The table below shows the whole field with our model's numbers - but the players at the top of the market, and the bets we actually advised, stay locked. Members get the shortlist, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms, in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
The bookmakers made Brooks Koepka favourite for the US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP at 10/1. That is an implied 9.1% before the margin comes out, and 6.3% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Justin Thomas next in at 10/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 26.6% of the win chance between them, which leaves 73.4% spread across the other 135 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 103 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 37.6%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Skybet at 8.1% (11 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -29.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brooks Koepka
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.3% | 29th |
| 2 |
Justin Thomas
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.3% | 37th |
| 3 |
Rory McIlroy
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.6% | 33rd |
| 4 |
Jon Rahm
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.6% | 13th |
| 5 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4th |
| 6 |
Xander Schauffele
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.1% | 10th |
| 7 |
Dustin Johnson
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2nd |
| 8 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 43rd |
| 9 |
Webb Simpson
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 37th |
| 10 |
Collin Morikawa
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1st |
| 11 |
Jason Day
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4th |
| 12 |
Tiger Woods
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 37th |
| 13 |
Patrick Reed
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 13th |
| 14 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 22nd |
| 15 |
Daniel Berger
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 13th |
| 16 |
Rickie Fowler
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 80th |
| 17 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 29th |
| 18 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 108th |
| 19 |
Gary Woodland
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 58th |
| 20 |
Tyrrell Hatton
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 101st |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
Collin Morikawa won the US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP, having started the week at 30/1 - an implied 3.2% chance. The favourite, Brooks Koepka, finished 29th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Collin Morikawa
|
30/1 | 3.2% |
| 2 |
Dustin Johnson
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 2 |
Paul Casey
|
90/1 | 1.1% |
| 4 |
Jason Day
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 4 |
Tony Finau
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 4 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
14/1 | 6.7% |
| 4 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 4 |
Matthew Wolff
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 9 |
Justin Rose
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 10 |
Joel Dahmen
|
200/1 | 0.5% |
| 10 |
Xander Schauffele
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 10 |
Cameron Champ
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
Every player we priced for the US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP, with the model's win probability and the edge against the market. The players at the top of the market are locked, and so are the bets we advised.
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 2 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 3 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 4 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 5 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 6 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 7 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 8 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 9 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 10 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 11 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 12 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 13 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 14 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 15 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 16 |
|
Matthew Fitzpatrick | 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 1.6% | 0.09% | |
| 17 |
|
Tommy Fleetwood | 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 1.14% | -0.37% | |
| 18 |
|
Rickie Fowler | 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 0.63% | -0.88% | |
| 19 |
|
