Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 53.3

Total Profit: -46.9

US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

09/08/2018 - 12/08/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 9 10% 7.71% 3.46% -4.25% T27
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 13 7.14% 5.51% 2.07% -3.44% T50
3 USA Justin Thomas 15 6.25% 4.82% 2.77% -2.05% T6
4 AUS Jason Day 19 5% 3.85% 1.9% -1.96% T19
5 USA Brooks Koepka 22 4.35% 3.35% 1.65% -1.7% 1
6 USA Rickie Fowler 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.9% -1.31% T12
7 ENG Justin Rose 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.61% -1.6% T19
8 USA Jordan Spieth 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.32% -1.89% T12
9 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 26 3.7% 2.86% 1.71% -1.15% T35
10 ESP Jon Rahm 26 3.7% 2.86% 1.04% -1.82% T4
11 USA Tiger Woods 27 3.57% 2.75% 1.69% -1.06% 2
12 ITA Francesco Molinari 31 3.13% 2.41% 1.63% -0.78% T6
13 USA Patrick Reed 44 2.22% 1.71% 1.67% -0.05% MC 7.61
14 USA Tony Finau 44 2.22% 1.71% 1.18% -0.54% T42
15 SWE Henrik Stenson 47 2.08% 1.61% 1.18% -0.42% MC
16 USA Patrick Cantlay 48 2.04% 1.57% 1.14% -0.43% T27
17 USA Bubba Watson 54 1.82% 1.4% 2.15% 0.74% MC 6.23
18 ENG Paul Casey 54 1.82% 1.4% 1.05% -0.35% MC
19 SWE Alexander Noren 57 1.72% 1.33% 1.99% 0.66% MC 5.91
20 USA Webb Simpson 59 1.67% 1.28% 1.55% 0.27% T19 5.71
21 AUS Marc Leishman 59 1.67% 1.28% 1.23% -0.06% T71 5.71
22 USA Xander Schauffele 61 1.61% 1.24% 0.91% -0.33% T35
23 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 61 1.61% 1.24% 0.67% -0.57% T35
24 USA Bryson DeChambeau 69 1.43% 1.1% 1.14% 0.04% MC 4.89
25 USA Matt Kuchar 73 1.35% 1.04% 1.1% 0.06% MC 4.63
26 USA Phil Mickelson 83 1.19% 0.92% 2.06% 1.14% MC 4.08
27 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 84 1.18% 0.91% 0.67% -0.24% T56 4.03
28 USA Kyle Stanley 87 1.14% 0.88% 1% 0.12% MC 3.89
29 CHI Joaquin Niemann 98 1.01% 0.78% 0.47% -0.31% T71 3.46
30 ESP Sergio Garcia 99 1% 0.77% 0.69% -0.08% MC 3.43
31 ENG Ian Poulter 101 0.98% 0.76% 1.24% 0.48% T31 3.36
32 RSA Branden Grace 107 0.93% 0.71% 0.78% 0.06% T27 3.17
33 AUS Adam Scott 109 0.91% 0.7% 0.84% 0.13% 3 3.12 +35.6
34 BEL Thomas Pieters 110 0.9% 0.69% 0.37% -0.33% T6
35 USA Aaron Wise 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.41% -0.27% MC 3.01
36 KOR Byeong Hun An 120 0.83% 0.64% 1.16% 0.53% T56 2.83
37 USA Charley Hoffman 120 0.83% 0.64% 1.11% 0.48% MC 2.83
38 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.91% 0.27% T10 2.83
39 USA Luke List 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.82% 0.18% MC 2.83
40 USA Kevin Kisner 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.69% 0.05% T12 2.83
41 USA Gary Woodland 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.67% 0.03% T6 (tied w/4) 2.83 +17.7
42 USA Russell Henley 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% T50 2.83
43 USA Kevin Chappell 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.54% -0.1% T65 2.83
44 USA Ryan Moore 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% T59 2.62
45 USA Keegan Bradley 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.59% 0% T42 2.62
46 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 0.66% 0.51% 1.02% 0.51% T10
47 USA Brandt Snedeker 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% T42
48 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.59% 0.08% MC
49 USA Kevin Na 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% T19
50 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.81% 0.33% MC
51 RSA Charl Schwartzel 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.63% 0.15% T42
52 USA Daniel Berger 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.49% 0.01% T12
53 IRL Shane Lowry 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.81% 0.39% T12
54 SCO Russell Knox 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.71% 0.29% T35
55 ARG Emiliano Grillo 190 0.52% 0.4% 1.01% 0.61% T31
56 USA Jimmy Walker 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.72% 0.31% T42
57 USA Jason Dufner 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.58% 0.18% MC
58 USA Billy Horschel 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.56% 0.16% T35
59 USA Beau Hossler 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.56% 0.15% MC
60 USA Brian Harman 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.66% 0.27% T71
61 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.57% 0.18% T59
62 USA J.B. Holmes 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% MC
63 USA Nick Watney 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.46% 0.1% T71
64 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.95% 0.6% MC
65 USA Pat Perez 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T35
66 USA Chesson Hadley 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.46% 0.12% MC
67 USA Charles Howell III 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.65% 0.32% T71
68 NZL Ryan Fox 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.56% 0.22% T27
69 USA Brendan Steele 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.41% 0.07% MC
