Betting Market Analysis for US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.93% -1.71%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 58/1 2.92% 1.22%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 72/1 2.5% 1.13%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 58/1 2.28% 0.58%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.18% -2.46%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.14% -4.19%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 1.92% -4.41%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.91% -1.12%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 1.85% -2.24%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 95/1 1.75% 0.71%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 324/1 1.71% 1.4%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 79/1 1.68% 0.44%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 1.64% -3%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 130/1 1.61% 0.85%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 65/1 1.6% 0.09%
16 USA Collin Morikawa 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.25% ≈ 44/1 1.52% -0.72%
17 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 1.51% 1.17%
18 USA Gary Woodland 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 1.47% 0.1%
19 USA Webb Simpson 28 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% ≈ 41/1 1.43% -0.98%
20 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% ≈ 36/1 1.37% -1.31%
21 USA Richy Werenski 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 1.26% 0.86%
22 USA Ryan Palmer 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 1.25% 0.86%
23 USA Matt Kuchar 125 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 1.25% 0.69%
24 USA Chez Reavie 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.17% 0.48%
25 USA Kevin Streelman 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 1.16% 0.7%
26 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 1.14% -0.37%
27 KOR Sungjae Im 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 1.09% 0.32%
28 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.07% 0.21%
29 USA Scottie Scheffler 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.06% 0.2%
30 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 40 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 0.99% -0.7%
31 AUS Adam Scott 60 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.98% -0.16%
32 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.97% 0.51%
33 ESP Sergio Garcia 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.96% -0.08%
34 USA Kevin Na 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.93% 0.59%
35 USA Talor Gooch 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.92% 0.64%
36 AUS Marc Leishman 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.91% 0.14%
37 USA Brendon Todd 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.9% 0.35%
38 USA Tony Finau 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 0.89% -0.48%
39 AUT Matthias Schwab 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.86% 0.47%
40 RSA Erik van Rooyen 160 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 0.85% 0.42%
41 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.84% 0.49%
42 ENG Ian Poulter 200 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.83% 0.49%
43 USA Kevin Kisner 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.83% 0.37%
44 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.82% 0.43%
45 ESP Jorge Campillo 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1437/1 0.81% 0.74%
46 CAN Adam Hadwin 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.8% 0.41%
47 USA Russell Henley 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.8% 0.46%
48 USA Max Homa 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.77% 0.38%
49 USA Harold Varner III 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.75% 0.52%
50 ENG Tom Lewis 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.74% 0.19%
51 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.73% 0.27%
52 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.71% 0.31%
53 USA Matthew Wolff 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.7% 0.14%
54 USA Cameron Tringale 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.68% 0.45%
55 USA JT Poston 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.68% 0.45%
56 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.64% 0.37%
57 USA Jordan Spieth 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.64% -0.4%
58 AUS Jason Day 33 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% ≈ 48/1 0.64% -1.41%
59 USA Adam Long 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.63% 0.4%
60 USA Rickie Fowler 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 0.63% -0.88%
61 USA Phil Mickelson 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.62% -0.42%
62 NED Joost Luiten 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.61% 0.41%
63 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.6% 0.43%
64 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 70 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.57% -0.41%
65 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.57% 0.37%
66 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.56% 0.1%
67 ENG Matt Wallace 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.56% 0.17%
68 SWE Marcus Kinhult 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.56% 0.42%
69 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.55% 0.2%
70 CHN Zhang Xinjun 400 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.54% 0.36%
71 USA Lucas Glover 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.53% 0.13%
72 IRL Shane Lowry 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.52% -0.46%
73 USA Luke List 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.51% 0.2%
74 USA Bubba Watson 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.5% -0.26%
75 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.5% 0.04%
76 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.49% 0.15%
77 CAN Corey Conners 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.49% 0.03%
78 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.48% 0.34%
79 ENG Justin Rose 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.48% -0.56%
80 ENG Paul Casey 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.48% -0.29%
81 USA Brian Harman 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.46% 0.12%
82 ARG Emiliano Grillo 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.46% 0.15%
83 AUT Sepp Straka 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.46% 0.11%
84 CHI Joaquin Niemann 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.45% -0.01%
