Betting Market Analysis for U.S. OPEN

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 5 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 12/1 3.67% -4.32%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 3.65% 1.33%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 2.97% -3.56%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 2.8% -0.99%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.5% -0.27%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.39% -2.4%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.31% -2.48%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 1.98% 0.42%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 209/1 1.9% 1.42%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 153/1 1.81% 1.16%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 126/1 1.75% 0.96%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 84/1 1.74% 0.56%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 56/1 1.69% -0.06%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 348/1 1.66% 1.37%
15 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 1.65% 0.77%
16 USA Bryson DeChambeau 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.76% ≈ 35/1 1.62% -1.15%
17 NOR Viktor Hovland 50 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 1.55% 0.14%
18 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.52% 0.23%
19 ENG Justin Rose 55 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.44% 0.16%
20 ENG Paul Casey 55 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.4% 0.12%
21 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 1.4% 0.92%
22 NIR Rory McIlroy 16 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.23% ≈ 23/1 1.34% -2.89%
23 USA Matthew Wolff 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 1.34% 0.26%
24 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 1.3% 1.16%
25 USA Billy Horschel 100 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 1.28% 0.57%
26 SWE Alexander Noren 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 1.21% 0.64%
27 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 33 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.11% ≈ 46/1 1.2% -0.91%
28 USA Kevin Streelman 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 1.17% 0.85%
29 USA Tony Finau 35 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2% ≈ 49/1 1.14% -0.86%
30 RSA Justin Harding 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 1.13% 0.89%
31 USA Patrick Cantlay 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.32% ≈ 42/1 1.12% -1.2%
32 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 1.1% 0.81%
33 USA Adam Long 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 1.05% 0.81%
34 USA Jason Kokrak 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.95% 0.48%
35 USA Kevin Na 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.94% 0.58%
36 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.94% -0.14%
37 ENG Ian Poulter 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.91% 0.43%
38 AUS Jason Day 35 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2% ≈ 49/1 0.89% -1.11%
39 KOR Siwoo Kim 110 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 153/1 0.87% 0.23%
40 FIN Sami Valimaki 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.86% 0.68%
41 USA Chez Reavie 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.84% 0.37%
42 USA Cameron Champ 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.84% 0.27%
43 ITA Renato Paratore 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.82% 0.68%
44 FRA Romain Langasque 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.81% 0.57%
45 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.8% -0.09%
46 USA Brian Harman 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.78% 0.38%
47 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.78% -0.1%
48 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.77% 0.63%
49 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.77% 0.37%
50 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.77% 0.36%
51 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.74% 0.46%
52 USA Lanto Griffin 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.72% 0.36%
53 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.71% 0.14%
54 AUS Adam Scott 40 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 0.7% -1.05%
55 CHI Joaquin Niemann 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.66% 0.09%
56 USA Mark Hubbard 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.66% 0.42%
57 SCO Robert MacIntyre 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.66% 0.45%
58 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.65% 0.36%
59 CAN Corey Conners 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.64% 0.17%
60 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.6% 0.46%
61 ESP Adrian Otaegui 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.59% 0.41%
62 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.59% 0.38%
63 BEL Thomas Detry 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.58% 0.29%
64 SCO Connor Syme 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.56% 0.32%
65 USA Troy Merritt 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.56% 0.42%
66 KOR Sungjae Im 80 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.55% -0.33%
67 ESP Sergio Garcia 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.55% -0.16%
68 USA Tiger Woods 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.55% -0.86%
69 USA JT Poston 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.55% 0.37%
70 USA Matt Kuchar 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.55% -0.02%
71 RSA Erik van Rooyen 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.53% 0.21%
72 USA Lucas Glover 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.52% 0.32%
73 ENG Lee Westwood 200 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.52% 0.17%
74 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.51% 0.15%
75 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.49% -0.22%
76 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.48% 0.01%
77 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 35 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2% ≈ 49/1 0.48% -1.52%
