Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 70.0

Total Profit: -30.2

Vivint Houston Open

05/11/2020 - 08/11/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 7 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.09% 4.34% -4.75% T2
2 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.28% 2.93% -1.35% T7
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 3.08% -0.38% T2
4 USA Tony Finau 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 2.69% -0.77% T24
5 USA Scottie Scheffler 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 2.36% -0.8% T32
6 USA Russell Henley 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 2.1% -1.06% T29
7 USA Brooks Koepka 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 1.42% -1.74% T5
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.8% 3.69% 0.89% T15 12.14
9 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.35% 1.51% -0.83% T50
10 AUS Adam Scott 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.02% -1.12% T32
11 AUS Jason Day 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.55% -0.47% T7
12 USA Zach Johnson 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 2.38% 0.6% T50 7.7
13 USA Lanto Griffin 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 2% 0.23% T58 7.7
14 ESP Sergio Garcia 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.28% -0.49% MC
15 KOR Siwoo Kim 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 1.08% -0.5% MC
16 USA Doc Redman 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 1.46% 0.04% T61 6.19
17 CAN Corey Conners 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 0.92% -0.51% T24
18 USA Brian Harman 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 1.71% 0.41% T24 5.64
19 USA Jordan Spieth 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.19% 1.04% -0.15% MC
20 AUS Cameron Davis 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 0.59% -0.6% 68
21 RSA Erik van Rooyen 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.32% 0.23% T20 4.71
22 IRL Shane Lowry 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.8% -0.28% T11
23 USA Stewart Cink 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.68% 0.65% MC 4.45
24 ENG Lee Westwood 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.19% 0.17% MC 4.45
25 USA Denny McCarthy 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.02% 0.73% -0.29% T38
26 USA Wyndham Clark 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.96% 0.57% -0.38% MC
27 SWE Alexander Noren 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 2.36% 1.46% MC 3.9
28 USA Mackenzie Hughes 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.69% 0.79% T7 (tied w/4) 3.9 +16.6
29 USA James Hahn 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.03% 0.13% T50 3.9
30 USA Talor Gooch 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.99% 0.09% 4 3.9 +33.2
31 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.96% 0.06% T15 3.9
32 USA Sam Burns 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.83% -0.07% T7
33 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.67% -0.23% MC
34 USA Kevin Streelman 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.46% 0.66% MC 3.47
35 USA JT Poston 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.26% 0.46% T20 3.47
36 RSA Dylan Frittelli 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.2% 0.48% MC 3.13
37 AUS Matt Jones 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.7% -0.02% 63
38 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.58% -0.14% MC
39 USA Aaron Wise 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.51% -0.21% T11
40 SWE Henrik Stenson 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.29% -0.43% MC
41 USA Brandt Snedeker 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.56% -0.1% T44
42 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.53% -0.12% T64
43 USA Cameron Tringale 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.48% -0.17% T29
44 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.43% 0.86% MC 2.51
45 USA Ollie Schniederjans 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.14% 0.57% MC 2.51
46 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.11% 0.53% MC 2.51
47 USA Tyler Duncan 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.02% 0.45% MC 2.51
48 SWE Henrik Norlander 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.95% 0.37% MC 2.51
49 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.76% 0.18% T5 (tied w/2) 2.51 +20.2
50 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% T20 2.51
51 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.61% 0.03% T29
52 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.55% -0.03% MC
53 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.4% -0.17% MC
54 USA Luke List 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.39% -0.19% MC
55 SCO Russell Knox 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.32% -0.25% T15
56 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.29% -0.29% T32
57 USA Austin Cook 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.18% 0.7% T24
58 USA Tom Hoge 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.1% 0.62% MC
59 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.98% 0.5% T50
60 USA Adam Long 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.96% 0.48% T11
61 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.95% 0.47% WD
62 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% MC
63 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.45% -0.03% WD
64 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% MC
65 USA William Gordon 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.41% -0.08% T38
66 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.32% -0.16% MC
67 USA Max Homa 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.25% -0.23% T48
68 USA Scott Stallings 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.84% 0.39% MC
69 MEX Carlos Ortiz 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.33% -0.12% 1
70 USA Kramer Hickok 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.28% -0.17% T58
71 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.64% 0.23% MC
72 USA Pat Perez 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.51% 0.1% MC
73 RSA Charl Schwartzel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% MC
74 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.97% 0.61% MC
75 USA Robby Shelton 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% MC
76 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% T32
77 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% T50
78 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.54% 0.17% MC
79 USA Andrew Landry 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.54% 0.17% MC
80 USA Troy Merritt 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.5% 0.14% T32
81 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.44% 0.08% T50
82 USA Patton Kizzire 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.41% 0.05% T11
83 NIR Graeme McDowell 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.31% -0.05% T44
84 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.3% -0.06% T44
85 CAN David Hearn 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.26% -0.1% MC
86 USA Chris Kirk 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.21% -0.16% T44
87 RSA Branden Grace 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.18% -0.18% MC
88 ITA Francesco Molinari 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.12% -0.25% T15
89 RSA Justin Harding 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.75% 0.46% T38
90 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
91 USA Scott Harrington 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% T66
92 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% MC
93 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.34% 0.05% MC
94 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.34% 0.05% MC
95 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.04% T61
96 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.12% -0.17% MC
97 USA John Huh 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 1.21% 0.95% T48
98 USA Michael Thompson 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.07% 0.82% T15
99 TPE C.T. Pan 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.16% T58
100 USA Nate Lashley 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% T38
101 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.08% MC
102 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
103 USA Sean O'Hair 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% T66
104 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
105 COL Camilo Villegas 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
106 USA Sam Ryder 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% MC
107 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% MC
108 USA Isaiah Salinda 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.12% -0.06% T50
109 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% T38
110 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
111 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
112 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
113 USA Scott Brown 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.04% T24
114 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
115 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0.01% T64
116 RSA Dawie van der Walt 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.03% T20
117 USA Erik Barnes 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.03% T38
118 USA Grayson Murray 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.03% MC
119 USA Ted Potter-jr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
120 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
121 USA Michael Kim 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
122 CAN Graham Delaet 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% WD
123 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.04% MC
124 USA Sam Fidone 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
125 AUS Greg Chalmers 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.08% T50
126 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
127 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.19% MC
128 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
129 ARG Fabian Gomez 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
130 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 USA Kyle Hogan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 ENG Ben Willman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56.4% 21.1%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.2% 24.9%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.8% 26.1%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 63% 26.3%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 26.3%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54.1% 29.1%
7 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 54.1% 29.1%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.4% 31.9%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.6% 36.2%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 52.9% 36.4%
11 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.5%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 36.8%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 36.8%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.7% 37.1%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 37.2%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.4%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.7% 41.1%
18 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 57% 43.2%