Betting Market Analysis for U.S. OPEN

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one year ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 5/1 6.32% -9.62%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 3.4% -2.98%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.43% -3.37%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 1.7% -2.55%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.66% -2.09%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 0.71% -3.04%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 0.76% -2.59%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 2.31% -0.73%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.55% -0.51%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 52/1 0.75% -1.13%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 52/1 0.28% -1.6%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 2.02% 0.46%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 1.75% 0.2%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 1.54% -0.02%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 0.8% -0.76%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 71/1 0.61% -0.78%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 79/1 1.14% -0.11%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 87/1 1.14% 0%
19 USA Max Homa 55 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.94% -0.2%
20 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 2.5% 1.55%
21 USA Sam Burns 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 1.27% 0.32%
22 IRL Shane Lowry 66 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 1.03% 0.07%
23 USA Jordan Spieth 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.8% -0.15%
24 AUS Minwoo Lee 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.78% -0.17%
25 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 66 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.75% -0.2%
26 KOR Woohyun Kim 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.08% -0.87%
27 USA Keegan Bradley 70 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.41% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 1.82% 0.92%
28 USA Russell Henley 70 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 1.54% 0.64%
29 CAN Corey Conners 70 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 1.09% 0.19%
30 AUS Jason Day 70 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.97% 0.07%
31 USA Dustin Johnson 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.54% -0.36%
32 USA Will Zalatoris 75 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.92% 0.08%
33 AUT Sepp Straka 80 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.79% ≈ 126/1 1.4% 0.61%
34 KOR Sungjae Im 80 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.79% ≈ 126/1 1% 0.21%
35 USA Cameron Young 90 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 1.32% 0.62%
36 KOR Byeong Hun An 100 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 2.01% 1.38%
37 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1.52% 0.89%
38 SCO Robert MacIntyre 100 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1.17% 0.54%
39 SWE Alexander Noren 100 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.99% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1% 0.37%
40 USA Patrick Reed 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.65% 0.02%
41 USA Brian Harman 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.24% 0.67%
42 KOR Siwoo Kim 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.99% 0.41%
43 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 1.29% 0.78%
44 AUS Adam Scott 125 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.93% 0.42%
45 ENG Justin Rose 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.65% 0.14%
46 USA Billy Horschel 150 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 1.77% 1.34%
47 USA Harris English 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 1.15% 0.73%
48 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 1.12% 0.69%
49 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.9% 0.48%
50 USA Keith Mitchell 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.88% 0.45%
51 USA Davis Riley 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.79% 0.36%
52 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.6% 0.18%
53 ENG Jordan L Smith 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.58% 0.16%
54 MEX Abraham Ancer 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.08% -0.34%
55 USA Akshay Bhatia 175 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 1.18% 0.82%
56 USA Kurt Kitayama 175 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.97% 0.61%
57 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.57% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.88% 0.52%
58 CAN Adam Hadwin 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.63% 0.27%
59 POL Adrian Meronk 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.56% 0.2%
60 USA Aaron Wise 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.08% -0.28%
61 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 1.18% 0.86%
62 USA Tom Hoge 200 (10bet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 1.17% 0.85%
63 USA Austin Eckroat 200 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 1.13% 0.81%
64 USA JT Poston 200 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 1.12% 0.8%
65 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.79% 0.47%
66 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.74% 0.43%
67 ENG Aaron Rai 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.72% 0.4%
68 BEL Thomas Pieters 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.71% 0.4%
69 NZL Ryan Fox 200 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.71% 0.4%
70 USA Rickie Fowler 200 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.54% 0.22%
71 FRA Victor Perez 200 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.5% 0.19%
72 ESP Sergio Garcia 200 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.08% -0.24%
73 MEX Carlos Ortiz 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.08% -0.24%
74 COL Sebastian Munoz 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.32% ≈ 314/1 0.08% -0.24%
75 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.97% 0.72%
76 USA Nick Dunlap 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.96% 0.7%
77 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.95% 0.69%
78 USA Samuel Stevens 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.87% 0.62%
79 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.59% 0.34%
80 USA Kevin Streelman 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.57% 0.31%
81 USA Daniel Berger 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.54% 0.28%
82 ENG Danny Willett 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.33% 0.08%
83 GER Martin Kaymer 250 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.27% 0.01%
84 USA Tiger Woods 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.16% -0.09%
85 IRL Padraig Harrington 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.08% -0.18%
86 USA Taylor Moore 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.83% 0.62%
87 AUS Cameron Davis 300 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.78% 0.57%
88 USA Eric Cole 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.72% 0.5%
89 NIR Tom McKibbin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.64% 0.43%
90 IRL Seamus Power 300 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.6% 0.38%
91 USA Phil Mickelson 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.29% 0.07%
92 USA Kevin Na 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.08% -0.13%
93 CAN Nick Taylor 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.18% ≈ 549/1 0.93% 0.74%
94 ARG Emiliano Grillo 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 784/1 0.75% 0.62%
95 USA Gary Woodland 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 784/1 0.37% 0.24%
