Sony Open in Hawaii 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Sony Open in Hawaii
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Sony Open in Hawaii 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Russell Henley favourite for the Sony Open in Hawaii at 10/1. That is an implied 9.1% before the margin comes out, and 7.5% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Hideki Matsuyama next in at 18/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 24.7% of the win chance between them, which leaves 75.3% spread across the other 99 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 69 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 8.4%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Ladbrokes at 2.5% (10 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -5.9 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Sony Open in Hawaii 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Russell Henley
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 7.5% | 23rd |
| 2 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.3% | 28th |
| 3 |
Keegan Bradley
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.3% | 76th |
| 4 |
Siwoo Kim
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.3% | 13th |
| 5 |
Robert MacIntyre
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5th |
| 6 |
Corey Conners
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% | 30th |
| 7 |
Maverick McNealy
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% | 25th |
| 8 |
Aaron Rai
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 50th |
| 9 |
Nicolas Echavarria
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 111th |
| 10 |
Harry Hall
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 11th |
| 11 |
Chris Kirk
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 83rd |
| 12 |
Nick Taylor
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 18th |
| 13 |
Adam Scott
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 46th |
| 14 |
Jordan Spieth
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 14th |
| 15 |
Brian Harman
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 62nd |
| 16 |
Eric Cole
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 74th |
| 17 |
Taylor Pendrith
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 8th |
| 18 |
Kurt Kitayama
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 58th |
| 19 |
Matt McCarty
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 60th |
| 20 |
Daniel Berger
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 7th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Sony Open in Hawaii 2026 finished
Chris Gotterup won the Sony Open in Hawaii. The favourite, Russell Henley, finished 23rd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chris Gotterup
|
- | - |
| 2 |
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
|
1000/1 | 0.1% |
| 3 |
Ryan Gerard
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
| 4 |
Patrick Rodgers
|
140/1 | 0.7% |
| 5 |
Robert MacIntyre
|
18/1 | 5.3% |
| 6 |
Jacob Bridgeman
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 7 |
Daniel Berger
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 8 |
Taylor Pendrith
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 9 |
Lee Hodges
|
100/1 | 1.0% |
| 10 |
Davis Riley
|
350/1 | 0.3% |
Our model's numbers for the Sony Open in Hawaii
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 55.7% | 2.5% |
| 2 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 55.7% | 2.5% |
| 3 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 18.5% | 6.1% |
| 4 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 18.7% | 6.2% |
| 5 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 35.5% | 7.4% |
| 6 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/4 | 35.5% | 7.4% |
| 7 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 22.2% | 7.5% |
| 8 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 22.9% | 8% |
| 9 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 66.8% | 10% |
| 10 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 26.6% | 11.3% |
| 11 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 27.7% | 12.3% |
| 12 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 28% | 12.5% |
| 13 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 25.8% | 12.7% |
| 14 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 26.3% | 13.1% |
| 15 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 31.5% | 17.8% |
| 16 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 31.5% | 17.8% |
| 17 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 34.2% | 20.2% |
| 18 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 35.7% | 21.5% |
| 19 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 23% | 23% |
| 20 | PricedUp | 1 @ 1/1 | 29.8% | 29.8% |
| 21 | BresBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 29.8% | 29.8% |
Sony Open in Hawaii 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Sony Open in Hawaii 2026?
Russell Henley was the outright favourite at 10/1, which is an implied chance of 9.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.5% after. Hideki Matsuyama was next in the market at 18/1.
Who won the Sony Open in Hawaii 2026?
Chris Gotterup won the Sony Open in Hawaii 2026.
When was the Sony Open in Hawaii 2026 played?
The Sony Open in Hawaii started on Thursday 15 January 2026 and finished on Sunday 18 January 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Sony Open in Hawaii field?
123 players were in the field, 104 of them priced by the bookmakers. 69 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Sony Open in Hawaii?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 8.4%, against 2.5% at Ladbrokes, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Sony Open in Hawaii betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Sony Open in Hawaii picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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