Farmers Insurance Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Farmers Insurance Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
£39.99/month after 30 days. Cancel any time.
Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Farmers Insurance Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Xander Schauffele favourite for the Farmers Insurance Open at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 6.2% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Jason Day next in at 22/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 18.8% of the win chance between them, which leaves 81.2% spread across the other 131 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 94 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 10.3%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is 888Sport at 7.8% (6 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -2.4 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Farmers Insurance Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Xander Schauffele
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 6.2% | 83rd |
| 2 |
Jason Day
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.5% | 39th |
| 3 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.1% | 82nd |
| 4 |
J.J Spaun
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.1% | 108th |
| 5 |
Maverick McNealy
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 16th |
| 6 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 14th |
| 7 |
Adam Scott
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 32nd |
| 8 |
Harris English
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 24th |
| 9 |
Taylor Pendrith
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 80th |
| 10 |
Rasmus Hojgaard
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 31st |
| 11 |
Samuel Stevens
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 30th |
| 12 |
Ryan Gerard
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 11th |
| 13 |
Marco Penge
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 132nd |
| 14 |
Garrick Higgo
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 125th |
| 15 |
Will Zalatoris
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 100th |
| 16 |
Michael Thorbjornsen
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 18th |
| 17 |
Justin Rose
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1st |
| 18 |
Keegan Bradley
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 44th |
| 19 |
Patrick Rodgers
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 34th |
| 20 |
Jake Knappe
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Farmers Insurance Open 2026 finished
Justin Rose won the Farmers Insurance Open, having started the week at 50/1 - an implied 2.0% chance. The favourite, Xander Schauffele, finished 83rd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Justin Rose
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 2 |
Siwoo Kim
|
- | - |
| 3 |
Ryo Hisatsune
|
350/1 | 0.3% |
| 4 |
Jake Knappe
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 5 |
Stephan Jaeger
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 6 |
Sahith Theegala
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
| 7 |
Andrew Novak
|
100/1 | 1.0% |
| 8 |
Pierceson Coody
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 9 |
Joel Dahmen
|
225/1 | 0.4% |
| 10 |
Tony Finau
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
Our model's numbers for the Farmers Insurance Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/4 | 35.8% | 7.8% |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 65.8% | 9.6% |
| 3 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 65.8% | 9.6% |
| 4 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 39.1% | 10.4% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 25.7% | 10.8% |
| 6 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 25.7% | 10.8% |
| 7 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 25.9% | 10.9% |
| 8 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.3% | 13% |
| 9 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.3% | 13.1% |
| 10 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.7% | 13.5% |
| 11 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 26.8% | 13.9% |
| 12 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 26.8% | 13.9% |
| 13 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 30.9% | 17.6% |
| 14 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 31.9% | 18.5% |
| 15 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 31.9% | 18.5% |
| 16 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 24.7% | 24.7% |
| 17 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.6% | 27.2% |
| 18 | PricedUp | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.6% | 27.2% |
| 19 | BresBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.6% | 27.2% |
| 20 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 45% | 30.2% |
Farmers Insurance Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Farmers Insurance Open 2026?
Xander Schauffele was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 6.2% after. Jason Day was next in the market at 22/1.
Who won the Farmers Insurance Open 2026?
Justin Rose won the Farmers Insurance Open 2026, starting the week at 50/1.
When was the Farmers Insurance Open 2026 played?
The Farmers Insurance Open started on Thursday 29 January 2026 and finished on Sunday 1 February 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Farmers Insurance Open field?
152 players were in the field, 136 of them priced by the bookmakers. 94 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Farmers Insurance Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 10.3%, against 7.8% at 888Sport, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Farmers Insurance Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Farmers Insurance Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
Get the picks, not just the numbers
Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. Your first 30 days are free.
£39.99/month after 30 days. Cancel any time.
More golf betting analysis
- All golf betting tips
- Mexico Open betting tips
- PGA Tour and DP World Tour schedule
- GolfForecast track record
- Each-way golf betting explained
- Which bookie is best for golf?
- Should you bet each-way on golf?
- How often do favourites win golf events?
- Golfer profiles and form
18+. Please gamble responsibly. GolfForecast publishes statistical analysis, not guarantees - past results do not guarantee future returns.