Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 40.4

Total Profit: -59.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Patrick Cantlay 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.14% 3.22% -3.92% T2
2 USA Will Zalatoris 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.04% 3.24% -1.8% T20
3 USA Tony Finau 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.04% 2.84% -2.2% 1
4 USA Cameron Young 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.08% 3.93% -0.15% T2
5 USA Max Homa 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.29% 4.38% 1.09% T24 14.65
6 AUS Adam Scott 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.52% 2.37% -0.15% T37 11.2
7 AUS Cameron Davis 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.52% 1.33% -1.19% T14
8 USA Kevin Kisner 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 1.22% -1.16% MC
9 USA Keegan Bradley 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 2.84% 0.75% T44 9.29
10 USA Sahith Theegala 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 1.74% -0.34% T57
11 USA Davis Riley 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 1.33% -0.76% MC
12 USA Denny McCarthy 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 1.17% -0.92% MC
13 USA Russell Henley 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.47% -0.21% T10 7.47
14 USA Gary Woodland 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.37% -0.31% MC 7.47
15 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.36% -0.31% T14
16 USA Mark Hubbard 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.23% -0.45% MC
17 USA Chris Kirk 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.12% -0.56% T17
18 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.06% -0.62% MC
19 USA Cameron Tringale 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 0.9% -0.78% T57
20 USA Webb Simpson 53 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.85% 1.59% 0.58% -1% T69
21 CAN Adam Hadwin 58 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.69% 1.45% 0.89% -0.56% T37
22 KOR Joohyung Kim 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.89% 0.61% 7 5.69 +40.4
23 USA Scott Stallings 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.22% -0.06% T10 5.69
24 USA Brendan Steele 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.15% -0.13% T30 5.69
25 CAN Taylor Pendrith 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.8% -0.4% T2
26 USA Alex Smalley 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.72% -0.33% MC
27 USA Cameron Champ 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.59% -0.46% T20
28 USA Luke List 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.94% 0.47% -0.47% MC
29 USA Troy Merritt 97 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.02% 0.87% 0.97% 0.1% T14 1.95
30 USA Kurt Kitayama 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 1.16% 0.31% T20 3.77
31 USA Wyndham Clark 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.88% 0.03% T8 3.77
32 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.8% -0.04% MC 3.77
33 USA Patrick Rodgers 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.71% -0.14% T44 3.77
34 USA Rickie Fowler 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.41% -0.44% MC
35 AUS Jason Day 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.33% -0.52% T17
36 ENG Danny Willett 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.79% 0.73% -0.06% T67 1.77
37 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.79% 0.7% -0.09% T49 1.77
38 USA Kevin Streelman 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.73% 1.17% 0.45% T49 1.62
39 USA Matt Kuchar 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.73% 1.01% 0.28% MC 1.62
40 CAN Adam Svensson 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.73% 0.76% 0.03% T24 1.62
41 ENG Callum Tarren 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.6% -0.08% T20 3.03
42 USA Mackenzie Hughes 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.67% 1% 0.33% MC 1.5
43 TPE C.T. Pan 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.67% 0.77% 0.1% MC 1.5
44 USA Doug Ghim 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.67% 0.69% 0.01% MC 1.5
45 USA Nick Hardy 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.63% 0.51% -0.11% MC
46 USA Greyson Sigg 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.46% -0.12% MC
47 USA Ryan Palmer 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.43% -0.15% MC
48 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1% 0.44% T69
49 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.91% 0.34% MC
50 USA Harris English 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% MC
51 USA David Lipsky 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 1.16% 0.67% T37
52 USA Scott Piercy 175 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.43% -0.06% MC
53 RSA Dylan Frittelli 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.78% 0.32% MC
54 USA Austin Smotherman 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.46% 0% T69
55 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 1.37% 0.93% MC
56 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.63% 0.2% T8
57 USA Nate Lashley 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.62% 0.2% T57
58 USA Patton Kizzire 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.56% 0.13% 74
59 USA Lee Hodges 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.53% 0.1% T44
60 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.5% 0.08% 5
61 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.49% 0.06% T17
62 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.47% 0.05% MC
63 USA Hayden Buckley 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.27% -0.16% T24
64 USA Stewart Cink 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.66% 0.24% T57
65 USA Adam Schenk 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.61% 0.2% MC
66 SCO Russell Knox 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.6% 0.19% T37
67 USA Tyler Duncan 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.52% 0.11% T44
68 USA James Hahn 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.79% 0.39% MC
69 USA Trey Mullinax 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.77% 0.38% T37
70 USA Hank Lebioda 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.34% -0.06% MC
71 CAN Michael Gligic 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% MC
72 ENG Matt Wallace 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.57% 0.2% T10
73 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.49% 0.15% T24
74 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.42% 0.07%
75 USA Chad Ramey 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.3% -0.04% MC
76 USA Brandon Wu 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.48% 0.14% T30
77 USA Taylor Moore 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.58% 0.28% 6
78 USA Andrew Novak 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
79 USA Ryan Armour 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08%
80 USA John Huh 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 1% 0.72% T57
81 USA Brice Garnett 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.65% 0.37% MC
