Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 40.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 34.6

Total Profit: -65.6

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

03/10/2019 - 06/10/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brooks Koepka 9 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 10% 6.97% 5.12% -1.85% MC
2 USA Patrick Cantlay 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.36% 3.8% -1.56% 2
3 USA Bryson DeChambeau 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.1% 0.96% -3.14% T4
4 AUS Adam Scott 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.32% 2.14% -1.18% T42
5 USA Webb Simpson 22 (Sportingbet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.03% 2.67% -0.36% T7
6 USA Tony Finau 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 2.43% -0.25% T9
7 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 2.17% -0.52% T16
8 USA Gary Woodland 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% 1.5% -0.9% T55
9 CHI Joaquin Niemann 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.25% 2.46% 0.21% MC 10.15
10 USA Collin Morikawa 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.25% 2% -0.25% T42
11 CAN Adam Hadwin 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 1.89% 0.19% T4 (tied w/3) 7.68 +34.6
12 USA Cameron Champ 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 0.71% -0.99% MC
13 USA Brandt Snedeker 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.52% 2.17% 0.66% T48 6.84
14 KOR Byeong Hun An 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.81% 0.44% MC 6.17
15 USA Chez Reavie 50 (Sportingbet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.52% 0.16% MC 6.17
16 USA Matthew Wolff 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.13% -0.23% T18
17 USA Jason Kokrak 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1% -0.36% T63
18 USA Scottie Scheffler 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 0.94% -0.43% T74
19 RSA Dylan Frittelli 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 0.72% -0.65% MC
20 USA Aaron Wise 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 0.68% -0.69% MC
21 USA Charles Howell III 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 0.92% -0.33% T68
22 USA Andrew Putnam 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 2.12% 1.08% T18 4.7
23 USA Scott Piercy 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 1.83% 0.79% MC 4.7
24 USA JT Poston 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.04% 1.79% 0.75% MC 4.7
25 USA Brian Harman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 1.03% -0.02% T18 4.7
26 MEX Abraham Ancer 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.97% -0.07% MC
27 USA Lucas Glover 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.8% -0.24% T9
28 AUS Cameron Smith 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.55% -0.49% T13
29 USA Bubba Watson 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.53% -0.51% MC
30 USA Kevin Na 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.75% -0.23% 1
31 SVK Rory Sabbatini 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 2.16% 1.3% MC 3.89
32 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.79% -0.07% MC
33 USA Keegan Bradley 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.67% -0.19% 70
34 USA Ryan Moore 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.33% -0.53% T13
35 USA Jim Furyk 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.07% 0.31% T55 3.46
36 USA Kevin Streelman 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.07% 0.3% MC 3.46
37 USA Harold Varner III 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.87% 0.1% T48 3.46
38 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% 0.93% 0.24% T37 3.12
39 ENG Tom Lewis 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.68% -0.01% MC 3.12
40 USA Bud Cauley 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.67% -0.02% MC 3.12
41 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.62% -0.07% MC
42 USA Chesson Hadley 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.6% -0.09% T18
43 USA Daniel Berger 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.5% -0.19% T18
44 USA Peter Uihlein 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.42% -0.27% T63
45 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.31% -0.38% 61
46 SCO Russell Knox 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.72% 0.09% T48 2.84
47 USA Nick Watney 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.63% 0% MC 2.84
48 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.12% 0.57% T18 2.5
49 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.72% 0.17% T29 2.5
50 USA Kevin Tway 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.7% 0.15% T29 2.5
51 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.69% 0.13% T55 2.5
52 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.61% 0.06% T9 2.5
53 USA Bronson Burgoon 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.6% 0.05% T55 2.5
54 USA Russell Henley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.45% -0.11% T37
55 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% 0.41% -0.14% MC
56 USA Zach Johnson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% 0.29% -0.26% MC
57 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 1.28% 0.81% 62
58 AUS Cameron Percy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 1.04% 0.58% MC
59 USA Kyle Stanley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.98% 0.52% T48
60 MEX Carlos Ortiz 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.78% 0.32% T37
61 USA Wyndham Clark 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.48% 0.02% MC
62 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.46% 0% T48
63 USA Keith Mitchell 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.39% -0.07% MC
64 USA Charley Hoffman 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.35% -0.11% T74
65 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.34% -0.12% MC
66 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.26% -0.21% T18
67 TPE C.T. Pan 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 1.4% 1% MC
68 USA Robby Shelton 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.68% 0.29% T42
69 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% T9
70 USA Andrew Landry 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% MC
71 USA Sam Burns 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.59% 0.2% MC
72 USA J.J Spaun 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% MC
73 USA Zac Blair 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.78% 0.43% MC
