Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 94.1

Total Profit: -6.1

The Open Championship

20/07/2017 - 23/07/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 16 5.88% 4.87% 2.52% -2.35% 1
2 USA Dustin Johnson 16 5.88% 4.87% 2.18% -2.69% T54
3 USA Rickie Fowler 17 5.56% 4.6% 1.93% -2.67% T22
4 ESP Jon Rahm 19 5% 4.14% 2.48% -1.66% T44
5 ESP Sergio Garcia 21 4.55% 3.76% 2.26% -1.5% T37
6 ENG Justin Rose 22 4.35% 3.6% 2.53% -1.07% T54
7 NIR Rory McIlroy 22 4.35% 3.6% 0.96% -2.63% T4
8 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 23 4.17% 3.45% 1.64% -1.81% T14
9 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25 3.85% 3.18% 1.56% -1.62% T27
10 SWE Henrik Stenson 29 3.33% 2.76% 1.22% -1.54% T11
11 AUS Adam Scott 30 3.23% 2.67% 0.91% -1.76% T22
12 USA Brooks Koepka 37 2.63% 2.18% 1.59% -0.59% T6
13 AUS Jason Day 37 2.63% 2.18% 0.97% -1.2% T27
14 ENG Paul Casey 42 2.33% 1.92% 1.7% -0.23% T11 8.6
15 USA Phil Mickelson 50 1.96% 1.62% 1.17% -0.45% MC
16 SWE Alexander Noren 54 1.82% 1.5% 0.99% -0.51% T6
17 AUS Marc Leishman 56 1.75% 1.45% 1.43% -0.02% T6 (tied w/5) 6.49 +15.8
18 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 58 1.69% 1.4% 1.25% -0.16% MC 6.27
19 RSA Branden Grace 58 1.69% 1.4% 0.81% -0.59% T6
20 USA Matt Kuchar 59 1.67% 1.38% 1.92% 0.54% 2 6.16 +39.4
21 BEL Thomas Pieters 62 1.59% 1.31% 0.91% -0.4% T44
22 USA Justin Thomas 67 1.47% 1.22% 0.92% -0.3% MC 5.44
23 IRL Padraig Harrington 68 1.45% 1.2% 0.67% -0.53% MC
24 USA Patrick Reed 79 1.25% 1.03% 0.99% -0.04% MC 4.62
25 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 79 1.25% 1.03% 0.95% -0.09% T4 (tied w/2) 4.62 +38.8
26 ENG Ian Poulter 81 1.22% 1.01% 1.08% 0.07% T14 4.51
27 IRL Shane Lowry 81 1.22% 1.01% 0.8% -0.21% MC 4.51
28 ENG Lee Westwood 84 1.18% 0.97% 0.79% -0.18% T27 4.35
29 RSA Charl Schwartzel 87 1.14% 0.94% 0.74% -0.2% T62 4.2
30 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 97 1.02% 0.84% 0.81% -0.03% T44 3.78
31 USA Daniel Berger 98 1.01% 0.84% 1.53% 0.69% T27 3.74
32 ENG Andy Sullivan 99 1% 0.83% 0.59% -0.23% T70 3.7
33 USA Zach Johnson 101 0.98% 0.81% 0.79% -0.02% T14 3.63
34 GER Martin Kaymer 102 0.97% 0.8% 1.02% 0.22% T37 3.59
35 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 104 0.95% 0.79% 1.08% 0.29% MC 3.52
36 ENG Ross Fisher 107 0.93% 0.77% 1.01% 0.24% T44 3.43
37 ITA Francesco Molinari 107 0.93% 0.77% 0.86% 0.1% MC 3.43
38 ENG Chris Wood 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.51% -0.17% T14 3.06
39 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 130 0.76% 0.63% 1.05% 0.42% T74 2.83
40 USA J.B. Holmes 130 0.76% 0.63% 1.02% 0.39% T54 2.83
41 USA Steve Stricker 130 0.76% 0.63% 0.99% 0.36% T37 2.83
42 USA Jason Dufner 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.13% 0.58% T14
43 USA Brian Harman 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.02% 0.48% MC
44 USA Kevin Kisner 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.99% 0.44% T54
45 USA Tony Finau 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.95% 0.4% T27
46 USA Russell Henley 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.87% 0.33% T37
47 USA Charley Hoffman 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.94% 0.42% T20
48 USA Bill Haas 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.91% 0.4% MC
49 USA Peter Uihlein 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.78% 0.27% T44
50 KOR Byeong Hun An 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.67% 0.15% MC
51 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.58% 0.07% T62
52 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.55% 0.04% T37
53 USA Bryson DeChambeau 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.93% 0.47% MC
54 USA Kevin Chappell 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.9% 0.45% MC
55 USA Bubba Watson 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.7% 0.24% T27
56 ARG Emiliano Grillo 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.57% 0.12% MC
57 ENG Andrew Johnston 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.46% 0% T27
58 USA Jimmy Walker 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.86% 0.43% T54
59 USA Brendan Steele 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.82% 0.39% MC
60 USA Kyle Stanley 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.8% 0.36% MC
61 JPN Hideto Tanihara 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.68% 0.24% MC
62 USA Charles Howell III 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.68% 0.24% MC
63 KOR Siwoo Kim 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.73% 0.32% MC
64 NZL Ryan Fox 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.43% 0.04% MC
65 USA Webb Simpson 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.84% 0.47% T37
66 USA Gary Woodland 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.67% 0.29% T70
67 SCO Martin Laird 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% MC
68 USA Billy Horschel 230 0.43% 0.36% 1.05% 0.7% MC
69 IND Anirban Lahiri 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.77% 0.41% MC
70 NED Joost Luiten 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.58% 0.22% T44
71 SCO Russell Knox 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.29% -0.07% MC
72 USA Ryan Moore 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% MC
73 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% MC
74 ENG Callum Shinkwin 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.28% -0.04% MC
