Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 13.4

Total Profit: -86.8

WGC - Mexico Championship

02/03/2017 - 05/03/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 7 12.5% 10.63% 4.57% -6.06% 1
2 USA Jordan Spieth 8 11.11% 9.45% 2.82% -6.62% T12
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 13 7.14% 6.07% 1.98% -4.1% T7
4 SWE Henrik Stenson 15 6.25% 5.32% 3.27% -2.04% WD
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 5.88% 5% 4.96% -0.04% T25
6 USA Rickie Fowler 21 4.55% 3.87% 2.08% -1.78% T16
7 ENG Justin Rose 24 4% 3.4% 2.19% -1.21% T38
8 AUS Adam Scott 25 3.85% 3.27% 2.62% -0.65% T45
9 ESP Sergio Garcia 27 3.57% 3.04% 1.55% -1.49% T12
10 ESP Jon Rahm 29 3.33% 2.83% 1.51% -1.32% T3
11 USA Justin Thomas 37 2.63% 2.24% 2.18% -0.06% T5
12 USA Gary Woodland 37 2.63% 2.24% 1.57% -0.67% T38
13 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 51 1.92% 1.64% 1.82% 0.18% T48 7.23
14 ENG Paul Casey 51 1.92% 1.64% 1.76% 0.13% T16 7.23
15 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 57 1.72% 1.47% 2.27% 0.81% 10 6.49
16 GER Martin Kaymer 57 1.72% 1.47% 2% 0.54% T23 6.49
17 USA Brandt Snedeker 57 1.72% 1.47% 1.36% -0.11% T7
18 USA Phil Mickelson 61 1.61% 1.37% 1.54% 0.17% T7 (tied w/3) 6.07 +13.4
19 USA Patrick Reed 61 1.61% 1.37% 0.79% -0.59% T61
20 USA Matt Kuchar 67 1.47% 1.25% 1.9% 0.65% T20 5.53
21 USA Jimmy Walker 69 1.43% 1.21% 1.08% -0.14% T25
22 ITA Francesco Molinari 70 1.41% 1.2% 2.6% 1.4% T20 5.3
23 BEL Thomas Pieters 71 1.39% 1.18% 0.68% -0.5% T5
24 USA Bill Haas 72 1.37% 1.17% 1.33% 0.16% T32 5.15
25 USA Brendan Steele 80 1.23% 1.05% 1.12% 0.07% T48
26 ARG Emiliano Grillo 82 1.2% 1.02% 0.82% -0.21% T52
27 USA Bubba Watson 83 1.19% 1.01% 1.22% 0.21% T38 4.48
28 SCO Russell Knox 84 1.18% 1% 1.01% 0.01% 70
29 USA Zach Johnson 86 1.15% 0.98% 1.07% 0.09% T58
30 USA Brooks Koepka 91 1.09% 0.92% 1.34% 0.42% T48 4.09
31 SWE Alexander Noren 91 1.09% 0.92% 1.07% 0.15% T55 4.09
32 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 92 1.08% 0.91% 1.61% 0.69% T16 4.05
33 USA Jason Dufner 98 1.01% 0.86% 0.92% 0.06% T23
34 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 0.99% 0.84% 1.99% 1.15% T38 3.73
35 USA Daniel Berger 100 0.99% 0.84% 0.95% 0.11% T16
36 USA Ryan Moore 101 0.98% 0.83% 1.17% 0.33% T28 3.69
37 USA Kevin Kisner 103 0.96% 0.82% 0.95% 0.14% 11 3.62
38 ENG Danny Willett 108 0.92% 0.78% 1.38% 0.6% 69 3.45
39 USA Jim Furyk 108 0.92% 0.78% 0.85% 0.07% T58
40 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 110 0.9% 0.77% 1.71% 0.95% T45 3.39
41 RSA Charl Schwartzel 112 0.88% 0.75% 1.45% 0.69% T38 3.33
42 USA Pat Perez 112 0.88% 0.75% 1.21% 0.46% T38 3.33
43 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 115 0.86% 0.73% 1.2% 0.47% T38 3.25
44 RSA Branden Grace 115 0.86% 0.73% 0.97% 0.24% T32 3.25
45 USA Kevin Na 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.77% 0.06% T52
46 ENG Lee Westwood 130 0.76% 0.65% 1.18% 0.53% T28 2.87
47 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 150 0.66% 0.56% 1.86% 1.29% 2
48 KOR Jeunghun Wang 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.89% 0.36% 71
49 USA Kevin Chappell 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.86% 0.39% T55
50 NED Joost Luiten 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.99% 0.6% T25
51 USA Scott Piercy 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.66% 0.27% T32
52 RSA Brandon Stone 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.52% 0.14% T67
53 ENG Andy Sullivan 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.47% 0.1% T20
54 USA William McGirt 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.6% 0.26% T28
55 USA David Lipsky 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.81% 0.48% T63
56 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.5% 0.17% T63
57 ENG Ross Fisher 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.85% 0.55% T3
58 USA Roberto Castro 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.68% 0.38% T45
59 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.87% 0.58% T32
60 USA Mackenzie Hughes 300 0.33% 0.28% 1.1% 0.81% T32
61 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 300 0.33% 0.28% 1.02% 0.73% T72
62 JPN Hideto Tanihara 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.82% 0.54% T32
63 RSA Richard Sterne 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.76% 0.47% T72
64 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% T12
65 JPN Yuta Ikeda 400 0.25% 0.21% 1.49% 1.27% T61
66 AUS Scott Hend 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.78% 0.57% T65
67 KOR Siwoo Kim 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.72% 0.5% T72
68 AUS Marcus Fraser 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% T58
69 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.55% 0.41% T55
70 AUS Matthew Griffin 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.12% 75
71 MEX Roberto Diaz 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T67
72 USA J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 1.11% 0% T12
73 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.1% 0% T65
74 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 1.04% 0% T48
75 ENG Chris Wood 0% 0% 0.67% 0% T28
76 KOR K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.56% 0% 76

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...