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The Genesis Invitational 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

19 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026 Tour PGA Tour Field 73 Odds updated 17 Feb 2026

See what we tipped for the The Genesis Invitational

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

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profit since 2020, staked at £100 per event
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

The Genesis Invitational 2026 at a glance

Favourite
2.75/1Scottie Scheffler
Favourite's chance
20.3%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
33.3%combined win chance
Field
7367 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
17.2%vs 10.7% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
29players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the The Genesis Invitational at 2.75/1. That is an implied 26.7% before the margin comes out, and 20.3% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a dominant favourite, with Xander Schauffele next in at 16/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 33.3% of the win chance between them, which leaves 66.7% spread across the other 62 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 29 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 17.2%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is BetMGM UK at 10.7% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -6.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

The Genesis Invitational 2026 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 2.75/1 26.7% 20.3% 14th
2 USA Xander Schauffele 16/1 5.9% 4.5% 12th
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 22/1 4.3% 3.3% 39th
4 USA Russell Henley 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 55th
5 KOR Siwoo Kim 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 19th
6 USA Collin Morikawa 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 9th
7 USA Cameron Young 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 2nd
8 USA Harris English 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 22nd
9 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 27th
10 USA Jake Knappe 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 7th
11 SCO Robert MacIntyre 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 21st
12 USA Maverick McNealy 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 64th
13 NOR Viktor Hovland 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 40th
14 USA Rickie Fowler 35/1 2.8% 2.1% 28th
15 USA Sam Burns 35/1 2.8% 2.1% 54th
16 SWE Ludvig Aberg 35/1 2.8% 2.1% 20th
17 USA Benjamin Griffin 40/1 2.4% 1.9% 41st
18 ENG Justin Rose 45/1 2.2% 1.7% 65th
19 AUS Minwoo Lee 45/1 2.2% 1.7% 13th
20 USA Jordan Spieth 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 15th

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the The Genesis Invitational 2026 finished

Jacob Bridgeman won the The Genesis Invitational, having started the week at 90/1 - an implied 1.1% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 14th.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 USA Jacob Bridgeman 90/1 1.1%
2 USA Cameron Young 28/1 3.4%
3 USA Kurt Kitayama 60/1 1.6%
4 NIR Rory McIlroy - -
5 AUS Adam Scott 55/1 1.8%
6 RSA Aldrich Potgieter 500/1 0.2%
7 USA Jake Knappe 30/1 3.2%
8 USA Pierceson Coody 50/1 2.0%
9 USA Collin Morikawa 28/1 3.4%
10 USA Samuel Stevens 125/1 0.8%

Our model's numbers for the The Genesis Invitational

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 2.75 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 26.67% 20.28% ≈ 4/1 7% -13.28% Free
2 USA Xander Schauffele 16 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.47% ≈ 21/1 2% -2.47% Free
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 22 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.31% ≈ 29/1 1% -2.31% Free
4 USA Russell Henley 28 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 🔒
5 USA Collin Morikawa 28 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 🔒
6 USA Cameron Young 28 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 🔒
7 KOR Siwoo Kim 28 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 🔒
8 SCO Robert MacIntyre 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
9 USA Harris English 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
10 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
11 USA Maverick McNealy 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
12 NOR Viktor Hovland 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
13 USA Jake Knappe 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
14 SWE Ludvig Aberg 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.11% ≈ 46/1 🔒
15 USA Rickie Fowler 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.11% ≈ 46/1 🔒
16 USA Sam Burns 35 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.11% ≈ 46/1 🔒
17 USA Benjamin Griffin 40 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% ≈ 53/1 🔒
18 ENG Justin Rose 45 (BetMGM UK: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% ≈ 59/1 🔒
19 AUS Minwoo Lee 45 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% ≈ 59/1 🔒
20 AUT Sepp Straka 50 (BetMGM UK: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 53 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 30 days →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 BetMGM UK 5 @ 1/4 26.3% 10.7%
2 Virgin Bet 5 @ 1/4 26.3% 10.7%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 27% 11.3%
4 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 27.1% 11.6%
5 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 27.1% 11.6%
6 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 29.1% 13.2%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 29.4% 13.5%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 51.2% 14.6%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 51.2% 14.6%
10 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 74.8% 15.3%
11 BresBet 5 @ 1/4 32.1% 16%
12 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 32.2% 16%
13 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 32.4% 16.2%
14 Betway 6 @ 1/5 35.8% 20.8%
15 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 51.1% 23.6%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.2% 23.8%
17 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 24.3%
18 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 24.3%
19 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 32.7% 32.7%

The Genesis Invitational 2026 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the The Genesis Invitational 2026?

Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 2.75/1, which is an implied chance of 26.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 20.3% after. Xander Schauffele was next in the market at 16/1.

Who won the The Genesis Invitational 2026?

Jacob Bridgeman won the The Genesis Invitational 2026, starting the week at 90/1.

When was the The Genesis Invitational 2026 played?

The The Genesis Invitational started on Thursday 19 February 2026 and finished on Sunday 22 February 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big was the The Genesis Invitational field?

73 players were in the field, 67 of them priced by the bookmakers. 29 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the The Genesis Invitational?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 17.2%, against 10.7% at BetMGM UK, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get The Genesis Invitational betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its The Genesis Invitational picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.

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The Genesis Invitational: Predicted and Edge are locked on the rest of the field. Unlock free for 30 days →