Tyrrell Hatton | 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.36% ≈ 72/1 | 2.5% | 1.14% | |
| 20 |
|
Gary Woodland | 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.36% ≈ 72/1 | 1.47% | 0.1% | |
| 21 |
|
Tony Finau | 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.36% ≈ 72/1 | 0.89% | -0.48% | |
| 22 |
|
Viktor Hovland | 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.24% ≈ 79/1 | 1.68% | 0.44% | |
| 23 |
|
Adam Scott | 60 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.14% ≈ 87/1 | 0.98% | -0.16% | |
| 24 |
|
Abraham Ancer | 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.04% ≈ 95/1 | 1.75% | 0.71% | |
| 25 |
|
Sergio Garcia | 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.04% ≈ 95/1 | 0.96% | -0.08% | |
| 26 |
|
Jordan Spieth | 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.04% ≈ 95/1 | 0.64% | -0.4% | |
| 27 |
|
Phil Mickelson | 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.04% ≈ 95/1 | 0.62% | -0.42% | |
| 28 |
|
Justin Rose | 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.04% ≈ 95/1 | 0.48% | -0.56% | |
| 29 |
|
Louis Oosthuizen | 70 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 0.98% ≈ 101/1 | 0.57% | -0.41% | |
| 30 |
|
Shane Lowry | 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 0.98% ≈ 101/1 | 0.52% | -0.46% | |
| 31 |
|
Billy Horschel | 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.86% ≈ 115/1 | 1.07% | 0.21% | |
| 32 |
|
Scottie Scheffler | 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.86% ≈ 115/1 | 1.06% | 0.2% | |
| 33 |
|
Harris English | 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.76% ≈ 130/1 | 1.61% | 0.85% | |
| 34 |
|
Sungjae Im | 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.76% ≈ 130/1 | 1.09% | 0.32% | |
| 35 |
|
Marc Leishman | 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.76% ≈ 130/1 | 0.91% | 0.14% | |
| 36 |
|
Bubba Watson | 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.76% ≈ 130/1 | 0.5% | -0.26% | |
| 37 |
|
Paul Casey | 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.76% ≈ 130/1 | 0.48% | -0.29% | |
| 38 |
|
Chez Reavie | 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 144/1 | 1.17% | 0.48% | |
| 39 |
|
Henrik Stenson | 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 144/1 | 0.28% | -0.41% | |
| 40 |
|
Matt Kuchar | 125 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 1.25% | 0.69% | |
| 41 |
|
Brendon Todd | 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.9% | 0.35% | |
| 42 |
|
Tom Lewis | 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.74% | 0.19% | |
| 43 |
|
Matthew Wolff | 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.7% | 0.15% | |
| 44 |
|
Kevin Streelman | 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 1.16% | 0.7% | |
| 45 |
|
Brendan Steele | 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.97% | 0.51% | |
| 46 |
|
Kevin Kisner | 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.83% | 0.37% | |
| 47 |
|
Danny Willett | 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.73% | 0.27% | |
| 48 |
|
Byeong Hun An | 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.56% | 0.1% | |
| 49 |
|
Cameron Champ | 150 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.5% | 0.04% | |
| 50 |
|
Corey Conners | 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.49% | 0.03% | |
| 51 |
|
Joaquin Niemann | 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.45% | -0.01% | |
| 52 |
|
Alexander Noren | 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 216/1 | 0.4% | -0.06% | |
| 53 |
|
Erik van Rooyen | 160 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.43% ≈ 230/1 | 0.85% | 0.42% | |
| 54 |
|
Richy Werenski | 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 1.26% | 0.86% | |
| 55 |
|
Ryan Palmer | 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 1.25% | 0.86% | |
| 56 |
|
Matthias Schwab | 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.86% | 0.47% | |
| 57 |
|
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.82% | 0.43% | |
| 58 |
|
Adam Hadwin | 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.81% | 0.41% | |
| 59 |
|
Max Homa | 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.77% | 0.38% | |
| 60 |
|
Rory Sabbatini | 175 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.71% | 0.31% | |
| 61 |
|
Matt Wallace | 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.56% | 0.17% | |
| 62 |
|
Lucas Glover | 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.53% | 0.13% | |
| 63 |
|
Charl Schwartzel | 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 252/1 | 0.4% | 0% | |
| 64 |
|
Joel Dahmen | 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 1.51% | 1.17% | |
| 65 |
|
Kevin Na | 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.93% | 0.59% | |
| 66 |
|
Michael Thompson | 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.84% | 0.49% | |
| 67 |
|
Ian Poulter | 200 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.83% | 0.49% | |
| 68 |
|
