Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 34.9

Total Profit: -65.2

147th OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP

19/07/2018 - 22/07/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 13 7.14% 5.42% 1.96% -3.46% MC
2 ENG Justin Rose 16 5.88% 4.46% 3.06% -1.4% T2
3 USA Rickie Fowler 18 5.26% 3.99% 1.67% -2.32% T28
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 19 5% 3.79% 1.92% -1.87% T2
5 ESP Jon Rahm 22 4.35% 3.3% 1.48% -1.82% MC
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 23 4.17% 3.16% 1.31% -1.85% T12
7 USA Jordan Spieth 23 4.17% 3.16% 1.02% -2.14% T9
8 USA Brooks Koepka 24 4% 3.03% 2.84% -0.19% T39 13.46
9 USA Justin Thomas 27 3.57% 2.71% 1.69% -1.02% MC
10 USA Tiger Woods 27 3.57% 2.71% 1.35% -1.36% T6
11 SWE Alexander Noren 29 3.33% 2.53% 1.62% -0.91% T17
12 ITA Francesco Molinari 30 3.23% 2.45% 2.05% -0.4% 1
13 SWE Henrik Stenson 30 3.23% 2.45% 1.47% -0.97% T35
14 ESP Sergio Garcia 31 3.13% 2.37% 0.72% -1.65% MC
15 AUS Jason Day 37 2.63% 2% 1.4% -0.6% T17
16 ENG Paul Casey 41 2.38% 1.81% 1.52% -0.29% T51
17 RSA Branden Grace 41 2.38% 1.81% 0.99% -0.82% MC
18 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 41 2.38% 1.81% 0.85% -0.96% T51
19 USA Patrick Reed 43 2.27% 1.72% 2.01% 0.29% T28 7.65
20 AUS Marc Leishman 46 2.13% 1.61% 0.98% -0.63% 60
21 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 55 1.79% 1.35% 0.7% -0.66% MC
22 USA Phil Mickelson 61 1.61% 1.22% 1.56% 0.34% T24 5.43
23 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 65 1.52% 1.15% 0.7% -0.45% MC
24 ENG Ian Poulter 69 1.43% 1.08% 1.7% 0.62% MC 4.81
25 USA Zach Johnson 69 1.43% 1.08% 1% -0.08% T17 4.81
26 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 79 1.25% 0.95% 1.24% 0.3% T28 4.21
27 SCO Russell Knox 80 1.23% 0.94% 1.11% 0.17% MC 4.16
28 USA Bubba Watson 82 1.2% 0.91% 2.25% 1.34% MC 4.06
29 USA Matt Kuchar 84 1.18% 0.89% 0.74% -0.15% T9 3.96
30 BEL Thomas Pieters 90 1.1% 0.83% 0.41% -0.42% T28
31 USA Tony Finau 91 1.09% 0.82% 0.97% 0.15% T9 3.66
32 USA Bryson DeChambeau 100 0.99% 0.75% 1.71% 0.96% T51 3.34
33 AUS Adam Scott 101 0.98% 0.74% 0.7% -0.04% T17 3.3
34 ENG Lee Westwood 107 0.93% 0.7% 0.67% -0.03% T61 3.12
35 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 108 0.92% 0.7% 0.65% -0.05% T12 3.09
36 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 109 0.91% 0.69% 1.01% 0.32% 74 3.06
37 USA Xander Schauffele 111 0.89% 0.68% 0.81% 0.13% T2 (tied w/4) 3.01 +34.9
38 USA Patrick Cantlay 111 0.89% 0.68% 0.63% -0.05% T12 3.01
39 USA Brandt Snedeker 112 0.88% 0.67% 0.72% 0.05% MC 2.98
40 ENG Andy Sullivan 115 0.86% 0.65% 0.81% 0.15% MC 2.91
41 USA Webb Simpson 120 0.83% 0.63% 1.47% 0.84% T12 2.79
42 IRL Shane Lowry 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.68% 0.05% MC 2.79
43 NZL Ryan Fox 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.59% -0.04% T39 2.79
44 ENG Matthew Southgate 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.34% -0.28% T67
45 USA Luke List 130 0.76% 0.58% 1.02% 0.44% T39 2.57
46 ENG Chris Wood 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.6% 0.02% T28 2.57
47 IRL Paul Dunne 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.44% -0.14% T67 2.57
48 USA Russell Henley 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% MC
49 ENG Danny Willett 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.66% 0.15% T24
50 USA Ryan Moore 160 0.62% 0.47% 1.04% 0.57% T12
51 USA Charley Hoffman 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.99% 0.52% T17
52 USA Kevin Na 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.85% 0.38% T51
53 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.84% 0.36% T75
54 ARG Emiliano Grillo 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.75% 0.28% MC
55 USA Peter Uihlein 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.61% 0.14% MC
56 GER Martin Kaymer 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.78% 0.36% MC
57 SWE Alexander Bjork 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% MC
58 USA Daniel Berger 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.69% 0.27% MC
59 ENG Eddie Pepperell 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.53% 0.11% T6
60 USA Keegan Bradley 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.85% 0.45% 79
61 USA Brian Harman 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% MC
62 RSA Dylan Frittelli 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% MC
63 USA Stewart Cink 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.58% 0.18% T24
64 RSA Charl Schwartzel 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.52% 0.12% MC
65 USA Gary Woodland 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% T67
66 ENG Ross Fisher 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.33% -0.07% T39
67 USA Beau Hossler 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.8% 0.43% T75
68 USA Jason Dufner 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.67% 0.29% T51
69 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.23% -0.14% MC
70 USA Jimmy Walker 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.83% 0.47% MC
71 ESP Jorge Campillo 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.86% 0.51% MC
72 RSA Brandon Stone 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.19% -0.15% T61
73 USA Kyle Stanley 230 0.43% 0.33% 1.02% 0.69% T39
74 ENG Matt Wallace 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% MC
