Betting Market Analysis for U.S. Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 12/1 3.67% -4.32%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 2.97% -3.56%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.39% -2.4%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.31% -2.48%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 1.34% -2.89%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 2.8% -0.99%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.5% -0.27%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.62% -1.15%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 3.65% 1.33%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.12% -1.2%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.2% -0.91%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 1.14% -0.86%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 0.89% -1.11%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 0.48% -1.52%
15 USA Patrick Reed 40 (SportPesa: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 1.69% -0.06%
16 AUS Adam Scott 40 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 0.7% -1.05%
17 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.56% ≈ 63/1 1.98% 0.42%
18 NOR Viktor Hovland 50 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 1.55% 0.14%
19 USA Tiger Woods 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.55% -0.86%
20 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.52% 0.23%
21 ENG Justin Rose 55 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.44% 0.16%
22 ENG Paul Casey 55 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.4% 0.12%
23 USA Harris English 60 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.74% 0.56%
24 USA Matthew Wolff 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 1.34% 0.26%
25 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.94% -0.14%
26 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.4% -0.67%
27 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 1.65% 0.77%
28 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.8% -0.09%
29 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.78% -0.1%
30 KOR Sungjae Im 80 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.55% -0.33%
31 MEX Abraham Ancer 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% ≈ 126/1 1.75% 0.96%
32 USA Billy Horschel 100 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 1.28% 0.57%
33 ESP Sergio Garcia 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.55% -0.16%
34 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.49% -0.22%
35 IRL Shane Lowry 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.47% -0.24%
36 USA Jordan Spieth 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 140/1 0.44% -0.27%
37 GER Martin Kaymer 110 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 153/1 1.81% 1.16%
38 KOR Siwoo Kim 110 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 153/1 0.87% 0.23%
39 SWE Alexander Noren 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 1.21% 0.64%
40 USA Cameron Champ 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.84% 0.27%
41 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.71% 0.14%
42 CHI Joaquin Niemann 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.66% 0.09%
43 USA Matt Kuchar 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.55% -0.02%
44 USA Ryan Palmer 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 1.9% 1.42%
45 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 1.4% 0.92%
46 USA Jason Kokrak 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.95% 0.48%
47 ENG Ian Poulter 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.91% 0.43%
48 USA Chez Reavie 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.84% 0.37%
49 CAN Corey Conners 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.64% 0.17%
50 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.48% 0.01%
51 AUS Cameron Smith 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.46% -0.01%
52 BEL Thomas Pieters 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.46% -0.02%
53 AUS Marc Leishman 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.43% -0.05%
54 SWE Henrik Stenson 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.3% -0.17%
55 USA Will Zalatoris 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.09% -0.39%
56 USA Brian Harman 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.78% 0.38%
57 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.77% 0.37%
58 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.77% 0.36%
59 RSA Branden Grace 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.18% -0.23%
60 USA Kevin Na 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.94% 0.58%
61 USA Lanto Griffin 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.72% 0.36%
62 ENG Lee Westwood 200 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.52% 0.17%
63 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.51% 0.15%
64 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.39% 0.04%
65 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.38% 0.02%
66 USA Kevin Streelman 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 1.17% 0.85%
67 RSA Erik van Rooyen 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.53% 0.21%
68 ENG Andy Sullivan 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 1.66% 1.37%
69 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 1.1% 0.81%
70 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.74% 0.46%
71 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.65% 0.36%
72 BEL Thomas Detry 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.58% 0.29%
73 USA Charles Howell III 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.4% 0.12%
74 AUT Matthias Schwab 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.4% 0.11%
75 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.36% 0.08%
76 USA Keegan Bradley 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.32% 0.03%
77 ENG Danny Willett 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.3% 0.01%
78 USA Brandt Snedeker 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.24% -0.05%