Russell Henley | 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.8% | 0.46% | |
| 69 |
|
Dylan Frittelli | 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.55% | 0.2% | |
| 70 |
|
Bernd Wiesberger | 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.49% | 0.15% | |
| 71 |
|
Brian Harman | 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.46% | 0.12% | |
| 72 |
|
Sepp Straka | 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.46% | 0.11% | |
| 73 |
|
Jim Furyk | 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 288/1 | 0.29% | -0.06% | |
| 74 |
|
Mackenzie Hughes | 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 1.7% | 1.4% | |
| 75 |
|
Luke List | 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.51% | 0.2% | |
| 76 |
|
Emiliano Grillo | 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.46% | 0.15% | |
| 77 |
|
Talor Gooch | 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.92% | 0.64% | |
| 78 |
|
Troy Merritt | 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.64% | 0.37% | |
| 79 |
|
Zach Johnson | 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.41% | 0.14% | |
| 80 |
|
Siwoo Kim | 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.41% | 0.13% | |
| 81 |
|
Jason Kokrak | 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.4% | 0.13% | |
| 82 |
|
Keegan Bradley | 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.39% | 0.11% | |
| 83 |
|
Martin Kaymer | 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 360/1 | 0.22% | -0.05% | |
| 84 |
|
Harold Varner III | 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.75% | 0.52% | |
| 85 |
|
Cameron Tringale | 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.68% | 0.45% | |
| 86 |
|
JT Poston | 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.68% | 0.44% | |
| 87 |
|
Adam Long | 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.63% | 0.4% | |
| 88 |
|
Lanto Griffin | 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.44% | 0.21% | |
| 89 |
|
Brandt Snedeker | 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.35% | 0.12% | |
| 90 |
|
Doc Redman | 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.31% | 0.08% | |
| 91 |
|
Robert MacIntyre | 300 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.26% | 0.03% | |
| 92 |
|
Scott Piercy | 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 431/1 | 0.2% | -0.03% | |
| 93 |
|
Joost Luiten | 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 503/1 | 0.61% | 0.41% | |
| 94 |
|
Rafael Cabrera Bello | 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 503/1 | 0.57% | 0.37% | |
| 95 |
|
Jason Dufner | 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 503/1 | 0.27% | 0.07% | |
| 96 |
|
Cameron Smith | 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 503/1 | 0.27% | 0.07% | |
| 97 |
|
Graeme McDowell | 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 503/1 | 0.26% | 0.07% | |
| 98 |
|
Hao Tong Li | 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 503/1 | 0.21% | 0.01% | |
| 99 |
|
Mark Hubbard | 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.6% | 0.43% | |
| 100 |
|
Zhang Xinjun | 400 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.54% | 0.36% | |
| 101 |
|
Andrew Landry | 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.39% | 0.22% | |
| 102 |
|
Bud Cauley | 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.33% | 0.16% | |
| 103 |
|
Danny Lee | 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.31% | 0.13% | |
| 104 |
|
Nick Taylor | 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.27% | 0.09% | |
| 105 |
|
Tom Hoge | 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.18% | 0.01% | |
| 106 |
|
Kurt Kitayama | 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.17% | 0% | |
| 107 |
|
Andrew Putnam | 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 575/1 | 0.09% | -0.09% | |
| 108 |
|
Marcus Kinhult | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.56% | 0.42% | |
| 109 |
|
Benjamin Hebert | 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.48% | 0.34% | |
| 110 |
|
Brian Stuard | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.45% | 0.31% | |
| 111 |
|
Keith Mitchell | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.43% | 0.3% | |
| 112 |
|
Tyler Duncan | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.42% | 0.28% | |
| 113 |
|
Carlos Ortiz | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.42% | 0.28% | |
| 114 |
|
C.T. Pan | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.39% | 0.25% | |
| 115 |
|
Denny McCarthy | 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.38% | 0.24% | |
| 116 |
|
Matt Jones | 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.36% | 0.22% | |
| 117 |
|
Steve Stricker | 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.34% | 0.21% | |
| 118 |
|
Victor Perez | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.33% | 0.19% | |
| 119 |
|
Lucas Herbert | 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.33% | 0.19% | |