70 IND Anirban Lahiri 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.33% 0% MC
71 USA Andrew Putnam 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.65% 0.34% T59
72 ENG Danny Willett 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.63% 0.33% MC
73 AUS Cameron Smith 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.54% 0.24% T56
74 ENG Ross Fisher 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% T65
75 USA Peter Uihlein 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% MC
76 USA Jamie Lovemark 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% MC
77 USA Austin Cook 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% T50
78 CAN Adam Hadwin 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.71% 0.43% MC
79 RSA Dylan Frittelli 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T31
80 GER Martin Kaymer 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.32% 0.04% T42
81 USA Ollie Schniederjans 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.53% 0.25% T59
82 ENG Andy Sullivan 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% MC
83 USA Chris Kirk 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.92% 0.65% T31
84 ENG Chris Wood 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
85 USA Michael Kim 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% MC
86 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.36% T59
87 USA Stewart Cink 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% T4
88 USA Julian Suri 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% T19
89 KOR Meenwhee Kim 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% MC
90 USA Brian Gay 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.17% 79
91 FRA Alexander Levy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.4% 0.15% MC
92 USA Bill Haas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% MC
93 USA Chez Reavie 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T12
94 USA Scott Piercy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
95 ESP Jorge Campillo 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.8% 0.6% MC
96 SWE Alexander Bjork 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.65% 0.46% MC
97 ESP Adrian Otaegui 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% T65
98 ENG Matt Wallace 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.63% 0.43% T19
99 USA J.J Spaun 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% T35
100 USA Jim Furyk 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% T71
101 IRL Paul Dunne 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
102 USA Ryan Armour 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
103 USA Andrew Landry 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T50
104 ENG Jordan L Smith 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
105 USA Troy Merritt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
106 USA Patton Kizzire 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% MC
107 USA James Hahn 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% MC
108 RSA Brandon Stone 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T12
109 IRL Padraig Harrington 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.01% MC
110 FIN Mikko Korhonen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.74% 0.58% MC
111 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% T59
112 USA Scott Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% 80
113 IND Shubhankar Sharma 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
114 USA Chris Stroud 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T65
115 RSA Justin Harding 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
116 USA Seungsu Han 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.11% T50
117 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% 78
118 JPN Yuta Ikeda 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T65
119 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T65
120 KOR Sungjae Im 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.06% T42
121 USA Brice Garnett 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% T50
122 JPN Shugo Imahira 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
123 KOR Y.E. Yang 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
124 JPN Ryuko Tokimatsu 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
125 USA Zach Johnson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.92% 0.84% T19
126 USA Jason Kokrak 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% T19
127 USA John Daly 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
128 USA Davis Love III 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
129 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.67% 0% WD
130 USA Kevin Streelman 0% 0% 0.5% 0% MC
131 USA Kelly Kraft 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC
132 USA Ben Kern 0% 0% 0.37% 0% T42
133 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.36% 0% MC
134 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T71
135 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...