Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 43.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 92.6

Total Profit: -7.5

PGA Championship

16/05/2019 - 19/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 10 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.34% 2.77% -3.57% 2
2 USA Brooks Koepka 10 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.34% 1.51% -4.83% 1
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 11 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.81% 3.5% -2.31% T8
4 USA Tiger Woods 14 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.65% 2% -2.64% MC
5 ESP Jon Rahm 18 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.67% 2.39% -1.28% MC
6 USA Rickie Fowler 18 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.67% 1.93% -1.74% T36
7 ENG Justin Rose 18 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.67% 1.12% -2.55% T29
8 AUS Jason Day 20 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.32% 1.53% -1.79% T23
9 ITA Francesco Molinari 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 1.9% -0.78% T48
10 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 1.83% -0.85% T16
11 USA Tony Finau 33 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% 1.32% -0.73% T64
12 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% 1.03% -1.02% T48
13 USA Bryson DeChambeau 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.94% 1.05% -0.88% MC
14 USA Patrick Cantlay 40 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 1.63% -0.07% T3 (tied w/3) 7.47 +33.6
15 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 40 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 1.47% -0.23% T16
16 ESP Sergio Garcia 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.52% 1.6% 0.08% MC 6.66
17 USA Matt Kuchar 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 2.54% 1.17% T8 (tied w/6) 6.01 +5.5
18 ENG Paul Casey 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.23% -0.13% T29 6.01
19 USA Jordan Spieth 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 0.94% -0.42% T3
20 USA Gary Woodland 55 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 1.34% 0.1% T8 (tied w/6) 5.47 +16.4
21 AUS Adam Scott 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 1.25% 0.01% T8 (tied w/6) 5.47 +5.5
22 USA Bubba Watson 55 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 1.23% -0.01% MC 5.47
23 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 60 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 1.13% -0.01% T60 5.02
24 SWE Henrik Stenson 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 1.08% 0.1% T48 4.31
25 USA Phil Mickelson 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 1.07% 0.09% T71 4.31
26 USA Webb Simpson 75 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.92% 0.99% 0.08% T29 4.03
27 USA Patrick Reed 75 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.92% 0.99% 0.08% MC 4.03
28 ENG Ian Poulter 80 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 2.41% 1.55% MC 3.78
29 AUS Marc Leishman 80 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.26% 0.4% MC 3.78
30 USA Jason Kokrak 90 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.59% -0.17% T23
31 USA Kevin Kisner 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 1.16% 0.47% MC 3.03
32 USA Lucas Glover 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.71% 0.02% T16 3.03
33 USA Aaron Wise 110 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.58% -0.05% T41 2.76
34 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 125 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.24% 0.68% T41 2.43
35 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.13% 0.57% T3 (tied w/3) 2.43 +31.6
36 CHN Li Haotong 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.89% 0.33% T36 2.43
37 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.69% 0.14% T71 2.43
38 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.68% 0.13% T29 2.43
39 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.66% 0.11% MC 2.43
40 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.66% 0.11% T41 2.43
41 USA Billy Horschel 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.51% -0.05% T23 2.43
42 AUS Cameron Smith 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.8% 0.34% T64
43 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.72% 0.25% MC
44 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.67% 0.2% MC
45 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.57% 0.11% MC
46 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.57% 0.11% T48
47 USA Ryan Moore 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.56% 0.1% MC
48 KOR Sungjae Im 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.54% 0.08% MC
49 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.5% 0.04% T23
50 USA Brandt Snedeker 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.43% -0.03% T16
51 USA Charley Hoffman 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.35% -0.11% T54
52 GER Martin Kaymer 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.83% 0.43% MC
53 USA Daniel Berger 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.78% 0.38% T71
54 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.68% 0.28% T71
55 KOR Sunghoon Kang 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.65% 0.25% 7
56 USA Ryan Palmer 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% MC
57 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% T54
58 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.5% 0.11% T16
59 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.47% 0.08% MC
60 USA Julian Suri 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.46% 0.07% MC
61 SWE Alexander Noren 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% T54
62 BEL Thomas Pieters 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.43% 0.03% T23
63 USA Pat Perez 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.42% 0.03% T78
64 IRL Shane Lowry 200 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.25% 0.9% T8
65 USA Charles Howell III 200 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.95% 0.61% T41
66 USA Jim Furyk 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.89% 0.55% MC
67 RSA Justin Harding 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.76% 0.42% T54
68 NIR Graeme McDowell 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% T29
69 NED Joost Luiten 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.57% 0.22% T64
70 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.52% 0.18% T64
71 USA Kyle Stanley 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.52% 0.17% MC
72 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.51% 0.17% MC
73 USA Kevin Na 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.12% MC
74 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% T41
75 ENG Lee Westwood 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.35% 0.01% MC
76 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.84% 0.56% MC
77 USA Chez Reavie 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.73% 0.45% T14
78 USA Max Homa 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.64% 0.36% T64
79 USA David Lipsky 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.58% 0.3% T71
80 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
81 RSA Erik van Rooyen 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.49% 0.22% T8
82 USA Luke List 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.21% 6
83 USA J.B. Holmes 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% MC
84 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% T29
85 CAN Corey Conners 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% T64
86 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% MC
87 MEX Abraham Ancer 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T16
88 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.35% 0.07% MC
89 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% 77
90 FIN Mikko Korhonen 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.52% 0.29% MC
91 USA Jimmy Walker 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% T23
92 RSA Dylan Frittelli 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.47% 0.23% MC
93 ENG Ross Fisher 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.44% 0.21% T60
94 USA Brian Harman 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.41% 0.18% MC
95 ENG Danny Willett 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% T41
96 NZL Ryan Fox 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% MC
97 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.2% -0.04% T36
98 USA Cameron Champ 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.18% -0.05% T54
99 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.54% 0.35% MC
100 RSA Richard Sterne 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
101 USA Steve Stricker 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.36% 0.17% MC
102 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.16% T16
103 USA J.J Spaun 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% T54
104 CHI Joaquin Niemann 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% MC
105 USA Patton Kizzire 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.6% 0.42% MC
106 USA Troy Merritt 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.55% 0.37% MC
107 USA Kurt Kitayama 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28% T64
108 NZL Danny Lee 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T36
109 USA Andrew Putnam 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% T78
110 IRL Padraig Harrington 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.36% 0.18% MC
111 USA Sam Burns 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.14% T29
112 USA Chesson Hadley 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.23% 0.06% MC
113 USA Harold Varner III 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% T36
114 AUS Lucas Herbert 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.16% -0.02% T71
115 USA JT Poston 500 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.67% 0.53% T60
116 JPN Shugo Imahira 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% MC
117 THA Jazz Janewattananond 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.31% T14
118 USA Brian Gay 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% WD
119 USA Ryan Armour 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
120 ESP Adrian Otaegui 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
121 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
122 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% T48
123 AUS Brendan Jones 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.52% 0.4% MC
124 SWE Alexander Bjork 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.46% 0.35% MC
125 USA Adam Long 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.19% T41
126 RSA Brandon Stone 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.17% MC
127 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.72% 0.63% MC
128 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T48
129 KOR Y.E. Yang 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.53% 0.46% MC
130 RSA Shaun Norris 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
131 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
132 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
133 USA John Daly 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
134 USA Shane Bertsch 2500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.05% MC
135 USA Daniel Balin 2500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.05% 0.02% MC
136 NED Rowin Caron 2500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.05% 0.02% MC
137 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 0.76% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 43.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...