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Houston Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

26 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 Tour PGA Tour Field 142 Odds updated 26 Mar 2026

See what we tipped for the Houston Open

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

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profit since 2020, staked at £100 per event
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

Houston Open 2026 at a glance

Favourite
3.33/1Scottie Scheffler
Favourite's chance
17.4%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
28.6%combined win chance
Field
142128 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
12.5%vs 20.5% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
91players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the Houston Open at 3.33/1. That is an implied 23.1% before the margin comes out, and 17.4% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a clear favourite, with Jake Knappe next in at 25/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 28.6% of the win chance between them, which leaves 71.4% spread across the other 123 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 91 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 12.5%, or 4.1% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Boyle Sports at 20.5% (10 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth 8 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

Houston Open 2026 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 3.33/1 23.1% 17.4% -
2 USA Jake Knappe 25/1 3.8% 2.9% 6th
3 ENG Marco Penge 25/1 3.8% 2.9% 85th
4 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 25/1 3.8% 2.9% 2nd
5 USA Rickie Fowler 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 96th
6 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 14th
7 USA Sam Burns 30/1 3.2% 2.4% 21st
8 USA Kurt Kitayama 30/1 3.2% 2.4% 60th
9 USA Ryan Gerard 35/1 2.8% 2.1% 98th
10 AUS Adam Scott 40/1 2.4% 1.8% 21st
11 USA Harris English 45/1 2.2% 1.6% 21st
12 USA Keith Mitchell 45/1 2.2% 1.6% 14th
13 CAN Taylor Pendrith 45/1 2.2% 1.6% 130th
14 USA Wyndham Clark 45/1 2.2% 1.6% 106th
15 USA Benjamin Griffin 45/1 2.2% 1.6% 28th
16 AUS Jason Day 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 6th
17 IRL Shane Lowry 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 28th
18 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 28th
19 USA Pierceson Coody 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 135th
20 ENG Harry Hall 55/1 1.8% 1.3% 28th

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the Houston Open 2026 finished

Gary Woodland won the Houston Open, having started the week at 100/1 - an implied 1.0% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, did not post a finishing position.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 USA Gary Woodland 100/1 1.0%
2 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 25/1 3.8%
3 AUS Minwoo Lee - -
3 USA John Keefer 200/1 0.5%
5 USA Samuel Stevens 60/1 1.6%
6 AUS Jason Day 50/1 2.0%
6 USA Jake Knappe 25/1 3.8%
6 USA Chris Gotterup - -
6 CAN Sudarshan Yellamaraju 70/1 1.4%
10 USA Bronson Burgoon 600/1 0.2%
10 USA Sahith Theegala 60/1 1.6%

Our model's numbers for the Houston Open

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 3.33 (BOYLE Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 23.09% 17.36% ≈ 5/1 8% -9.36% Free
2 ENG Marco Penge 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.89% ≈ 34/1 2% -0.89% Free
3 USA Jake Knappe 25 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.89% ≈ 34/1 1% -1.89% Free
4 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.89% ≈ 34/1 🔒
5 USA Rickie Fowler 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% ≈ 38/1 🔒
6 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% ≈ 38/1 🔒
7 USA Sam Burns 30 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.42% ≈ 40/1 🔒
8 USA Kurt Kitayama 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.42% ≈ 40/1 🔒
9 USA Ryan Gerard 35 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% ≈ 47/1 🔒
10 AUS Adam Scott 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% ≈ 54/1 🔒
11 USA Benjamin Griffin 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 🔒
12 USA Harris English 45 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 🔒
13 USA Keith Mitchell 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 🔒
14 CAN Taylor Pendrith 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 🔒
15 USA Wyndham Clark 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 🔒
16 IRL Shane Lowry 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 🔒
17 AUS Jason Day 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 🔒
18 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 🔒
19 USA Pierceson Coody 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 🔒
20 ENG Harry Hall 55 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 73/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 122 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 30 days →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 81.1% 20.5%
2 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 36.9% 21%
3 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 82.2% 21.4%
4 Coral 10 @ 1/5 82.2% 21.4%
5 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 35.8% 22.2%
6 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 35.8% 22.2%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.3% 22.3%
8 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 38.4% 22.3%
9 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 36.3% 22.6%
10 PricedUp 6 @ 1/5 36.3% 22.6%
11 BresBet 6 @ 1/5 36.3% 22.6%
12 AK Bets 4 @ 1/5 12.3% 22.6%
13 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.5% 23%
14 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.5% 23%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/4 58.2% 26.4%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/4 58.2% 26.4%
17 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 42.1% 27.9%
18 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 31.5%
19 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 31.5%
20 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 32.4% 32.4%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 34%
22 Betway 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 36.9%
23 BetGoodwin 1 @ 1/1 54.9% 54.9%
24 BetTom 1 @ 1/1 54.9% 54.9%

Houston Open 2026 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the Houston Open 2026?

Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 3.33/1, which is an implied chance of 23.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 17.4% after. Jake Knappe was next in the market at 25/1.

Who won the Houston Open 2026?

Gary Woodland won the Houston Open 2026, starting the week at 100/1.

When was the Houston Open 2026 played?

The Houston Open started on Thursday 26 March 2026 and finished on Sunday 29 March 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big was the Houston Open field?

142 players were in the field, 128 of them priced by the bookmakers. 91 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the Houston Open?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 12.5%, against 20.5% at Boyle Sports, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get Houston Open betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its Houston Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.

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