The Genesis Invitational 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the The Genesis Invitational
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
The Genesis Invitational 2020 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Rory McIlroy favourite for the The Genesis Invitational at 7/1. That is an implied 12.5% before the margin comes out, and 8.8% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Justin Thomas next in at 10/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 30.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 70.0% spread across the other 111 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 84 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 39.5%, or 14.4% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Skybet at 21.6% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -17.8 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
The Genesis Invitational 2020 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rory McIlroy
|
7/1 | 12.5% | 8.8% | 5th |
| 2 |
Justin Thomas
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.4% | 94th |
| 3 |
Jon Rahm
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.4% | 17th |
| 4 |
Dustin Johnson
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.7% | 10th |
| 5 |
Tiger Woods
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.7% | 68th |
| 6 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 17th |
| 7 |
Bubba Watson
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 72nd |
| 8 |
Brooks Koepka
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 43rd |
| 9 |
Xander Schauffele
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 23rd |
| 10 |
Tony Finau
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 51st |
| 11 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5th |
| 12 |
Adam Scott
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1st |
| 13 |
Jason Day
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 74th |
| 14 |
Justin Rose
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 56th |
| 15 |
Marc Leishman
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 43rd |
| 16 |
Patrick Reed
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 51st |
| 17 |
Phil Mickelson
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 97th |
| 18 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 5th |
| 19 |
Collin Morikawa
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 26th |
| 20 |
Jordan Spieth
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 59th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the The Genesis Invitational 2020 finished
Adam Scott won the The Genesis Invitational, having started the week at 30/1 - an implied 3.2% chance. The favourite, Rory McIlroy, finished 5th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Adam Scott
|
30/1 | 3.2% |
| 2 |
Matt Kuchar
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 2 |
Scott Brown
|
500/1 | 0.2% |
| 2 |
Sunghoon Kang
|
- | - |
| 5 |
Rory McIlroy
|
7/1 | 12.5% |
| 5 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 5 |
Max Homa
|
90/1 | 1.1% |
| 5 |
Joel Dahmen
|
275/1 | 0.4% |
| 5 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 10 |
Dustin Johnson
|
14/1 | 6.7% |
| 10 |
Chez Reavie
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 10 |
Talor Gooch
|
300/1 | 0.3% |
Our model's numbers for the The Genesis Invitational
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 56.5% | 21.6% |
| 2 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 60.4% | 24.5% |
| 3 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 60.4% | 24.5% |
| 4 | Betfred | 7 @ 1/5 | 53% | 28.4% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 69.3% | 31.5% |
| 6 | Sportingbet | 6 @ 1/4 | 64.5% | 32.7% |
| 7 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.6% | 33.6% |
| 8 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.2% | 36.2% |
| 9 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 65.3% | 38.8% |
| 10 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.1% | 39.8% |
| 11 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.5% | 40.7% |
| 12 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.2% | 40.8% |
| 13 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.7% | 40.8% |
| 14 | MoPlay | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.7% | 40.8% |
| 15 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.7% | 40.8% |
| 16 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 55% | 41.5% |
| 17 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 59.5% | 42.5% |
| 18 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.3% | 43.6% |
The Genesis Invitational 2020 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the The Genesis Invitational 2020?
Rory McIlroy was the outright favourite at 7/1, which is an implied chance of 12.5% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 8.8% after. Justin Thomas was next in the market at 10/1.
Who won the The Genesis Invitational 2020?
Adam Scott won the The Genesis Invitational 2020, starting the week at 30/1.
When was the The Genesis Invitational 2020 played?
The The Genesis Invitational started on Thursday 13 February 2020 and finished on Sunday 16 February 2020. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the The Genesis Invitational field?
120 players were in the field, 116 of them priced by the bookmakers. 84 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the The Genesis Invitational?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 39.5%, against 21.6% at Skybet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get The Genesis Invitational betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its The Genesis Invitational picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
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