| 120 |
|
Wyndham Clark | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.29% | 0.15% | |
| 121 |
|
Jazz Janewattananond | 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.22% | 0.08% | |
| 122 |
|
Jimmy Walker | 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.14% | 0% | |
| 123 |
|
Ryo Ishikawa | 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 719/1 | 0.09% | -0.05% | |
| 124 |
|
Nate Lashley | 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 862/1 | 0.09% | -0.03% | |
| 125 |
|
Chan Kim | 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 862/1 | 0.09% | -0.03% | |
| 126 |
|
Jorge Campillo | 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1437/1 | 0.81% | 0.74% | |
| 127 |
|
Shaun Norris | 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1437/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 128 |
|
Jim Herman | 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2155/1 | 0.17% | 0.13% | |
| 129 |
|
Davis Love III | 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2155/1 | 0.1% | 0.06% | |
| 130 |
|
Jeff Hart | 2500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3592/1 | 0.09% | 0.06% | |
| 131 |
|
Rod Perry | 3000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) | 0.03% | 0.02% ≈ 4310/1 | 0.1% | 0.08% | |
| 132 |
|
Shaun Micheel | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.08% | |
| 133 |
|
Rich Beem | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 134 |
|
Bob Sowards | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 135 |
|
David Muttitt | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 136 |
|
Rob Labritz | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 137 |
|
Marty Jertson | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 138 |
|
Judd Gibb | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 139 |
|
Ryan Vermeer | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.09% | 0.07% | |
| 140 |
|
Alexander Beach | 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.02% ≈ 5746/1 | 0.08% | 0.06% | |
| 141 |
|
Michael Lorenzo-Vera | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 142 |
|
Sunghoon Kang | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 143 |
|
Shane Bertsch | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 144 |
|
Daniel Balin | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 145 |
|
Sebastian Munoz | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 146 |
|
Rowin Caron | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 147 |
|
Tom Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 148 |
|
Benjamin Cook | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 149 |
|
John T. O'Leary | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 150 |
|
Jeff Roth | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 151 |
|
Michael Auterson | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 152 |
|
Rich Berberian, Jr. | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 153 |
|
Ken Tanigawa | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 154 |
|
Shawn Warren | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 155 |
|
Alex Knoll | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 156 |
|
Zach J Johnson | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 11 @ 1/5 | 70.6% | 8.1% |
| 2 | William Hill | 9 @ 1/5 | 51.8% | 9.5% |
| 3 | Bet365 | 8 @ 1/5 | 42.2% | 10.3% |
| 4 | Betfred | 9 @ 1/5 | 57.4% | 13.6% |
| 5 | Betfair Sportsbook | 10 @ 1/5 | 73.1% | 16.9% |
| 6 | Paddy Power | 10 @ 1/5 | 73.8% | 17.4% |
| 7 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 75% | 18.1% |
| 8 | Sportingbet | 6 @ 1/4 | 49.4% | 20.3% |
| 9 | VBet | 8 @ 1/5 | 62.5% | 26% |
| 10 | Betway | 8 @ 1/5 | 66.1% | 28.8% |
| 11 | 888Sport | 7 @ 1/5 | 58.5% | 32.8% |
| 12 | Sport Nation | 6 @ 1/4 | 66.2% | 34% |
| 13 | Unibet | 7 @ 1/5 | 59.9% | 34.1% |
| 14 | SportPesa | 6 @ 1/4 | 66.5% | 34.2% |
| 15 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/4 | 66.5% | 34.2% |
| 16 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 47.3% | 34.4% |
| 17 | GentingBet | 8 @ 1/5 | 78% | 38.4% |
| 18 | Spreadex | 7 @ 1/5 | 66.5% | 39.6% |
Brooks Koepka was the outright favourite at 10/1, which is an implied chance of 9.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 6.3% after. Justin Thomas was next in the market at 10/1.
Collin Morikawa won the US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2020, starting the week at 30/1.
The US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP started on Thursday 6 August 2020 and finished on Sunday 9 August 2020. It is a Majors event.
156 players were in the field, 140 of them priced by the bookmakers. 103 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 37.6%, against 8.1% at Skybet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
GolfForecast publishes its US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. £1 covers your first 30 days.
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