Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 41.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 32.7

Total Profit: -67.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 5 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 16.67% 11.36% 5.93% -5.43% 1
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 8 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.57% 2.55% -5.02% T18
3 USA Patrick Reed 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.54% 3.76% -0.78% T66
4 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.54% 3.18% -1.36% T6
5 USA Tony Finau 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.54% 2.98% -1.56% T2
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.01% 2.47% -1.54% T6
7 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.96% 2.45% -0.51% T26
8 ENG Paul Casey 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.96% 1.82% -1.14% T12
9 MEX Abraham Ancer 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.62% 2.64% 0.01% T53 11.86
10 ESP Sergio Garcia 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.62% 0.85% -1.77% T12
11 SCO Robert MacIntyre 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2% 2.31% 0.3% T29 9.07
12 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.87% 0.21% T53 7.52
13 IRL Shane Lowry 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 0.93% -0.73% T29
14 ENG Matt Wallace 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% 1.85% 0.37% MC 6.7
15 BEL Thomas Pieters 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% 0.64% -0.7% T10
16 USA Jason Kokrak 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.22% 1.86% 0.65% T41 5.51
17 ENG Justin Rose 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.22% 0.66% -0.56% T2
18 ENG Andy Sullivan 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 0.95% -0.17% T33
19 USA Kevin Na 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.02% 2.07% 1.05% T21 4.6
20 ENG Lee Westwood 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.49% 0.47% T50 4.6
21 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.44% 0.42% T53 4.6
22 ESP Adria Arnaus 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.22% 0.21% MC 4.6
23 FRA Victor Perez 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.07% 0.06% T4 (tied w/2) 4.6 +32.7
24 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.94% -0.08% MC 4.6
25 BEL Thomas Detry 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.84% -0.18% T53
26 AUT Matthias Schwab 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.75% -0.27% T41
27 GER Martin Kaymer 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 0.71% -0.3% T18
28 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.52% -0.44% T33
29 ENG Ian Poulter 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 2.23% 1.39% T18 3.81
30 FRA Antoine Rozner 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 1.52% 0.67% T26 3.81
31 USA Phil Mickelson 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.22% -0.63% T53
32 ENG Laurie Canter 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 1.55% 0.8% T21 3.39
33 NZL Ryan Fox 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.28% -0.47% T6
34 FIN Sami Valimaki 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 2.24% 1.57% MC 3.06
35 USA David Lipsky 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 1.4% 0.72% MC 3.06
36 JPN Takumi Kanaya 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.44% -0.24% T53
37 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.34% -0.33% T63
38 RSA Brandon Stone 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.32% 0.78% MC 2.45
39 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.26% 0.72% MC 2.45
40 NED Joost Luiten 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.85% 0.31% T41 2.45
41 FRA Alexander Levy 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.64% 0.1% MC 2.45
42 FRA Romain Langasque 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.56% 0.02% T72 2.45
43 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.5% -0.04% T41 2.45
44 USA Sean Crocker 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.41% -0.13% T12
45 ENG Aaron Rai 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.45% 1.17% 0.72% MC
46 SCO Marc Warren 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 1.01% 0.56% MC
47 FIN Kalle Samooja 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.86% 0.41% MC
48 FRA Victor Dubuisson 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.84% 0.39% WD
49 RSA George Coetzee 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.8% 0.35% T10
50 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.75% 0.3% T53
51 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.51% 0.06% MC
52 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.5% 0.05% MC
53 RSA Justin Harding 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.45% 0% T41
54 SWE Henrik Stenson 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.43% -0.02% MC
55 USA Kurt Kitayama 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.45% 0.39% -0.06% T12
56 FIN Mikko Korhonen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.35% -0.1% T33
57 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.25% -0.21% T53
58 RSA Wilco Nienaber 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.59% 0.2% T33
59 ENG Jordan L Smith 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.42% 0.03% MC
60 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.23% -0.16% T41
61 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.54% 0.2% T66
62 ENG Andrew Johnston 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% MC
63 ENG Chris Paisley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T21
64 THA Jazz Janewattananond 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% T72
65 MAS Gavin Green 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.29% -0.05% MC
66 CHN Li Haotong 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 0.25% -0.09% MC
67 SWE Alexander Bjork 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.25% -0.09% MC
68 ENG Harry Hall 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.89% 0.62% MC
69 RSA Garrick Higgo 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.6% 0.33% MC
70 DEN Joachim B Hansen 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.56% 0.28% 71
71 SCO Calum Hill 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% T4
72 WAL Jamie Donaldson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% T33
73 CHN Wu Ashun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T33
74 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% MC
75 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
76 ITA Francesco Laporta 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
77 NIR Graeme McDowell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.24% -0.03% T66
78 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.89% 0.66% MC
79 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.79% 0.56% T50
80 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.73% 0.5% T63
81 SCO Grant Forrest 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.57% 0.34% MC
82 USA John Catlin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.55% 0.32% MC
83 ENG Matthew Southgate 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.53% 0.3% T29
84 IND Shubhankar Sharma 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.14% MC
85 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.14% MC
86 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.09% T21
87 ENG Paul Waring 300 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
88 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% T41
89 DEN Jeff Winther 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.23% 0.01% T33
90 SCO Richie Ramsay 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.16% -0.06% MC
91 ESP Jorge Campillo 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.66% 0.46% MC
92 SWE Marcus Kinhult 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.58% 0.39% 70
93 ENG Steven Brown 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.5% 0.3% T26
94 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% T53
95 AUS Minwoo Lee 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.26% 0.06% MC
96 ITA Guido Migliozzi 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.17% -0.02% T33
97 ENG James Morrison 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% T41
98 ENG David Horsey 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% T12
99 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% T12
100 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.22% MC
101 RSA Justin Walters 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% T41
102 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.17% MC
103 GER Maximilian Kieffer 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.11% T29
104 USA Julian Suri 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.11% T50
105 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.11% MC
106 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
107 ITA Nino Bertasio 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
108 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
109 FRA Julien Guerrier 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% 75
110 FRA Matthieu Pavon 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.05% T53
111 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% MC
112 RSA Ernie Els 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.02% MC
113 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.09% -0.04% MC
114 NIR Cormac Sharvin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.24% 0.12% T21
115 AUS Scott Hend 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
116 ENG Ashley Chesters 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.19% 0.07% MC
117 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.17% 0.05% MC
118 SCO David Drysdale 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
119 ESP Alvaro Quiros 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
120 ENG Chris Wood 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
121 IRL Paul Dunne 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
122 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% MC
123 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% T63
124 ENG Richard McEvoy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
125 ENG Oliver Wilson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.11% T66
126 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
127 SCO David Law 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% 76
128 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.09% 0.05% MC
129 ITA Andrea Pavan 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.09% MC
130 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 3000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% 0.12% 0.1% DQ
131 ENG David Howell 3000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% 0.11% 0.09% MC
132 JOR Shergo Kurdi 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.11% 0.1% MC
133 KSA Saud Al Sharif 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.1% 0.09% MC
134 KSA Faisal Mohammed Al Salhab 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.1% 0.09% MC
135 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T72
136 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
137 KSA Othman Al Mulla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 ESP Eduard Rousaud 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 41.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.8 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 22.4%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 26.4%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 26.4%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 26.7%
5 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 40.1% 28%
6 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 29%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.8% 30.3%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 34.3%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.2% 36.3%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.9%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54% 40.7%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 41.4%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 58.3% 41.6%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 58.8% 42%
15 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58.8% 42%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58.8% 42%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.5% 43.9%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 46%