Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 44.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 32.2

Total Profit: -67.9

Wyndham Championship

13/08/2020 - 16/08/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Webb Simpson 10 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.22% 3.14% -3.08% T3
2 USA Brooks Koepka 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.26% 2.39% -2.87% MC
3 USA Patrick Reed 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.02% 3.82% -0.2% T9
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.6% 1.42% -2.18% T59
5 ENG Paul Casey 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.26% 0.78% -2.48% T31
6 ENG Justin Rose 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.97% 0.52% -2.45% MC
7 USA Harris English 28 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.36% 1.55% -0.81% T23
8 USA Billy Horschel 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.01% 2.11% 0.09% 2 8.48 +32.2
9 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.9% 1.78% -0.12% T9
10 USA Kevin Kisner 35 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.78% 1.9% 1.62% -0.28% T3
11 USA Brendon Todd 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.9% 1.54% -0.36% MC
12 USA Ryan Moore 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.9% 0.55% -1.35% MC
13 KOR Siwoo Kim 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.9% 0.42% -1.48% T3
14 IRL Shane Lowry 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 1.07% -0.6% T23
15 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.49% 1.11% -0.37% T72
16 ESP Sergio Garcia 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 2.1% 0.76% T66 5.65
17 USA Russell Henley 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 1.44% 0.1% T9 5.65
18 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 0.61% -0.73% T42
19 USA Chez Reavie 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.22% 1.83% 0.6% MC 5.15
20 CAN Corey Conners 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.22% 1% -0.22% MC
21 CHI Joaquin Niemann 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.12% 1.25% 0.13% T42 4.73
22 USA JT Poston 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.02% 1.47% 0.45% MC 4.3
23 ENG Tom Lewis 70 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.96% 2.26% 1.3% T51 4.06
24 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 70 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.96% 1.23% 0.27% T37 4.06
25 SWE Henrik Norlander 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 1.11% 0.15% T59 4.06
26 RSA Dylan Frittelli 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.91% -0.06% T20 4.06
27 USA Doc Redman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.6% -0.37% T3
28 USA Jim Furyk 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.43% -0.53% MC
29 AUT Matthias Schwab 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 1.51% 0.66% T42 3.56
30 USA Patrick Rodgers 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.93% 0.08% T66 3.56
31 SVK Rory Sabbatini 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.77% -0.08% MC 3.56
32 USA Lucas Glover 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.7% -0.15% MC
33 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.84% 0.69% -0.16% T7
34 USA Brian Harman 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.55% -0.3% T27
35 USA Charles Howell III 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.51% -0.34% MC
36 USA Maverick McNealy 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.75% 1.27% 0.51% MC 3.17
37 ENG Matt Wallace 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.75% 0.62% -0.13% MC
38 RSA Charl Schwartzel 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.52% -0.24% MC
39 USA Adam Long 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 1.48% 0.8% T31 2.86
40 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 1.04% 0.36% MC 2.86
41 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 1.04% 0.36% MC 2.86
42 USA Kyle Stanley 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.79% 0.12% MC 2.86
43 USA Bud Cauley 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.78% 0.1% T15 2.86
44 USA Sam Burns 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.71% 0.04% T13 2.86
45 USA Chris Kirk 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.37% -0.31% T51
46 USA William Gordon 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 1.47% 0.86% T27 2.6
47 USA Brice Garnett 110 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.6% -0.02% MC 2.6
48 USA Aaron Wise 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.49% -0.13% MC
49 USA Luke List 110 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% 0.46% -0.16% T66
50 RSA Branden Grace 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.33% -0.29% MC
51 USA Jason Kokrak 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.41% 0.87% T15 2.29
52 USA Scott Stallings 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.54% 1.15% 0.61% T42 2.29
53 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.14% 0.6% MC 2.29
54 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.02% 0.48% MC 2.29
55 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.58% 0.03% T15 2.29
56 MEX Carlos Ortiz 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.53% -0.01% MC 2.29
57 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.92% 0.46% T59
58 USA Zach Johnson 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.82% 0.37% T7
59 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.82% 0.37% T15
60 USA Pat Perez 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.81% 0.36% WD
61 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.68% 0.23% MC
62 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.45% 0.68% 0.23% T37
63 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.68% 0.23% T51
64 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.61% 0.15% T25
65 USA Talor Gooch 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.56% 0.11% T25
66 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.56% 0.1% T37
67 CHN Zhang Xinjun 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.49% 0.03% MC
68 USA Denny McCarthy 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.29% -0.17% T9
69 USA Andrew Landry 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.79% 0.4% T42
70 USA Keith Mitchell 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.5% 0.11% MC
71 USA Austin Cook 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% T74
72 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.31% -0.08% MC
73 USA Scott Piercy 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.23% -0.16% T69
74 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.8% 0.46% T37
75 USA Sam Ryder 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.75% 0.41% MC
76 IRL Seamus Power 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.75% 0.41% T27
77 USA Brandon Hagy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.71% 0.37% MC
