Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 22.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 51.4

Total Profit: -48.8



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 6 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 11.62% 5.24% -6.38% T54
2 ESP Jon Rahm 10 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.4% 2.84% -4.55% T32
3 USA Xander Schauffele 16 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.79% 4.05% -0.74% T39
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 16 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.79% 2.47% -2.32% T6
5 USA Justin Thomas 18 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.28% 2.28% -2% T15
6 USA Tony Finau 20 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.87% 3.04% -0.83% 14
7 USA Bryson DeChambeau 20 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.87% 2.95% -0.93% T22
8 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.54% 2.56% -0.98% T22
9 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.13% 3.35% 0.22% T2 (tied w/3) 13.1 +39.3
10 USA Brooks Koepka 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.81% 1.2% -1.6% T2
11 USA Daniel Berger 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.62% 2.84% 0.22% T35
12 USA Patrick Reed 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.62% 2.55% -0.07% T9
13 USA Webb Simpson 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.62% 2.44% -0.19% T6
14 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 2.32% 0.34% T28 8.31
15 USA Collin Morikawa 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.77% 1.37% -0.4% 1
16 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.77% 1.29% -0.48% 5
17 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 2.17% 0.58% T44 6.68
18 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 1.85% 0.25% T28 6.68
19 AUS Cameron Smith 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 2.01% 0.68% T11 5.59
20 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 60 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.33% 1.88% 0.54% T15 5.59
21 USA Harris English 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.33% 1.78% 0.45% 66 5.59
22 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.33% 1.31% -0.03% T11
23 AUS Adam Scott 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 1.19% -0.14% T54
24 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 2.2% 0.99% T6 (tied w/3) 5.09 +12.1
25 USA Will Zalatoris 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.58% 0.36% T22 5.09
26 USA Max Homa 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.31% 0.1% T22
27 ENG Justin Rose 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.89% -0.32% T54
28 AUS Jason Day 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.52% -0.69% T18
29 USA Ryan Palmer 80 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 2.25% 1.25% T54 4.21
30 ESP Sergio Garcia 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.99% -0.02% T32
31 USA Jason Kokrak 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 1.43% 0.54% T9 3.75
32 MEX Abraham Ancer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 2.31% 1.5% T18 3.38
33 MEX Carlos Ortiz 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.62% 0.82% T15 3.38
34 USA Kevin Na 100 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.54% 0.73% T11 3.38
35 USA Bubba Watson 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.37% 0.57% T54 3.38
36 USA Matthew Wolff 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.21% 0.4% WD 3.38
37 IRL Shane Lowry 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.01% 0.2% T48
38 USA Billy Horschel 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.94% 0.14% T2
39 AUS Marc Leishman 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.88% 0.07% T39
40 SCO Robert MacIntyre 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 2.2% 1.55% T61 2.71
41 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.55% 0.9% T22 2.71
42 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.45% 0.8% T41 2.71
43 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.3% 0.65% T32 2.71
44 FRA Victor Perez 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.01% 0.36% T52 2.71
45 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.16% 0.62% T44
46 ENG Andy Sullivan 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.53% -0.01% T68
47 USA Brendon Todd 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.51% 1.3% 0.79% T18
48 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.51% 1.07% 0.57% T59
49 ENG Lee Westwood 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.51% 1% 0.5% T61
50 USA Gary Woodland 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.51% 0.28% -0.23% 43
51 USA Matt Kuchar 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.51% 0.27% -0.23% T44
52 ENG Laurie Canter 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 1.46% 1.06% T64
53 AUS Lucas Herbert 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.79% 0.39% 70
54 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.68% 0.28% T59
55 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.57% 0.16% T48
56 BEL Thomas Detry 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.48% 0.07% T28
57 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.67% 0.34% T64
58 RSA Erik van Rooyen 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.46% 0.13% T37
59 ENG Aaron Rai 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.99% 0.76% T18
60 AUS Jason Scrivener 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.89% 0.66% T41
61 USA David Lipsky 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.85% 0.62% T48
62 AUS Minwoo Lee 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% T28
63 USA Chan Kim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.09% -0.07% T35
64 RSA Danie van Tonder 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.09% -0.07% 71
65 JPN Yuki Inamori 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.09% -0.07% T48
66 AUS Wade Ormsby 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% T52
67 AUS Brad Kennedy 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.84% 0.76% T61
68 RSA JC Ritchie 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.01% T68
69 USA Trevor Simsby 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.01% T37
70 RSA Brandon Stone 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
71 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T22
72 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% 67

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 22.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 40.2% 17.7%
2 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 41.6% 18.9%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 43.5% 20.6%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 43.5% 20.6%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 57.2% 22.5%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 23.2%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 38.1% 23.4%
8 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 48.7% 25%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 25.8%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 40.9% 28.7%
15 Betway 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 33.8%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 34.9%