Betting Market Analysis for The Genesis Invitational

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 7 months ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 3.36% -3.03%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 86/1 3.01% 1.85%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 10/1 2.64% -6.15%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 94/1 2.21% 1.16%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 114/1 2.07% 1.2%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 214/1 2.06% 1.59%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.05% -4.34%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 178/1 2.02% 1.47%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.91% -1.79%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 178/1 1.89% 1.34%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.88% -1.17%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 72/1 1.86% 0.49%
13 USA Patrick Reed 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% ≈ 72/1 1.86% 0.48%
14 USA Tony Finau 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% ≈ 36/1 1.85% -0.86%
15 CAN Adam Hadwin 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1.84% 1.21%
16 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.42% ≈ 40/1 1.82% -0.6%
17 MEX Abraham Ancer 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.81% 0.66%
18 AUS Marc Leishman 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 1.74% 0.02%
19 ENG Paul Casey 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 79/1 1.73% 0.47%
20 USA Lanto Griffin 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 1.64% 1.17%
21 USA Dustin Johnson 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.69% ≈ 20/1 1.58% -3.11%
22 ENG Danny Willett 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 1.54% 1.19%
23 USA Scottie Scheffler 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1.42% 0.79%
24 USA Bryson DeChambeau 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% ≈ 72/1 1.35% -0.03%
25 AUS Adam Scott 30 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.27% ≈ 43/1 1.34% -0.92%
26 ENG Justin Rose 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 1.29% -0.42%
27 MEX Carlos Ortiz 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 1.24% 0.84%
28 USA Bubba Watson 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.06% ≈ 32/1 1.22% -1.84%
29 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 1.19% 0.84%
30 AUS Cameron Smith 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 1.07% 0.51%
31 USA Ryan Moore 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.05% 0.28%
32 USA Kevin Na 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.05% 0.19%
33 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 1.05% 0.5%
34 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 1.05% 0.61%
35 USA JT Poston 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 1.02% 0.46%
36 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 1.02% 0.74%
37 USA Bud Cauley 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.99% 0.52%
38 USA Matthew Wolff 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.98% 0.51%
39 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.97% 0.28%
40 USA Patrick Cantlay 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.35% ≈ 29/1 0.96% -2.39%
41 AUS Jason Day 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.95% ≈ 50/1 0.95% -1%
42 USA Phil Mickelson 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% ≈ 72/1 0.94% -0.44%
43 CHI Joaquin Niemann 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.93% 0.16%
44 USA Brian Harman 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.91% 0.45%
45 USA Charles Howell III 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.9% 0.13%
46 RSA Branden Grace 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.89% 0.19%
47 USA Pat Perez 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.83% 0.55%
48 USA Brendon Todd 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.78% 0.32%
49 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.78% 0.32%
50 USA Jordan Spieth 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 79/1 0.76% -0.5%
51 USA Cameron Tringale 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.74% 0.51%
52 SWE Alexander Noren 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.72% 0.03%
53 USA Max Homa 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.72% -0.05%
54 NZL Danny Lee 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.71% 0.51%
55 USA Matt Kuchar 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.7% -0.45%
56 USA Cameron Champ 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.7% 0.06%
57 USA James Hahn 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.68% 0.45%
58 USA Brooks Koepka 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.06% ≈ 32/1 0.68% -2.38%
59 USA Kevin Tway 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.66% 0.46%
60 SCO Russell Knox 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.66% 0.2%
61 USA Adam Long 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.65% 0.37%
62 USA Joel Dahmen 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.62% 0.37%
63 AUT Sepp Straka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.62% 0.48%
64 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.61% 0.14%
65 USA J.B. Holmes 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.61% -0.44%
66 USA Denny McCarthy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.59% 0.24%
67 USA Vaughn Taylor 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.55% 0.15%
68 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.53% 0.25%
69 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.53% 0.18%
70 USA Brian Gay 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.52% 0.32%
71 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.49% 0.09%
72 ITA Francesco Molinari 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.48% 0.02%
73 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.46% 0.32%
74 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.44% 0.16%
75 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.43% 0.19%
76 USA Jim Furyk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.42% -0.04%
77 USA Ryan Armour 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.41% 0.3%
78 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.4% 0.26%
79 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.4% 0%
80 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.4% 0.26%
81 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.4% -0.07%
82 USA Luke List 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.38% 0.1%
83 USA Jason Kokrak 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.38% -0.18%
84 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.37% 0.23%
85 USA Joseph Bramlett 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.37% 0.23%
86 USA Harold Varner III 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.35% 0.18%
87 USA Sam Ryder 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.35% 0.17%
88 USA Charley Hoffman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.35% 0%
89 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.34% 0.14%
90 USA Sam Burns 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.34% 0.2%
91 USA Jason Dufner 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.33% 0.15%
92 USA Talor Gooch 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.33% 0.09%
93 USA Chris Stroud 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.33% 0.23%
94 KOR Siwoo Kim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.33% 0.18%
95 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.31% 0.03%
96 USA Scott Stallings 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.31% 0.08%
97 ARG Emiliano Grillo 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.31% -0.09%
98 USA Jimmy Walker 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.3% 0.1%
99 USA J.J Spaun 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.3% 0.16%
100 USA Adam Schenk 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.28% 0.08%
101 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.25% 0.16%
102 USA Nick Watney 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.25% -0.03%
103 USA Kevin Chappell 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.22% -0.01%
104 USA Troy Merritt 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.22% 0.02%
105 USA Matt Every 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.21% 0.07%
106 USA Kyle Stanley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.19% -0.01%
107 TPE C.T. Pan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.19% 0.05%
108 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.18% -0.02%
109 USA Martin Trainer 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.18% 0.15%
110 USA Aaron Wise 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.15% -0.13%
111 USA Scott Brown 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.14% 0%
112 CAN Roger Sloan 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.14% 0.05%
113 SCO Martin Laird 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.14% -0.06%
114 USA Jim Herman 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.13% 0.04%
115 USA Russell Henley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.1% -0.1%
116 USA Steve Stricker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.09% -0.05%
117 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
118 KOR Kyongjun Moon 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
119 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
120 TPE Sean Yu 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 39.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.5% 21.6%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60.4% 24.5%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.4% 24.5%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.4%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 69.3% 31.5%
6 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 64.5% 32.7%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.6% 33.6%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.2% 36.2%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 65.3% 38.8%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.8%
11 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.7%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.8%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 40.8%
14 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 40.8%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 40.8%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 55% 41.5%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 59.5% 42.5%
18 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 43.6%