78 ARG Fabian Gomez 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.58% 0.24% MC
79 USA Tyler Duncan 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% T13
80 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% MC
81 USA Brian Stuard 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.49% 0.15% T51
82 USA Jason Dufner 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T31
83 USA Wesley Bryan 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% T31
84 USA Tom Hoge 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.38% 0.04% T27
85 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.35% 0.01% T69
86 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.34% 0% T51
87 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.2% -0.14% MC
88 SCO Russell Knox 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.19% -0.15% T72
89 USA Nate Lashley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.12% -0.22% 77
90 USA Peter Uihlein 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.82% 0.55% T74
91 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.69% 0.42% MC
92 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
93 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.46% 0.18% MC
94 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
95 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% MC
96 USA Ben Martin 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T59
97 USA Patton Kizzire 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.06% T51
98 USA Robert Streb 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% MC
99 USA Stewart Cink 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
100 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
101 USA Bo Hoag 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05% T42
102 USA Nick Watney 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.61% 0.39% MC
103 USA Matthew NeSmith 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.51% 0.28% T42
104 USA Harry Higgs 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% MC
105 USA Chris Baker 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.2% T20
106 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.39% 0.17% WD
107 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.15% MC
108 ENG Luke Donald 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.15% MC
109 NZL Tim Wilkinson 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
110 USA Bill Haas 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.32% 0.09% MC
111 USA Josh Teater 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.32% 0.09% T59
112 USA Doug Ghim 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
113 USA J.J Spaun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.05% MC
114 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.15% -0.07% T31
115 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.12% -0.11% MC
116 USA Scott Brown 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.34% 0.14% T42
117 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.27% 0.07% MC
118 AUS Cameron Percy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.22% 0.02% WD
119 USA Mark Anderson 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.17% -0.03% MC
120 USA Zac Blair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
121 USA Brian Gay 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% MC
122 USA Grayson Murray 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.18% 0% MC
123 CAN David Hearn 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.11% -0.06% MC
124 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.82% 0.68% MC
125 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.57% 0.43% MC
126 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.54% 0.4% T37
127 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
128 USA Hank Lebioda 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.23% T42
129 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
130 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.12% MC
131 USA Rob Oppenheim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% T15
132 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.1% T59
133 USA Kramer Hickok 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% T51
134 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.03% MC
135 USA Ryan Brehm 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% 0% T31
136 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.13% 0% T20
137 USA Akshay Bhatia 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.01% MC
138 USA Tyler McCumber 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
139 USA Jim Herman 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.22% 0.1% 1
140 USA Michael Gellerman 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.21% 0.09% MC
141 USA Matt Every 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% T59
142 USA Davis Love III 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% T51
143 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.12% 0.01% MC
144 ARG Nelson Ledesma 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
145 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
146 USA D.J. Trahan 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% MC
147 USA Bo Van Pelt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
148 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
149 AUS John Senden 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
150 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
151 USA Vince Covello 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.05% WD
152 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
153 USA David Berganio-Jr 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.13% 0.1% MC
154 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T74
155 USA Brinson Paolini 0% 0% 0% 0% T69
156 USA Jake Shuman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 44.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.9% 19.9%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58% 22.3%
3 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 58.4% 27.4%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 66.1% 28.7%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 68.2% 30.2%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 68.2% 30.2%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 60.6% 34.4%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 36.2%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 64.2% 37.5%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.8% 40.7%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 56% 42.2%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 65.9% 48%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 65.5% 50.9%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 65.6% 51%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 67.1% 52.3%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 70.4% 55.3%
17 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 114.9% 94.3%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 114.9% 94.3%