78 IRL Shane Lowry 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.47% -0.24%
79 AUS Cameron Smith 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.46% -0.01%
80 BEL Thomas Pieters 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.46% -0.02%
81 USA Jordan Spieth 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.44% -0.27%
82 NZL Ryan Fox 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.43% 0.29%
83 AUS Matt Jones 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.43% 0.29%
84 AUS Marc Leishman 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.43% -0.05%
85 USA Charles Howell III 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.4% 0.12%
86 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.4% -0.67%
87 AUT Matthias Schwab 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.4% 0.11%
88 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.39% 0.04%
89 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.38% 0.02%
90 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.36% 0.08%
91 USA Max Homa 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.36% 0.12%
92 USA Chesson Hadley 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.33% 0.15%
93 USA Keegan Bradley 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.32% 0.03%
94 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.31% 0.11%
95 NZL Danny Lee 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.31% 0.07%
96 SWE Henrik Stenson 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.3% -0.17%
97 ENG Danny Willett 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.3% 0.01%
98 USA Steve Stricker 500 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.28% 0.14%
99 AUS Lucas Herbert 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.28% 0.14%
100 USA Brandt Snedeker 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.24% -0.05%
101 ENG Paul Waring 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.19% 0.05%
102 RSA Branden Grace 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.18% -0.23%
103 USA Kurt Kitayama 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.16% 0.02%
104 NIR Graeme McDowell 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.16% -0.05%
105 FRA Victor Perez 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.15% -0.09%
106 USA Andrew Putnam 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.12% -0.02%
107 THA Jazz Janewattananond 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.11% -0.01%
108 RSA JC Ritchie 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.1% 0.03%
109 USA Marty Jertson 3000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4175/1 0.1% 0.07%
110 USA Ryan Vermeer 3000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4175/1 0.1% 0.07%
111 USA Chan Kim 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.1% -0.02%
112 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.1% -0.05%
113 ENG Eddie Pepperell 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.1% -0.05%
114 USA Brandon Wu 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.09% -0.19%
115 USA Jimmy Walker 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.09% -0.03%
116 ESP Eduard Rousaud 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
117 RSA Shaun Norris 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1044/1 0.09% 0%
118 AUS Lukas Michel 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1740/1 0.09% 0.03%
119 IRL James Sugrue 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1740/1 0.09% 0.03%
120 USA Daniel McCarthy 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
121 FRA Paul Barjon 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
122 USA Greyson Sigg 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
123 USA Cole Hammer 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
124 AUS Curtis Luck 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1044/1 0.09% -0.01%
125 USA Davis Thompson 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1044/1 0.09% -0.01%
126 GER Stephan Jaeger 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.09% -0.03%
127 CAN Taylor Pendrith 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.09% -0.03%
128 JPN Takumi Kanaya 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.09% -0.06%
129 USA Lee Hodges 500 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.09% -0.06%
130 USA Davis Riley 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.09% -0.06%
131 JPN Shugo Imahira 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.09% -0.09%
132 USA Will Zalatoris 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.09% -0.39%
133 AUS Scott Hend 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.01%
134 USA Andy Ogletree 1000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.08% 0.01%
135 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
136 USA Daniel Balin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
137 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 USA John Pak 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 USA John Augenstein 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 USA Preston Summerhays 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 SCO Sandy Scott 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 USA Ricky Castillo 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 47.7% 6.6%
2 Skybet 11 @ 1/5 68% 6.7%
3 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 43.7% 11.6%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 69.1% 14.3%
5 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 69.1% 14.3%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 49.8% 16.2%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 72% 16.2%
8 Betway 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 24.3%
9 GentingBet 8 @ 1/5 60.7% 24.7%
10 10Bet 6 @ 1/4 58.2% 27.6%
11 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.5%
12 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.5%
13 SportPesa 6 @ 1/4 60.9% 29.8%
14 VBet 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 34.1%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 38.8%
16 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 66.6% 39.8%
17 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/4 108.5% 72.3%
18 Redzone 6 @ 1/4 156.4% 115%