96 ITA Francesco Molinari 500 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 784/1 0.23% 0.11%
97 ENG Dan Bradbury 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 784/1 0.22% 0.09%
98 JPN Taisei Shimizu 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 784/1 0.2% 0.07%
99 ENG Sam Bairstow 600 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 941/1 0.56% 0.45%
100 ENG Richard Mansell 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 941/1 0.46% 0.35%
101 JPN Takumi Kanaya 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 941/1 0.27% 0.17%
102 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.08% ≈ 1176/1 0.53% 0.45%
103 ITA Matteo Manassero 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.08% ≈ 1176/1 0.4% 0.31%
104 USA Brandon Wu 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.08% ≈ 1176/1 0.19% 0.1%
105 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 750 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.08% ≈ 1176/1 0.08% -0.01%
106 Gordon Sargent 750 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.08% ≈ 1176/1 0.08% -0.01%
107 SCO Grant Forrest 1000 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.06% ≈ 1568/1 0.12% 0.06%
108 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.06% ≈ 1568/1 0.08% 0.01%
109 COL Nicolas Echavarria 1500 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2352/1 0.58% 0.54%
110 AUS Jason Scrivener 1500 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2352/1 0.21% 0.17%
111 ITA Edoardo Molinari 1500 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.04% ≈ 2352/1 0.12% 0.08%
112 ENG Robert Rock 2000 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 3135/1 0.08% 0.05%
113 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 3135/1 0.08% 0.05%
114 JPN Riki Kawamoto 2500 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3919/1 0.08% 0.05%
115 USA Logan McAllister 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3919/1 0.08% 0.05%
116 KOR Sunghoon Kang 4000 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6270/1 0.24% 0.22%
117 USA Michael McGowan 4000 (bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6270/1 0.08% 0.06%
118 USA Matt Kuchar 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
119 USA Chris Kirk 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
120 USA Webb Simpson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
121 USA Brendon Todd 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
122 USA Chesson Hadley 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
123 USA Andrew Svoboda 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
124 USA Zac Blair 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
125 USA Mark Hubbard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
126 USA Jim Herman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
127 USA Peter Malnati 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 USA Lucas Glover 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
129 RSA Dean Burmester 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
130 USA Adam Schenk 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
131 GER Stephan Jaeger 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
132 USA Jake Knappe 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
133 CAN Taylor Pendrith 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
134 CAN Adam Svensson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
135 BEL Thomas Detry 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
136 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
137 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 USA John Chin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 USA Ben Kohles 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 USA Richard Hoey 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 USA Justin Lower 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 USA Harry Higgs 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
145 USA Greyson Sigg 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
146 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 USA Carter Jenkins 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 USA Stewart Hagestad 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
149 USA Max Greyserman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 USA Isaiah Salinda 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 USA Davis Thompson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 RSA Casey Jarvis 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 USA Charles Reiter 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 USA Willie Mack III 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 USA McClure Meissner 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
157 USA Sam Bennett 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
158 USA Carson Schaake 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
159 SWE Tim Widing 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
160 ESP David Puig 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
161 USA Jackson Suber 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
162 MEX Santiago De la Fuente 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
163 USA Christopher Petefish 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
164 USA Maxwell Moldovan 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
165 USA Benjamin James 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
166 Joey Vrzich 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
167 USA Frankie Capan 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
168 Omar Morales 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
169 Frederik Kjettrup 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
170 USA Neal Shipley(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
171 CAN Ashton McCulloch(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
172 USA Otto Black 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
173 USA Gunnar Broin(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
174 USA Jackson Buchanan(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
175 USA Bryan Kim(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
176 USA Parker Bell(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
177 SIN Hiroshi Tai(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
178 USA Wells Williams(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
179 USA Brendan Valdez(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
180 USA Luke Clanton(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
181 USA Colin Prater(Am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 48.5% 14.8%
2 Coral 12 @ 1/6 71.7% 15.2%
3 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 71.7% 15.7%
4 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 72.4% 16.4%
5 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 50.4% 16.9%
6 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.1% 17.8%
7 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 72% 18.7%
8 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 43.1% 19.4%
9 Sporting Index 7 @ 1/5 43.1% 19.4%
10 Star Sports 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 19.9%
11 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 55% 20.2%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 12 @ 1/5 103.9% 22.3%
13 QuinnBet 8 @ 1/5 60.6% 24.6%
14 BetGoodwin 8 @ 1/5 60.6% 24.6%
15 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 26%
16 LiveScore Bet 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 26%
17 BetUK 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 26%
18 BetMGM UK 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 26%
19 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 26.6%
20 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 28.7% 27.2%
21 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 62.9% 27.4%
22 VBet 8 @ 1/5 69.3% 32.3%
23 10Bet 7 @ 1/5 60.3% 34.1%
24 Betway 1 @ 1/1 64.6% 63.1%