79 USA Brandon Wu 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.09% -0.19%
80 RSA Justin Harding 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 1.13% 0.89%
81 USA Adam Long 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 1.05% 0.81%
82 FRA Romain Langasque 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.81% 0.57%
83 USA Mark Hubbard 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.66% 0.42%
84 SCO Connor Syme 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.56% 0.32%
85 USA Max Homa 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.36% 0.12%
86 NZL Danny Lee 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.31% 0.07%
87 FRA Victor Perez 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.15% -0.09%
88 SCO Robert MacIntyre 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.66% 0.45%
89 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.59% 0.38%
90 USA Lucas Glover 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.52% 0.32%
91 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.31% 0.11%
92 NIR Graeme McDowell 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.16% -0.05%
93 FIN Sami Valimaki 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.86% 0.68%
94 ESP Adrian Otaegui 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.59% 0.41%
95 USA JT Poston 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.55% 0.37%
96 USA Chesson Hadley 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.33% 0.15%
97 JPN Shugo Imahira 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 557/1 0.09% -0.09%
98 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 1.3% 1.16%
99 ITA Renato Paratore 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.82% 0.68%
100 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.77% 0.63%
101 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.6% 0.46%
102 USA Troy Merritt 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.56% 0.42%
103 NZL Ryan Fox 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.43% 0.29%
104 AUS Matt Jones 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.43% 0.29%
105 USA Steve Stricker 500 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.28% 0.14%
106 AUS Lucas Herbert 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.28% 0.14%
107 ENG Paul Waring 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.19% 0.05%
108 USA Kurt Kitayama 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.16% 0.02%
109 USA Andrew Putnam 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.12% -0.02%
110 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.1% -0.05%
111 ENG Eddie Pepperell 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.1% -0.05%
112 JPN Takumi Kanaya 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.09% -0.06%
113 USA Lee Hodges 500 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.09% -0.06%
114 USA Davis Riley 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 696/1 0.09% -0.06%
115 THA Jazz Janewattananond 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.11% -0.01%
116 USA Chan Kim 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.1% -0.02%
117 USA Jimmy Walker 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.09% -0.03%
118 GER Stephan Jaeger 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.09% -0.03%
119 CAN Taylor Pendrith 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.09% -0.03%
120 RSA Shaun Norris 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1044/1 0.09% 0%
121 AUS Curtis Luck 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1044/1 0.09% -0.01%
122 USA Davis Thompson 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1044/1 0.09% -0.01%
123 RSA JC Ritchie 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.1% 0.03%
124 ESP Eduard Rousaud 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
125 USA Daniel McCarthy 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
126 FRA Paul Barjon 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
127 USA Greyson Sigg 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
128 USA Cole Hammer 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.02%
129 AUS Scott Hend 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.09% 0.01%
130 USA Andy Ogletree 1000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1392/1 0.08% 0.01%
131 AUS Lukas Michel 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1740/1 0.09% 0.03%
132 IRL James Sugrue 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1740/1 0.09% 0.03%
133 USA Marty Jertson 3000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4175/1 0.1% 0.07%
134 USA Ryan Vermeer 3000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4175/1 0.1% 0.07%
135 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
136 USA Daniel Balin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
137 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 USA John Pak 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 USA John Augenstein 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 USA Preston Summerhays 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 SCO Sandy Scott 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 USA Ricky Castillo 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 47.7% 6.6%
2 Skybet 11 @ 1/5 68% 6.7%
3 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 43.7% 11.6%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 69.1% 14.3%
5 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 69.1% 14.3%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 49.8% 16.2%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 72% 16.2%
8 Betway 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 24.3%
9 GentingBet 8 @ 1/5 60.7% 24.7%
10 10Bet 6 @ 1/4 58.2% 27.6%
11 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.5%
12 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.5%
13 SportPesa 6 @ 1/4 60.9% 29.8%
14 VBet 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 34.1%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 38.8%
16 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 66.6% 39.8%
17 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/4 108.5% 72.3%
18 Redzone 6 @ 1/4 156.4% 115%