75 USA Charles Howell III 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.8% 0.51% MC
76 USA Chesson Hadley 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
77 USA Julian Suri 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% T28
78 IND Anirban Lahiri 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
79 AUS Cameron Smith 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% 78
80 USA Kevin Chappell 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% T6
81 CAN Adam Hadwin 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.71% 0.44% T35
82 USA Kevin Kisner 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% T2
83 USA Pat Perez 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% T17
84 KOR Siwoo Kim 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% T67
85 RSA George Coetzee 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
86 FRA Alexander Levy 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% MC
87 RSA Erik van Rooyen 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T17
88 USA Chez Reavie 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.79% 0.54% MC
89 IND Shubhankar Sharma 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.33% T51
90 USA Austin Cook 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.43% 0.17% T28
91 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% MC
92 USA Brendan Steele 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T47
93 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T35
94 USA Jason Kokrak 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% MC
95 USA Andrew Landry 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% MC
96 JPN Hideto Tanihara 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
97 RSA Retief Goosen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
98 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
99 SWE Marcus Kinhult 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T61
100 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
101 AUS Matt Jones 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
102 USA Ryan Armour 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
103 ENG Tom Lewis 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% T47
104 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
105 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
106 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T35
107 JPN Yuta Ikeda 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% T51
108 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
109 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
110 GER Bernhard Langer 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T24
111 RSA Shaun Norris 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T61
112 USA Patton Kizzire 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
113 SCO Grant Forrest 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
114 SCO Scott Jamieson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
115 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% T67
116 AUS Cameron Davis 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% T39
117 RSA Ernie Els 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.18% MC
118 RSA Zander Lombard 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T67
119 MAS Gavin Green 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T61
120 JPN Shota Akiyoshi 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% MC
121 AUS Brett Rumford 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T61
122 KOR Sanghyun Park 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
123 JPN Ryuko Tokimatsu 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
124 THA Jazz Janewattananond 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
125 THA Danthai Boonma 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
126 AUS Lucas Herbert 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.02% T51
127 USA Sean Crocker 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.02% T47
128 ENG Oliver Wilson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
129 JPN Masanori Kobayashi 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
130 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% T39
131 JPN Kodai Ichihara 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.15% MC
132 NIR Darren Clarke 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
133 ENG Jack Senior 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
134 WAL Rhys Enoch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% T67
135 USA Brady Schnell 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
136 ENG Marcus Armitage 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% MC
137 KOR Minchel Choi 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.02% MC
138 ISL Haraldur Magnus 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% MC
139 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.86% 0% T39
140 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 0.8% 0% T51
141 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.34% 0% T47
142 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
143 ENG Jordan L Smith 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
144 SCO Sam Locke 0% 0% 0.08% 0% T75
145 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0.07% 0% MC
146 RSA Jovan Rebula 0% 0% 0.06% 0% MC
147 ENG James Robinson 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...