Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 7.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 39.9

Total Profit: -60.2

Scottish Open

07/07/2022 - 10/07/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 11 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.01% 3.99% -3.03% MC
2 ESP Jon Rahm 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.47% 2.05% -4.42% T55
3 USA Justin Thomas 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.61% 2.13% -3.48% MC
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.01% 3.03% -0.98% T6
5 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.01% 2.04% -1.96% 1
6 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.24% 2.1% -1.13% T4
7 USA Will Zalatoris 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.9% 2.14% -0.76% MC
8 USA Jordan Spieth 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.71% 2.06% -0.66% T10
9 AUS Cameron Smith 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.71% 1.96% -0.75% T10
10 NOR Viktor Hovland 30 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.71% 1.87% -0.85% MC
11 USA Sam Burns 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.71% 1.74% -0.97% T66
12 USA Collin Morikawa 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.71% 1.16% -1.55% MC
13 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.47% 1.37% -1.1% MC
14 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 40 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.05% 1.7% -0.35% T4 (tied w/2) 8.86 +39.9
15 CAN Corey Conners 45 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.83% 1.58% -0.25% T61 7.9
16 NZL Ryan Fox 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.27% -0.38% T47 7.13
17 AUS Lucas Herbert 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 0.73% -0.92% MC
18 KOR Sungjae Im 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.56% 1.6% 0.05% MC 6.73
19 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 55 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.5% 1.8% 0.3% T24 6.49
20 CHI Joaquin Niemann 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.43% 2.12% 0.69% T16 6.16
21 ENG Aaron Rai 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.57% -0.68% MC
22 SCO Robert MacIntyre 66 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.48% -0.78% MC
23 USA Cameron Young 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.22% 1.69% 0.48% MC 5.27
24 USA Max Homa 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.14% 2.08% 0.94% T16 4.91
25 USA Keegan Bradley 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.08% 1.79% 0.71% MC 4.66
26 POL Adrian Meronk 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.04% 0% MC 4.49
27 USA Sahith Theegala 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 0.94% -0.1% 4.49
28 USA Billy Horschel 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.01% 1.4% 0.38% MC 4.38
29 ENG Justin Rose 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.86% 0.73% -0.13% T69 3.71
30 FRA Victor Perez 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% 0.62% -0.22% MC 3.6
31 AUS Minwoo Lee 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% 0.23% -0.6% MC
32 USA Keith Mitchell 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.78% 1.53% 0.75% T36 3.37
33 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.78% 0.59% -0.19% T16 3.37
34 USA Harold Varner III 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% 1.35% 0.63% 3.08
35 ENG Jordan L Smith 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 1.32% 0.66% T24 2.89
36 COL Sebastian Munoz 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 1.25% 0.58% MC 2.87
37 SWE Alexander Noren 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.83% 0.17% T30 2.87
38 USA Gary Woodland 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.65% -0.02% T30 2.87
39 CHN Li Haotong 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.57% 1.47% 0.89% T55
40 AUS Marc Leishman 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.57% 0.63% 0.06% MC
41 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 1.2% 0.64% MC
42 USA Jason Kokrak 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.62% 0.07% MC
43 USA Rickie Fowler 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.27% -0.29% T47
44 USA Chris Kirk 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.5% 1.06% 0.56% 71
45 USA Luke List 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.48% 0.94% 0.46% MC
46 ESP Adria Arnaus 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% 0.67% 0.19% T47
47 USA Maverick McNealy 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.45% 0.79% 0.34% T16
48 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% T30
49 USA Brian Harman 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.41% 1.03% 0.62% MC
50 USA Matt Kuchar 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% T47
51 RSA Erik van Rooyen 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.47% 0.09% MC
52 KOR Siwoo Kim 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.66% 0.3% MC
53 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.41% 0.05% T10
54 BEL Thomas Detry 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.22% -0.14% T10
55 ITA Francesco Molinari 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% MC
56 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.46% 0.12%
57 USA Lee Hodges 250 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.44% 0.11%
58 ENG Matthew Jordan 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.29% -0.04% T59
59 USA Johannes Veerman 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.34% 0.01% MC
60 USA Tom Hoge 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.92% 0.63% MC
61 USA Cameron Tringale 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.67% 0.39% T6
62 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% MC
63 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T47
64 NZL Danny Lee 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06%
65 FRA Antoine Rozner 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% MC
66 ENG Danny Willett 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% MC
67 USA John Catlin 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0% MC
68 USA Mackenzie Hughes 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
69 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% T36
70 USA Wyndham Clark 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.53% 0.27% T16
71 SCO Russell Knox 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.49% 0.23% T42
72 USA Harris English 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% T42
73 RSA Thriston Lawrence 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% T24
74 USA J.J Spaun 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.52% 0.28% T59
75 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% MC
76 USA Taylor Moore 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01%
77 RSA Dean Burmester 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.29% 0.06% T10
78 USA Matthew NeSmith 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.77% 0.55% MC
79 ITA Edoardo Molinari 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.49% 0.27% MC
80 SCO Richie Ramsay 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06%
81 SCO David Law 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T47
82 USA Hayden Buckley 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07%
83 SWE Joakim Lagergren 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.16% -0.04% MC
84 USA Alex Smalley 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T10
85 IRL Padraig Harrington 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% MC
