Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 24.7

Total Profit: -75.4

The Honda Classic

27/02/2020 - 01/03/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.61% 2.94% -2.67% 3
2 USA Rickie Fowler 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.86% 1.31% -3.55% MC
3 USA Brooks Koepka 14 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 4.86% 0.96% -3.9% MC
4 ENG Justin Rose 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.17% 1.81% -1.36% MC
5 USA Gary Woodland 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.17% 1.77% -1.4% T8
6 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.81% 2.54% -0.26% MC
7 USA Billy Horschel 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.81% 2.09% -0.72% T42
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.52% 1.91% -0.6% MC
9 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.35% 1.93% -0.42% 1
10 KOR Byeong Hun An 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 1.88% -0.26% T4
11 USA Daniel Berger 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 1.42% -0.73% T4
12 IRL Shane Lowry 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.03% 2.02% 0% T21 8.72
13 RSA Erik van Rooyen 50 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 1.43% 0% MC 6.15
14 USA Ryan Palmer 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 2.56% 1.26% T17 5.61
15 USA JT Poston 60 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% 1.48% 0.29% T35 5.15
16 CAN Corey Conners 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% 1.44% 0.24% MC 5.15
17 CHI Joaquin Niemann 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.2% 1.29% 0.1% MC 5.15
18 USA Harris English 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% 1.27% 0.07% T17 5.15
19 USA Wyndham Clark 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% 0.93% -0.27% T11
20 USA Bud Cauley 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 1.49% 0.46% T42 4.42
21 USA Vaughn Taylor 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 1.02% -0.01% T42
22 SCO Russell Knox 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 0.81% -0.22% MC
23 USA Russell Henley 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 0.35% -0.68% T8
24 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 2.15% 1.25% T47 3.88
25 ENG Lee Westwood 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.53% 0.63% T4 (tied w/4) 3.88 +24.7
26 USA Matthew Wolff 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.23% 0.33% T58 3.88
27 USA Matthew NeSmith 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.94% 0.04% T38 3.88
28 USA Keegan Bradley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.92% 0.02% MC 3.88
29 USA Kevin Streelman 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.85% -0.05% T47
30 RSA Charl Schwartzel 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.81% -0.09% T17
31 ENG Ian Poulter 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.8% -0.1% T27
32 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.71% -0.2% MC
33 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.58% -0.32% T27
34 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.53% -0.37% MC
35 USA Harry Higgs 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.05% 0.25% T58 3.45
36 USA Luke List 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.59% -0.21% MC
37 USA Jim Furyk 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.57% -0.23% MC
38 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.16% 0.43% MC 3.11
39 USA Brian Harman 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.14% 0.41% T47 3.11
40 USA Denny McCarthy 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.83% 0.11% MC 3.11
41 USA Maverick McNealy 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.83% 0.11% T11 3.11
42 USA Patrick Rodgers 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.79% 0.06% T21 3.11
43 USA Adam Schenk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.72% 0% MC 3.11
44 USA Harold Varner III 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.62% -0.11% T42
45 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.59% -0.13% T38
46 USA Sam Burns 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.54% -0.18% T64
47 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.54% -0.18% T35
48 USA Keith Mitchell 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.45% -0.27% MC
49 ENG Tom Lewis 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.94% 0.29% T47 2.83
50 USA Talor Gooch 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.85% 0.19% T38 2.83
51 USA Kyle Stanley 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.36% -0.29% MC
52 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.07% 0.49% T47 2.49
53 USA Cameron Tringale 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.84% 0.26% T27 2.49
54 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.72% 0.14% MC 2.49
55 CHN Zhang Xinjun 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% MC
56 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.82% 0.34% T4
57 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.69% 0.2% MC
58 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.59% 0.11% T53
59 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.56% 0.07% T58
60 USA Beau Hossler 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.49% 0.01% T38
61 AUS Cameron Davis 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.48% 0% T8
62 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.4% -0.08% MC
63 USA Zach Johnson 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.4% -0.08% 67
64 USA Doc Redman 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.38% -0.1% MC
65 USA Nick Watney 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.35% -0.13% T27
66 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.28% -0.21% T35
67 USA Adam Long 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.17% 0.75% T27
68 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.07% 0.66% T47
69 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.57% 0.16% MC
70 USA Kevin Tway 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.56% 0.14% MC
71 USA Scott Stallings 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.28% -0.14% T53
72 USA Sean O'Hair 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.14% -0.28% MC
73 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.73% 0.37% T11
74 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% MC
75 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.62% 0.26% 66
76 NZL Tim Wilkinson 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% MC
77 USA Grayson Murray 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.58% 0.22% T53
78 USA Bronson Burgoon 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% WD
79 USA Tyler McCumber 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0% MC
80 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0% T21
81 KOR Siwoo Kim 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.02% MC
82 USA Scott Brown 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.84% 0.55% MC
83 USA Brian Gay 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.69% 0.4% MC
84 USA Zac Blair 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% MC
85 AUT Sepp Straka 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% T27
86 USA Rob Oppenheim 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.58% 0.29% MC
87 USA Wes Roach 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
88 USA Peter Malnati 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
89 USA Bo Hoag 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
90 USA Ted Potter-jr 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
91 USA Josh Teater 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
92 IRL Padraig Harrington 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% MC
93 USA D.J. Trahan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% MC
94 USA John Huh 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% MC
95 USA Brice Garnett 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% T11
96 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% MC
97 USA Stewart Cink 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T53
98 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% MC
99 USA Brandon Hagy 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% T21
100 USA Austin Cook 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.29% 0% T61
101 USA Michael Thompson 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.23% -0.06% 57
102 USA Jimmy Walker 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.08% T21
103 USA Jamie Lovemark 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.08% T27
104 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.17% -0.12% T27
105 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.12% 0.88% MC
106 USA Mark Anderson 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.52% 0.27% T61
107 CAN David Hearn 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% MC
108 USA Matt Every 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.09% MC
109 USA Doug Ghim 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% MC
110 USA Richy Werenski 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% T17
111 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% T61
112 USA Chris Kirk 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
113 USA Robert Streb 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.24% -0.01% MC
114 COL Camilo Villegas 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.13% -0.12% MC
115 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.77% 0.56% MC
116 USA Vincent Whaley 350 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
117 USA Robby Shelton 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% T11
118 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
119 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.21% 0% MC
120 USA Patton Kizzire 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.19% -0.02% 68
121 ENG Luke Donald 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.17% -0.04% T11
122 USA Hank Lebioda 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% MC
123 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% T64
124 USA Kramer Hickok 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T21
125 USA Chris Baker 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% T42
126 CAN Roger Sloan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.2% 0.02% MC
127 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% MC
128 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.25% MC
129 USA Ryan Armour 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.2% MC
130 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.1% MC
131 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% 2
132 KOR Seungyul Noh 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.02% MC
133 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
134 USA Hayden Buckley 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% 69
135 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
136 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.49% 0.4% MC
137 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
138 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
139 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
140 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
141 IND Arjun Atwal 1500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.16% MC
142 USA Shane Bertsch 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Daniel Wetterich 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Andrew McCain 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 50.8% 16.7%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.2% 27.1%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 28.4%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54.7% 29.5%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 30.3%
6 Coral 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 31%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.3% 31.8%
8 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49% 32.9%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 33.7%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60.1% 34%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 35.6%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 36%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 39.5%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 40.6%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 40.6%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 62.7% 45.1%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 62.7% 45.1%