82 RSA Garrick Higgo 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.62% 0.34% MC
83 CAN Nick Taylor 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.6% 0.32% MC
84 USA Kramer Hickok 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.53% 0.25% MC
85 AUT Matthias Schwab 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.29% 0.01% MC
86 USA Michael Thompson 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.59% 0.31% T24
87 USA Peter Malnati 362 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.72% 0.48% 73
88 USA Kelly Kraft 362 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.36% 0.13% MC
89 USA Robert Streb 381 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.51% 0.28% MC
90 USA Joseph Bramlett 391 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% MC
91 USA Charley Hoffman 391 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% T10
92 USA Harry Higgs 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% MC
93 USA Brian Stuard 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.26% 0.04% MC
94 USA Doc Redman 411 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% T57
95 SVK Rory Sabbatini 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.29% 0.09% T49
96 USA Justin Lower 450 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% T30
97 USA Scott Gutschewski 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.08% MC
98 USA Chase Seiffert 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
99 CAN Roger Sloan 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.17% 0% T49
100 FRA Paul Barjon 538 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.22% 0.07% MC
101 USA Ryan Moore 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% MC
102 KOR Seungyul Noh 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
103 USA Zach Johnson 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.21% 0.07% T49
104 USA Kevin Chappell 665 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
105 USA Jonathan Byrd 675 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
106 AUS Cameron Percy 685 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% WD
107 USA Brandon Hagy 685 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.19% 0.06% MC
108 USA Kevin Tway 695 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.31% 0.18% MC
109 SWE Henrik Norlander 705 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% T30
110 USA Dylan Wu 734 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
111 USA Curtis Thompson 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% MC
112 USA Austin Cook 763 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.22% T57
113 USA Sean O'Hair 763 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.16% MC
114 USA Cole Hammer 763 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0% MC
115 USA Vaughn Taylor 783 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% WD
116 COL Camilo Villegas 793 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% WD
117 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 822 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
118 USA Bill Haas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% MC
119 USA Max McGreevy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
120 AUS Aaron Baddeley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% MC
121 ENG Luke Donald 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.28% T49
122 USA Seth Reeves 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T37
123 USA Ben Kohles 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.25% MC
124 USA William McGirt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% 75
125 USA Jim Knous 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
126 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.15% T49
127 USA Brandon Matthews 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.13% MC
128 USA Jared Wolfe 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
129 USA Ben Martin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T24
130 USA Bo Van Pelt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% T67
131 USA Ryan Brehm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T57
132 USA Wesley Bryan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T57
133 USA Richy Werenski 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T30
134 ENG David Skinns 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
135 USA Bo Hoag 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% T30
136 USA Andrew Landry 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.09% 0.01% MC
137 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
138 USA Brian Gay 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.22% MC
139 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.15% T30
140 USA Joshua Creel 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
141 KOR Sunghoon Kang 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.08% T37
142 RSA Dawie van der Walt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.05% MC
143 USA Morgan Hoffmann 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.04% MC
144 AUS Brett Drewitt 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
145 USA Tommy Gainey 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.17% MC
146 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.11% 0.05% MC
147 USA Benjamin Cook 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.07% MC
148 SWE David Lingmerth 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
149 USA Robert Garrigus 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Luke Guthrie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Davis Love III 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Lucas Glover 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% 0% 0% T69
155 USA Erik Flores 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 THA KK Limbhasut 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
157 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
158 USA Wyatt Worthington II 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.9% 13.9%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 19%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 19.1%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.9% 23.4%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 50.4% 24.1%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 66.1% 26.7%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68% 28.1%
8 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 29%
9 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 70.6% 30.1%
10 Coral 8 @ 1/5 70.6% 30.1%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 30.3%
12 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 30.3%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 37.8%
14 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.4% 39.8%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 59.4% 40.7%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 42%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 43.1%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/5 45.3% 43.6%
19 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/5 47.8% 46%
20 10Bet 5 @ 1/5 48.1% 46.3%