Betting Tips for ITALIAN OPEN

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 12 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 4.16% -1.79%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 4.16% 1.88%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 4.08% -2.95%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 3.91% -0.16%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 3.89% 1.75%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 3.39% 0.42%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 3.24% 0.26%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 86/1 2.95% 1.8%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 2.76% -0.22%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 2.22% 0.07%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2.01% -0.48%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 65/1 1.76% 0.24%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.6% -0.67%
14 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.52% ≈ 65/1 1.5% -0.02%
15 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 117/1 1.41% 0.56%
16 ENG Paul Waring 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.35% 0.34%
17 FRA Benjamin Hebert 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 1.31% 0.7%
18 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 1.23% 0.72%
19 ENG Eddie Pepperell 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.2% 0.05%
20 AUT Matthias Schwab 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.52% ≈ 65/1 1.2% -0.31%
21 FRA Romain Langasque 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 1.17% 0.56%
22 ITA Francesco Molinari 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.15% ≈ 18/1 1.17% -3.98%
23 CHN Li Haotong 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.89% ≈ 52/1 1.16% -0.73%
24 GER Martin Kaymer 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.1% -0.05%
25 BEL Thomas Detry 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.08% -0.08%
26 SWE Alexander Noren 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.15% ≈ 46/1 1.07% -1.08%
27 ENG Ian Poulter 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.89% ≈ 52/1 1.01% -0.88%
28 MAS Gavin Green 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 1% 0.39%
29 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.98% 0.28%
30 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.93% -0.03%
31 NED Joost Luiten 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.52% ≈ 65/1 0.92% -0.59%
32 ENG Jordan L Smith 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.52% ≈ 65/1 0.9% -0.61%
33 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.9% 0.39%
34 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.9% -0.06%
35 ESP Jorge Campillo 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.88% 0.44%
36 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.85% 0.15%
37 ITA Guido Migliozzi 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.85% -0.11%
38 RSA Justin Harding 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.77% -0.38%
39 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.76% 0.38%
40 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.74% 0.36%
41 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.74% 0.48%
42 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.74% 0.43%
43 FRA Matthieu Pavon 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.73% 0.47%
44 SWE Joakim Lagergren 70 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 0.7% -0.39%
45 ENG Lee Westwood 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 0.69% -0.4%
46 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.67% 0.06%
47 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.67% -0.29%
48 ITA Renato Paratore 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.67% 0.23%
49 FRA Victor Perez 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.67% -0.49%
50 USA Julian Suri 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.66% 0.15%
51 ITA Edoardo Molinari 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.64% 0.03%
52 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.63% 0.12%
53 ARG Andres Romero 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.63% 0.32%
54 ENG Aaron Rai 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.62% 0.01%
55 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 130/1 0.62% -0.14%
56 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.62% 0.31%
57 USA Kurt Kitayama 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.61% 0.17%
58 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.61% 0.17%
59 RSA Richard Sterne 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.61% 0.1%
60 NIR Graeme McDowell 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 117/1 0.61% -0.24%
61 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.59% 0.21%
62 ENG Ashley Chesters 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.58% 0.14%
63 ENG Chris Paisley 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.57% 0.19%
64 SCO Grant Forrest 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 453/1 0.57% 0.35%
65 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.54% -0.07%
66 ENG Oliver Fisher 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.53% 0.27%
67 USA David Lipsky 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.52% 0.08%
68 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.51% -0.44%
69 ENG Matthew Southgate 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 117/1 0.51% -0.34%
70 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 453/1 0.51% 0.29%
71 ENG Robert Rock 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.5% 0.19%
72 ENG Jack Singh Brar 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.5% 0.19%
73 SWE Alexander Bjork 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 130/1 0.49% -0.27%
74 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.49% 0.18%
75 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.47% 0.08%
76 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.47% -0.05%
77 IRL Paul Dunne 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.46% 0.2%
78 RSA Dean Burmester 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.45% 0.07%
79 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.44% 0.13%
80 FRA Alexander Levy 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.44% -0.18%
81 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 647/1 0.44% 0.28%
82 RSA George Coetzee 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.43% -0.01%
83 AUS Lucas Herbert 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.43% -0.18%
84 ESP Adrian Otaegui 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.4% 0.09%
85 ITA Francesco Laporta 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.39% 0.13%
86 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.39% -0.13%
87 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 1000 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1294/1 0.38% 0.31%
88 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.38% -0.06%
89 NZL Ryan Fox 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 227/1 0.38% -0.06%
90 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 518/1 0.38% 0.19%
91 SCO David Drysdale 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 518/1 0.36% 0.16%
92 FIN Kim Koivu 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 647/1 0.35% 0.2%
93 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.35% 0.04%
94 RSA Brandon Stone 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.35% 0.09%
95 ENG Luke Donald 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.33% -0.18%
96 SCO David Law 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 776/1 0.32% 0.19%
97 RSA Darren Fichardt 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 453/1 0.3% 0.08%
98 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.28% -0.03%
99 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 0.28% -0.11%
100 ESP Jose M Olazabal 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2587/1 0.23% 0.19%
101 GER Maximilian Kieffer 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.23% -0.08%
102 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.23% -0.08%
103 ENG David Howell 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1294/1 0.18% 0.11%
104 NZL Michael Campbell 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1940/1 0.16% 0.11%
105 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 518/1 0.16% -0.04%
106 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.14% -0.12%
107 WAL Jamie Donaldson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
108 DEN Thomas Bjorn 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
109 THA Thongchai Jaidee 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
110 SWE Robert Karlsson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
111 FRA Romain Wattel 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
112 ITA Matteo Manassero 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
113 ENG David Horsey 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
114 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
115 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
116 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
117 WAL Bradley Dredge 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
118 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
119 ENG James Morrison 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
120 KOR Jeunghun Wang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
121 RSA Haydn Porteous 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
122 RSA Justin Walters 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
123 POR Ricardo Gouveia 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
124 WAL Stuart Manley 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
125 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
126 RSA Trevor Immelman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
127 ENG Steven Brown 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 AUS Sam Brazel 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
129 SWE Jens Dantorp 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
130 FRA Julien Guerrier 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
131 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
132 ENG Richard McEvoy 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
133 DEN Joachim B Hansen 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
134 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
135 POR Pedro Figueiredo 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
136 ITA Enrico Di Nitto 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
137 ITA Edoardo Raffaele Lipparelli 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 51.5% 17.4%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 40.2% 17.4%
3 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 54.1% 19.4%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 54.7% 19.9%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 46.5% 22.7%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 48.1% 24.1%
7 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 39.5% 24.4%
8 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 39.6% 24.5%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 50.3% 25.9%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.8% 26.5%
11 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 44.7% 29.1%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 33.6%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.9%
14 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 37%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 39.2%
16 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.2%
17 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.2%
18 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.2%
19 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.2%
20 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.2%