1.03% 0.16%
32 USA Doug Ghim 75 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 0.85% -0.03%
33 USA Matt Kuchar 75 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 0.65% -0.22%
34 USA Austin Eckroat 80 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.82% ≈ 120/1 1.37% 0.54%
35 USA Eric Cole 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% ≈ 120/1 1.3% 0.48%
36 FIN Sami Valimaki 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% ≈ 120/1 0.87% 0.05%
37 SWE Jesper Svensson 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% ≈ 120/1 0.84% 0.02%
38 USA Taylor Moore 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 0.98% 0.25%
39 NZL Ryan Fox 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 0.82% 0.09%
40 USA Chan Kim 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 0.73% -0.01%
41 USA Sam Ryder 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 0.63% -0.1%
42 Karl Vilips 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 0.63% -0.1%
43 SWE Henrik Norlander 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 0.59% -0.14%
44 USA Matt McCarty 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 1.45% 0.79%
45 USA Justin Lower 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.93% 0.27%
46 USA Lee Hodges 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.9% 0.23%
47 USA Kurt Kitayama 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.7% 0.04%
48 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.68% 0.02%
49 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.68% 0.02%
50 USA Isaiah Salinda 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.59% -0.07%
51 USA Davis Riley 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.92% 0.32%
52 COL Nicolas Echavarria 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 1.52% 0.99%
53 USA Joe Highsmith 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 1.24% 0.71%
54 USA Max McGreevy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 1.09% 0.56%
55 USA Patrick Fishburn 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 0.88% 0.35%
56 FRA Victor Perez 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 0.87% 0.35%
57 USA Hayden Springer 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 0.58% 0.05%
58 USA Zach Johnson 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 188/1 0.46% -0.07%
59 USA Charley Hoffman 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.78% 0.27%
60 USA Beau Hossler 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.93% 0.49%
61 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.87% 0.43%
62 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.62% 0.18%
63 CAN Adam Svensson 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.6% 0.15%
64 USA Chad Ramey 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.44% 0%
65 USA Trey Mullinax 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.2% -0.24%
66 USA Ricky Castillo 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.41% ≈ 240/1 0.38% -0.03%
67 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.72% 0.34%
68 ARG Emiliano Grillo 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.64% 0.26%
69 USA Chandler Phillips 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.62% 0.24%
70 USA Pierceson Coody 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.56% 0.18%
71 USA Quade Cummins 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.4% 0.03%
72 USA Joseph Bramlett 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.36% -0.02%
73 USA Brian Campbell 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.9% 0.57%
74 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.89% 0.55%
75 FRA Antoine Rozner 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.67% 0.34%
76 USA Greyson Sigg 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.54% 0.21%
77 USA Danny Walker 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.49% 0.16%
78 GER Jeremy Paul 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.42% 0.09%
79 USA Carson Young 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.3% ≈ 338/1 0.61% 0.32%
80 JPN Takumi Kanaya 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.3% ≈ 338/1 0.52% 0.22%
81 USA Kevin Roy 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.3% ≈ 338/1 0.5% 0.21%
82 RSA Erik van Rooyen 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 375/1 0.9% 0.64%
83 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 375/1 0.61% 0.35%
84 USA Dylan Wu 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 375/1 0.4% 0.13%
85 USA Ben Martin 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 375/1 0.25% -0.02%
86 USA Trace Crowe 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 375/1 0.01% -0.25%
87 USA Adam Schenk 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.63% 0.39%
88 USA Nick Hardy 275 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.26% 0.02%
89 USA Ben Kohles 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.57% 0.35%
90 USA Luke List 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.56% 0.34%
91 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.5% 0.28%
92 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.47% 0.24%
93 GER Thomas Rosenmuller 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.43% 0.21%
94 USA Matthew NeSmith 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.33% 0.11%
95 RSA Christo Lamprecht 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.33% 0.11%
96 ITA Matteo Manassero 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.77% 0.58%
97 USA Nate Lashley 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.48% 0.29%
98 USA William Mouw 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.44% 0.25%
99 USA Brice Garnett 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.44% 0.25%
100 CAN Benjamin Silverman 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.43% 0.24%