85 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.45% 0.31%
86 USA Lanto Griffin 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.44% 0.21%
87 USA Keith Mitchell 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.44% 0.3%
88 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.42% 0.28%
89 MEX Carlos Ortiz 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.42% 0.28%
90 USA Zach Johnson 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.41% 0.14%
91 KOR Siwoo Kim 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.41% 0.13%
92 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.41% -0.05%
93 USA Jason Kokrak 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.4% 0.13%
94 RSA Charl Schwartzel 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.4% 0%
95 USA Andrew Landry 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.39% 0.22%
96 TPE C.T. Pan 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.39% 0.25%
97 USA Keegan Bradley 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.39% 0.11%
98 USA Denny McCarthy 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.38% 0.24%
99 AUS Matt Jones 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.36% 0.22%
100 USA Brandt Snedeker 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.35% 0.12%
101 USA Tiger Woods 35 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.93% ≈ 51/1 0.35% -1.58%
102 USA Steve Stricker 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.34% 0.21%
103 RSA Shaun Norris 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1437/1 0.34% 0.27%
104 USA Bud Cauley 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.33% 0.16%
105 FRA Victor Perez 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.33% 0.19%
106 AUS Lucas Herbert 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.33% 0.19%
107 USA Doc Redman 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.31% 0.08%
108 NZL Danny Lee 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.31% 0.13%
109 USA Jim Furyk 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.29% -0.06%
110 USA Wyndham Clark 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.29% 0.15%
111 SWE Henrik Stenson 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.28% -0.41%
112 USA Jason Dufner 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.27% 0.07%
113 CAN Nick Taylor 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.27% 0.09%
114 AUS Cameron Smith 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.27% 0.07%
115 NIR Graeme McDowell 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.26% 0.07%
116 SCO Robert MacIntyre 300 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.26% 0.03%
117 GER Martin Kaymer 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.22% -0.05%
118 THA Jazz Janewattananond 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.22% 0.08%
119 CHN Li Haotong 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.21% 0.01%
120 USA Scott Piercy 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 431/1 0.2% -0.03%
121 USA Tom Hoge 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.18% 0.01%
122 USA Jim Herman 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2155/1 0.17% 0.13%
123 USA Kurt Kitayama 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.17% 0%
124 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.14% 0%
125 USA Davis Love III 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2155/1 0.11% 0.06%
126 USA Rod Perry 3000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4310/1 0.1% 0.07%
127 USA Shaun Micheel 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.08%
128 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.09% -0.05%
129 USA Rich Beem 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
130 USA Nate Lashley 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 862/1 0.09% -0.03%
131 USA Andrew Putnam 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.09% -0.09%
132 USA Bob Sowards 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
133 USA David Muttitt 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
134 USA Rob Labritz 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
135 USA Marty Jertson 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
136 USA Judd Gibb 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
137 USA Ryan Vermeer 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.09% 0.07%
138 USA Jeff Hart 2500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3592/1 0.09% 0.06%
139 USA Chan Kim 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 862/1 0.09% -0.03%
140 USA Alexander Beach 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 0.08% 0.06%
141 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 USA Shane Bertsch 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 USA Daniel Balin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
145 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
146 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 KOR Joohyung Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 USA Benjamin Cook 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
149 USA John T. O'Leary 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 USA Jeff Roth 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 USA Michael Auterson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 USA Rich Berberian, Jr. 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 USA Ken Tanigawa 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 USA Shawn Warren 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 USA Alex Knoll 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 USA Zach J Johnson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 38.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 11 @ 1/5 70.6% 8.1%
2 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 51.8% 9.5%
3 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 42.2% 10.3%
4 Betfred 9 @ 1/5 57.4% 13.6%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 73.1% 16.9%
6 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 73.8% 17.4%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 75% 18.1%
8 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 49.4% 20.3%
9 VBet 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 26%
10 Betway 8 @ 1/5 66.1% 28.8%
11 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 58.5% 32.8%
12 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/4 66.2% 34%
13 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 59.9% 34.1%
14 SportPesa 6 @ 1/4 66.5% 34.2%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/4 66.5% 34.2%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 34.4%
17 GentingBet 8 @ 1/5 78% 38.4%
18 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 66.5% 39.6%