86 RSA Brandon Stone 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.15% -0.05% MC
87 SWE Henrik Stenson 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.16% -0.04% MC
88 AUT Sepp Straka 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.8% 0.6% MC
89 RSA Dylan Frittelli 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% T47
90 USA Patrick Rodgers 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
91 USA Ryan Palmer 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T16
92 USA Joel Dahmen 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.53% 0.35% MC
93 USA David Lipsky 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.57% 0.4% MC
94 ENG Matt Wallace 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% MC
95 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.14% T36
96 ESP Jorge Campillo 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
97 ENG Callum Tarren 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
98 ITA Guido Migliozzi 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.3% 0.15% 72
99 USA Stewart Cink 577 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T24
100 FIN Sami Valimaki 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T24
101 NED Wil Besseling 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% MC
102 SCO Ewen Ferguson 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T61
103 USA Kurt Kitayama 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.42% 0.29% 2
104 RSA Garrick Higgo 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.24% 0.11% MC
105 ENG Marcus Armitage 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.3% 0.17% T61
106 ENG Jack Senior 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.14% 0.01% MC
107 SWE Alexander Bjork 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% T42
108 USA Lucas Glover 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.55% 0.44% MC
109 USA Sean Crocker 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.16% 0.05% T66
110 CAN Nick Taylor 744 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% T55
111 AUS Jason Scrivener 773 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.4/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% T16
112 FIN Kalle Samooja 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% MC
113 KOR Tom Kim 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.23% 3
114 FIN Mikko Korhonen 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% T30
115 USA Troy Merritt 793 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.71% 0.61% T30
116 ENG James Morrison 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.35% 0.25% T36
117 USA Brandon Wu 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.34% 0.24% T6
118 FRA Matthieu Pavon 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% T36
119 ENG Luke Donald 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
120 GER Maximilian Kieffer 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% T30
121 WAL Jamie Donaldson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.15% T6
122 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.08% MC
123 ENG Andy Sullivan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.05% MC
124 USA Charley Hoffman 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.1% 0.02% T69
125 KOR Bio Kim 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.07% -0.01% MC
126 IND Shubhankar Sharma 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.3% MC
127 CHN Wu Ashun 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% T55
128 ENG David Horsey 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.21% WD
129 SCO Connor Syme 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T42
130 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
131 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% T36
132 ITA Francesco Laporta 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% MC
133 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
134 ESP Nacho Elvira 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T61
135 SWE Marcus Kinhult 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
136 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.05% MC
137 ITA Nino Bertasio 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.04% MC
138 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
139 THA Jazz Janewattananond 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.02% MC
140 SCO Grant Forrest 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.01% MC
141 ARG Daniel Vancsik 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01%
142 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.12% 0.06% MC
143 USA Nick Watney 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.15% MC
144 DEN Jeff Winther 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
145 SCO Stephen Gallacher 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.09% 0.05% MC
146 KOR Jaekyeong Lee 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% MC
147 ITA Andrea Pavan 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% MC
148 AUS Maverick Antcliff 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.16% 0.13% MC
149 AUS Scott Hend 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.14% 0.11% MC
150 DEN Thomas Bjorn 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% DQ
151 ENG Steven Brown 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% MC
152 ENG Chris Wood 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.05% MC
153 SWE Rikard Karlberg 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.05% T47
154 ENG Ian Poulter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Branden Grace 0% 0% 0% 0% T24
156 SCO Marc Warren 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
157 USA Robert Streb 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Ryan Armour 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 ENG Callum Shinkwin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 ESP Adrian Otaegui 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
162 RSA Justin Harding 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
163 FRA Julien Guerrier 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
164 GER Stephan Jaeger 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
165 ENG Matthew Southgate 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
166 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
167 USA Doug Ghim 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
168 USA Andrew Novak 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 7.9% 7.9%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54% 17.4%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 34.8% 19.1%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.4% 19.5%
5 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 35.4% 19.5%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 21.7%
7 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 60.7% 22.6%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 24.9%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 24.9%
10 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 89.3% 25.5%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26%
12 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 66.4% 26.9%
14 Betway 8 @ 1/5 66.6% 27.1%
15 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 67.2% 27.5%
16 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.5%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 29.6%
18 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 34.9%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 39.3%
20 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.6% 40%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 41.5%