74 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.72% 0.37% T4
75 USA Troy Merritt 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.72% 0.37% T63
76 USA Harry Higgs 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.67% 0.32% MC
77 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.66% 0.32% T29
78 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% MC
79 USA Doc Redman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T42
80 CAN Roger Sloan 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.5% 0.16% MC
81 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.43% 0.08% T18
82 USA Austin Cook 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% MC
83 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.39% 0.04% T29
84 USA Patton Kizzire 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.36% 0.01% T42
85 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.31% -0.04% T71
86 USA Luke List 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.3% -0.05% T13
87 AUS Aaron Baddeley 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.29% -0.06% T37
88 USA Talor Gooch 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.29% -0.06% T71
89 USA Kurt Kitayama 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.27% -0.07% MC
90 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.23% -0.11% T55
91 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.22% -0.13% T29
92 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.18% -0.17% MC
93 CHN Zhang Xinjun 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.79% 0.51% T16
94 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.77% 0.49% T42
95 USA Peter Malnati 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% MC
96 USA Bill Haas 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
97 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% MC
98 USA Pat Perez 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% 3
99 USA Grayson Murray 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.01% MC
100 ARG Fabian Gomez 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% T55
101 USA Brian Gay 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.25% -0.03% T7
102 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.21% -0.07% MC
103 USA Max Homa 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.92% 0.69% MC
104 AUT Sepp Straka 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.44% 0.21% MC
105 USA Isaiah Salinda 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.44% 0.21% 76
106 USA Mackenzie Hughes 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.19% MC
107 USA Scott Brown 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
108 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.2% -0.03% MC
109 USA Brandon Hagy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.12% -0.11% MC
110 USA James Hahn 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.1% -0.1% T68
111 USA John Oda 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.54% 0.36% T63
112 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% 73
113 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.03% MC
114 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.19% 0.02% MC
115 SWE Henrik Norlander 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.11% -0.06% MC
116 USA Ryan Brehm 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.11% -0.06% MC
117 USA Maverick McNealy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.11% -0.06% T37
118 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.1% -0.07% T18
119 CAN Graham Delaet 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.1% -0.08% MC
120 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% MC
121 USA Matt Every 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T18
122 USA Brendon Todd 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
123 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
124 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
125 AUS Rod Pampling 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
126 USA Matthew NeSmith 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% T18
127 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% MC
128 USA John Huh 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% T48
129 USA Andrew Novak 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
130 USA Chris Stroud 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.16% T48
131 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
132 USA Akshay Bhatia 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.11% 0% MC
133 USA Dylan Wu 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.1% -0.02% MC
134 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% T29
135 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
136 USA Smylie Kaufman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
137 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
138 ARG Nelson Ledesma 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
139 USA Chase Koepka 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% 67
140 USA Martin Trainer 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.1% 0.04% MC
141 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
142 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 AUS Jack Trent 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
144 USA Michael Hopper 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 55.3% 20.3%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.1% 27.2%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 66.2% 28.8%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 67.6% 29.9%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 33.1%
6 Sportingbet 7 @ 1/5 61% 34.8%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 52.1% 35.7%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 62.2% 35.8%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 65.1% 38.3%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 59% 41.8%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 41.9%
12 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 59.8% 42.6%
13 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 60.3% 43%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 61.2% 43.8%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 61.2% 43.8%
16 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 61.2% 43.8%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 61.2% 43.8%
18 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 61.4% 43.9%
19 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 65.4% 47.5%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 63.2% 48.8%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 66.6% 51.9%