Betting Market Analysis for WGC - Workday Championship at The Concession

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 6 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 8/1 5.08% -6.07%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 3.92% -0.67%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 3.25% 0.25%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 3.14% -0.97%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.94% -0.77%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.85% -0.86%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 2.75% -4.34%
8 USA Daniel Berger 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.52% ≈ 39/1 2.75% 0.24%
9 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.39% ≈ 28/1 2.48% -0.92%
10 USA Patrick Reed 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.52% ≈ 39/1 2.47% -0.04%
11 NIR Rory McIlroy 16 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.59% ≈ 21/1 2.39% -2.2%
12 USA Webb Simpson 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.52% ≈ 39/1 2.36% -0.16%
13 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 2.25% 0.34%
14 MEX Abraham Ancer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 2.23% 1.46%
15 USA Justin Thomas 18 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.11% ≈ 23/1 2.21% -1.9%
16 USA Ryan Palmer 80 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 2.18% 1.22%
17 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 2.13% 0.97%
18 SCO Robert MacIntyre 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 161/1 2.13% 1.51%
19 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% ≈ 64/1 2.1% 0.58%
20 AUS Cameron Smith 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.95% 0.67%
21 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 60 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.82% 0.54%
22 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% ≈ 64/1 1.79% 0.26%
23 USA Harris English 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.73% 0.45%
24 MEX Carlos Ortiz 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.57% 0.8%
25 USA Will Zalatoris 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.53% 0.36%
26 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 161/1 1.5% 0.88%
27 USA Kevin Na 100 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.49% 0.72%
28 ENG Laurie Canter 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 1.41% 1.03%
29 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 161/1 1.4% 0.78%
30 USA Jason Kokrak 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 1.39% 0.53%
31 USA Bubba Watson 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.33% 0.56%
32 USA Collin Morikawa 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 1.33% -0.37%
33 USA Max Homa 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.27% 0.11%
34 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.27% -0.01%
35 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 161/1 1.26% 0.64%
36 USA Brendon Todd 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 1.26% 0.77%
37 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 1.25% -0.44%
38 USA Matthew Wolff 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.17% 0.4%
39 USA Brooks Koepka 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.69% ≈ 36/1 1.17% -1.52%
40 AUS Adam Scott 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.15% -0.13%
41 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 193/1 1.12% 0.6%
42 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 1.04% 0.56%
43 IRL Shane Lowry 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.98% 0.21%
44 FRA Victor Perez 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 161/1 0.97% 0.36%
45 ENG Lee Westwood 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 0.97% 0.49%
46 ENG Aaron Rai 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.96% 0.74%
47 ESP Sergio Garcia 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 0.96% -0.01%
48 USA Billy Horschel 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.91% 0.14%
49 ENG Justin Rose 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 0.86% -0.3%
50 AUS Jason Scrivener 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.86% 0.64%
51 AUS Marc Leishman 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.85% 0.08%
52 USA David Lipsky 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.82% 0.6%
53 AUS Brad Kennedy 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.81% 0.73%
54 AUS Lucas Herbert 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.77% 0.38%
55 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.66% 0.27%
56 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.65% 0.34%
57 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.55% 0.16%
58 ENG Andy Sullivan 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 193/1 0.52% 0%
59 AUS Jason Day 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 0.51% -0.66%
60 BEL Thomas Detry 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.46% 0.07%
61 RSA Erik van Rooyen 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.44% 0.13%
62 AUS Minwoo Lee 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 513/1 0.4% 0.2%
63 AUS Wade Ormsby 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 962/1 0.31% 0.2%
64 USA Gary Woodland 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 0.27% -0.22%
65 USA Matt Kuchar 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 205/1 0.27% -0.22%
66 USA Chan Kim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.09% -0.06%
67 RSA JC Ritchie 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.09% 0.01%
68 RSA Danie van Tonder 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.09% -0.07%
69 USA Trevor Simsby 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.09% 0.01%
70 JPN Yuki Inamori 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.09% -0.07%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 40.2% 17.7%
2 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 41.6% 18.9%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 43.5% 20.6%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 43.5% 20.6%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 57.2% 22.5%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 23.2%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 38.1% 23.4%
8 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 48.7% 25%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 25.8%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.9%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 40.9% 28.7%
15 Betway 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 33.8%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 34.9%