FedEx Open de France 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the FedEx Open de France
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
FedEx Open de France 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Tommy Fleetwood favourite for the FedEx Open de France at 7/1. That is an implied 12.5% before the margin comes out, and 10.5% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Ludvig Aberg next in at 7/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 42.5% of the win chance between them, which leaves 57.5% spread across the other 137 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 118 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 6.2%, or 4.8% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Betfair Exchange at 16.4% (1 @ 1/1), so taking the best price player by player is worth 10.3 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
FedEx Open de France 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
7/1 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 142nd |
| 2 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
7/1 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11th |
| 3 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
8.5/1 | 10.5% | 8.9% | 1st |
| 4 |
Viktor Hovland
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 7.0% | 33rd |
| 5 |
Ryan Gerard
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 5.6% | 14th |
| 6 |
Kristoffer Reitan
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3rd |
| 7 |
Thomas Detry
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 20th |
| 8 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
|
34/1 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3rd |
| 9 |
Bud Cauley
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 66th |
| 10 |
Angel Ayora
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 28th |
| 11 |
Victor Perez
|
48/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 75th |
| 12 |
Andy Sullivan
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | - |
| 13 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
53/1 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 14th |
| 14 |
Michael Kim
|
58/1 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 7th |
| 15 |
Cameron Smith
|
66/1 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 113th |
| 16 |
Jeff Winther
|
66/1 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 10th |
| 17 |
Thomas Pieters
|
68/1 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 63rd |
| 18 |
Guido Migliozzi
|
70/1 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 7th |
| 19 |
Antoine Rozner
|
77/1 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 20th |
| 20 |
Sam Bairstow
|
87/1 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 14th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the FedEx Open de France 2026 finished
Matthew Fitzpatrick won the FedEx Open de France, having started the week at 8.5/1 - an implied 10.5% chance. The favourite, Tommy Fleetwood, finished 142nd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
8.5/1 | 10.5% |
| 2 |
Angel Hidalgo Portillo
|
254/1 | 0.4% |
| 3 |
Matthieu Pavon
|
195/1 | 0.5% |
| 3 |
Kristoffer Reitan
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 3 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
|
34/1 | 2.9% |
| 3 |
Tom Vaillant
|
146/1 | 0.7% |
| 7 |
Michael Kim
|
58/1 | 1.7% |
| 7 |
Brandon Stone
|
264/1 | 0.4% |
| 7 |
Guido Migliozzi
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
| 10 |
Jeff Winther
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
Our model's numbers for the FedEx Open de France
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange | 1 @ 1/1 | 8.9% | 16.4% |
| 2 | AK Bets | 5 @ 1/5 | 31.5% | 29.7% |
| 3 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.9% | 33.2% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.2% | 33.6% |
| 5 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 68.3% | 34.2% |
| 6 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.9% | 34.8% |
| 7 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.9% | 34.8% |
| 8 | QuinnBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.9% | 35.1% |
| 9 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.1% | 35.2% |
| 10 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.5% | 35.5% |
| 11 | Ladbrokes | 7 @ 1/5 | 68.4% | 39.3% |
| 12 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 68.4% | 39.3% |
| 13 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 59.6% | 41% |
| 14 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 57% | 41.2% |
| 15 | BetMGM UK | 1 @ 1/1 | 42% | 42% |
| 16 | Betfred | 1 @ 1/1 | 45.4% | 45.4% |
| 17 | BetAhoy | 5 @ 1/4 | 64.7% | 45.5% |
| 18 | BetGoodwin | 5 @ 1/4 | 65.1% | 45.9% |
| 19 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 65.3% | 48.7% |
| 20 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 65.5% | 48.9% |
| 21 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 49% | 49% |
FedEx Open de France 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the FedEx Open de France 2026?
Tommy Fleetwood was the outright favourite at 7/1, which is an implied chance of 12.5% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 10.5% after. Ludvig Aberg was next in the market at 7/1.
Who won the FedEx Open de France 2026?
Matthew Fitzpatrick won the FedEx Open de France 2026, starting the week at 8.5/1.
When was the FedEx Open de France 2026 played?
The FedEx Open de France started on Thursday 24 September 2026 and finished on Sunday 27 September 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the FedEx Open de France field?
152 players were in the field, 142 of them priced by the bookmakers. 118 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the FedEx Open de France?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 6.2%, against 16.4% at Betfair Exchange, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get FedEx Open de France betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its FedEx Open de France picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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