75 USA Jamie Lovemark 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.72% 0.41% T22
76 USA Pat Perez 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.66% 0.35% MC
77 SCO Richie Ramsay 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.54% 0.24% T22
78 USA Stewart Cink 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.8% 0.51% MC
79 USA Kevin Na 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.73% 0.44% T44
80 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.61% 0.32% MC
81 FRA Alexander Levy 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.55% 0.26% MC
82 ENG Danny Willett 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% 76
83 AUS Cameron Smith 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% MC
84 RSA Ernie Els 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.3% 0.01% 61
85 ENG Matthew Southgate 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.29% 0% T6
86 USA Wesley Bryan 300 0.33% 0.27% 1.05% 0.78% MC
87 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.64% 0.36% T44
88 SWE Alexander Bjork 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% MC
89 USA William McGirt 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% MC
90 USA Robert Streb 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.51% 0.23% MC
91 AUS Andrew Dodt 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.19% T44
92 THA Thongchai Jaidee 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.19% T27
93 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.19% MC
94 RSA Dylan Frittelli 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% MC
95 RSA Brandon Stone 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.11% T70
96 USA David Lipsky 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.53% 0.33% MC
97 ENG David Horsey 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% MC
98 AUS Scott Hend 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% T54
99 ENG Richard Bland 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T22
100 SCO David Drysdale 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% T27
101 ENG Paul Waring 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
102 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% T62
103 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
104 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% MC
105 AUS Aaron Baddeley 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T27
106 SCO Paul Lawrie 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
107 COL Sebastian Munoz 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
108 USA Roberto Castro 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
109 RSA Jbe Kruger 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
110 IND Shiv Kapur 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
111 JPN Yuta Ikeda 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% MC
112 KOR Younghan Song 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% T62
113 USA John Daly 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% MC
114 AUS Adam Bland 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
115 THA Prayad Marksaeng 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% MC
116 ENG Mark Foster 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
117 NIR Darren Clarke 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
118 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% MC
119 RSA Darren Fichardt 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.08% MC
120 AUS Ashley Hall 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.07% MC
121 RSA Shaun Norris 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% T62
122 USA Kent Bulle 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% 77
123 AUS Matthew Griffin 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
124 WAL Stuart Manley 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
125 KOR Yikeun Chang 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% T44
126 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.04% MC
127 KOR Giwhan Kim 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
128 USA Chan Kim 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% T11
129 USA John Ellis 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% MC
130 ENG Haydn McCullen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% MC
131 USA James Hahn 0% 0% 0.63% 0% T74
132 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.6% 0% 3
133 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.54% 0% T20
134 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% 0.51% 0% MC
135 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.48% 0% T62
136 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.47% 0% MC
137 CAN Austin Connelly 0% 0% 0.31% 0% T14
138 KOR K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T62
139 USA Julian Suri 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
140 SCO Connor Syme 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
141 AUS Ryan McCarthy 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
142 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.11% 0% T37
143 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC
144 ITA Luca Cianchetti 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC
145 ENG Toby Tree 0% 0% 0.08% 0% T54
146 ENG Joseph Dean 0% 0% 0.08% 0% T70
147 ENG Alfie Plant 0% 0% 0.06% 0% T62
148 ENG Nick McCarthy 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...