101 USA Zac Blair 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.39% 0.2%
102 USA Lanto Griffin 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.35% 0.16%
103 USA Taylor Montgomery 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 525/1 0.31% 0.12%
104 USA Jackson Suber 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 600/1 0.42% 0.26%
105 USA Webb Simpson 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 600/1 0.18% 0.01%
106 USA Tommy Morrison 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 600/1 0% -0.17%
107 USA Patton Kizzire 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.65% 0.52%
108 USA Frankie Capan 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.57% 0.44%
109 ENG David Skinns 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.33% 0.19%
110 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.28% 0.15%
111 SCO Martin Laird 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.27% 0.13%
112 USA Noah Goodwin 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.26% 0.13%
113 USA Norman Xiong 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.18% 0.05%
114 Ross Steelman 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0.16% 0.02%
115 USA Bobby Massa 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 750/1 0% -0.13%
116 USA David Lipsky 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 900/1 0.53% 0.41%
117 USA Harry Higgs 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 900/1 0.5% 0.39%
118 SWE Tim Widing 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 900/1 0.44% 0.33%
119 USA William Gordon 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 900/1 0.23% 0.12%
120 USA Brandt Snedeker 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 900/1 0.21% 0.1%
121 ITA Francesco Molinari 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 900/1 0.14% 0.03%
122 USA Taylor Dickson 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.45% 0.36%
123 USA Paul Peterson 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.42% 0.33%
124 USA John Pak 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.32% 0.23%
125 USA Braden Thornberry 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.27% 0.18%
126 USA Mason Andersen 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.24% 0.15%
127 USA Hayden Buckley 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.22% 0.13%
128 USA Chesson Hadley 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.21% 0.12%
129 USA Chez Reavie 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.2% 0.11%
130 USA Harrison Endycott 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.08% -0.01%
131 USA Peter Malnati 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.55% 0.48%
132 PUR Rafael Campos 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.47% 0.4%
133 COL Camilo Villegas 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.38% 0.32%
134 USA Will Chandler 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.28% 0.22%
135 JPN Kaito Onishi 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.26% 0.19%
136 AUS Aaron Baddeley 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.22% 0.16%
137 USA Trevor Cone 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.21% 0.14%
138 USA Matthew Riedel 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.16% 0.09%
139 ARG Nelson Ledesma 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1500/1 0.15% 0.09%
140 ENG Paul Waring 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2250/1 0.69% 0.65%
141 CHI Cristobal Del Solar 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2250/1 0.34% 0.3%
142 Kris Kim(Am) 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2250/1 0% -0.04%
143 USA Noah Kent 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2250/1 0% -0.04%
144 USA Kevin Kisner 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 3000/1 0.05% 0.02%
145 USA Anders Albertson 2000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 3000/1 0.04% 0.01%
146 USA Nick Watney 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 3000/1 0.04% 0.01%
147 USA Ryan Palmer 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3749/1 0.13% 0.1%
148 USA Philip Knowles 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3749/1 0.1% 0.08%
149 KOR Sunghoon Kang 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3749/1 0.06% 0.03%
150 USA Scott Gutschewski 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3749/1 0.05% 0.03%
151 USA Brandon Matthews 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7498/1 0.05% 0.04%
152 USA Vince Covello 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7498/1 0.01% 0%
153 Gabe Reynolds 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7498/1 0% -0.01%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 75.7% 17.7%
2 Coral 10 @ 1/5 75.7% 17.7%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 62.3% 24.8%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 31.1%
5 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 32.5%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 32.8%
7 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47.7% 33.5%
8 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 47.7% 33.5%
9 VBet 6 @ 1/5 49% 34.5%
10 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 100.6% 34.9%
11 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 35.6%
12 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 35.6%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 35.8%
14 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 35.8%
15 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 36.9%
16 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.1%
17 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 38%
18 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39.9%
19 Betway 6 @ 1/5 62.1% 46.3%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 62.3% 46.5%
21 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 71.4% 71.4%