Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 127.7

Total Profit: +27.6

US OPEN

14/06/2018 - 17/06/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 8 11.11% 8.63% 3.66% -4.97% 3
2 ENG Justin Rose 14 6.67% 5.18% 1.83% -3.35% T10
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 15 6.25% 4.85% 1.99% -2.86% MC
4 USA Justin Thomas 16 5.88% 4.57% 2.14% -2.42% T25
5 AUS Jason Day 17 5.56% 4.31% 3.5% -0.81% MC
6 USA Rickie Fowler 19 5% 3.88% 1.64% -2.25% T20
7 USA Jordan Spieth 21 4.55% 3.53% 1.76% -1.77% MC
8 ESP Jon Rahm 21 4.55% 3.53% 1.76% -1.77% MC
9 USA Tiger Woods 23 4.17% 3.24% 1.2% -2.04% MC
10 USA Brooks Koepka 24 4% 3.11% 1.33% -1.78% 1
11 USA Phil Mickelson 35 2.78% 2.16% 2.46% 0.3% T48 9.49
12 SWE Henrik Stenson 35 2.78% 2.16% 1.6% -0.56% T6
13 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 2.78% 2.16% 1.15% -1.01% T16
14 RSA Branden Grace 37 2.63% 2.04% 1.13% -0.92% T25
15 USA Bryson DeChambeau 41 2.38% 1.85% 1.16% -0.68% T25
16 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 46 2.13% 1.65% 1.56% -0.09% 2 7.27 +37.1
17 USA Patrick Reed 47 2.08% 1.62% 1.75% 0.13% 4 7.12 +37
18 ENG Paul Casey 57 1.72% 1.34% 1.5% 0.16% T16 5.89
19 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 57 1.72% 1.34% 1.12% -0.22% T16
20 ESP Sergio Garcia 57 1.72% 1.34% 0.94% -0.4% MC
21 SWE Alexander Noren 59 1.67% 1.29% 1.45% 0.15% T25 5.7
22 AUS Marc Leishman 59 1.67% 1.29% 1.1% -0.19% T45 5.7
23 USA Patrick Cantlay 62 1.59% 1.23% 1.02% -0.22% T45 5.43
24 ITA Francesco Molinari 63 1.56% 1.21% 1.05% -0.16% T25 5.34
25 USA Bubba Watson 67 1.47% 1.14% 1.18% 0.04% MC 5.03
26 USA Webb Simpson 68 1.45% 1.13% 2.4% 1.28% T10 4.96
27 AUS Adam Scott 71 1.39% 1.08% 0.81% -0.27% MC
28 USA Tony Finau 80 1.23% 0.96% 1% 0.04% 5 4.22 +35.9
29 USA Matt Kuchar 81 1.22% 0.95% 0.99% 0.04% MC 4.17
30 USA Jimmy Walker 90 1.1% 0.85% 1.46% 0.61% T56 3.76
31 USA Xander Schauffele 103 0.96% 0.75% 1% 0.25% T6 (tied w/4) 3.29 +17.8
32 ARG Emiliano Grillo 106 0.93% 0.73% 1.04% 0.31% MC 3.2
33 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 111 0.89% 0.69% 1.36% 0.66% T36 3.05
34 USA Brandt Snedeker 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.91% 0.23% T48 3
35 USA Kyle Stanley 120 0.83% 0.64% 1.11% 0.46% MC 2.83
36 RSA Charl Schwartzel 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.58% -0.06% MC 2.83
37 ENG Ian Poulter 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.78% 1.19% T25 2.61
38 USA Zach Johnson 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.16% 0.56% T12 2.61
39 USA Peter Uihlein 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.67% 0.08% T48 2.61
40 USA Brian Harman 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.94% 0.42% T36
41 IRL Shane Lowry 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.86% 0.35% MC
42 USA Luke List 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.84% 0.32% MC
43 USA Gary Woodland 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.73% 0.22% T36
44 USA Aaron Wise 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.69% 0.17% MC
45 GER Martin Kaymer 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% MC
46 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 160 0.62% 0.48% 1.32% 0.84% T12
47 USA Steve Stricker 160 0.62% 0.48% 1.12% 0.64% T20
48 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% 15
49 USA Jason Dufner 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% T25
50 USA Daniel Berger 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% T6
51 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.65% 0.16% T6
52 CAN Adam Hadwin 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.89% 0.47% MC
53 USA Chesson Hadley 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.8% 0.37% MC
54 KOR Siwoo Kim 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.78% 0.35% MC
55 AUS Cameron Smith 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.66% 0.23% MC
56 USA Charley Hoffman 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.58% 0.15% T20
57 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.39% -0.04% MC
58 USA Russell Henley 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.91% 0.5% T25
59 USA Kevin Kisner 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.68% 0.27% MC
60 USA Charles Howell III 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.99% 0.6% T25
61 USA Chez Reavie 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.81% 0.43% MC
62 NIR Graeme McDowell 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.7% 0.32% MC
63 USA Kevin Chappell 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.68% 0.31% 65
64 USA Brendan Steele 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% 63
65 USA Patrick Rodgers 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% T41
66 USA Pat Perez 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.37% 0.04% T36
67 ENG Ross Fisher 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.74% 0.43% T48
68 SCO Russell Knox 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.72% 0.41% T12
69 USA Trey Mullinax 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.51% 0.23% MC
70 USA Bill Haas 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.28% 0% T36
71 USA Ollie Schniederjans 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% MC
72 ENG Andrew Johnston 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% 62
73 USA Lucas Glover 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.32% 0.06% MC
74 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.86% 0.6% MC
75 FRA Alexander Levy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.69% 0.44% MC
76 RSA Dylan Frittelli 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.37% MC
77 USA Scott Piercy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% T45
78 IND Shubhankar Sharma 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.5% 0.24% MC
79 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T41
80 ENG Danny Willett 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
81 USA Brian Gay 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.61% 0.41% T20
82 ENG Matt Wallace 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.55% 0.36% MC
83 NZL Ryan Fox 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.26% T41
84 USA Jim Furyk 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T48
85 USA Braden Thornberry 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.04% MC
86 USA Roberto Castro 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.17% -0.03% MC
87 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.33% MC
88 USA Scott Stallings 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
89 AUS Aaron Baddeley 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% T25
90 USA Richy Werenski 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.23% MC
91 USA Brian Stuard 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.22% MC
92 RSA Dean Burmester 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% T56
93 AUS Matt Jones 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
94 USA Sam Burns 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T41
95 USA Harold Varner III 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% MC
96 SCO Richie Ramsay 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.24% MC
97 ENG Matthew Southgate 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
98 AUS Lucas Herbert 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
99 RSA Ernie Els 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
100 ENG Paul Waring 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% MC
101 JPN Shota Akiyoshi 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.17% MC
102 AUS Jason Scrivener 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.13% MC
103 USA Tyler Duncan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T56
104 USA Lanto Griffin 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
105 FRA Matthieu Pavon 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T25
106 ENG James Morrison 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
107 USA Mackenzie Hughes 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.04% MC
108 ENG Tom Lewis 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
109 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
110 ENG Ryan Evans 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
111 NZL Tim Wilkinson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T48
112 USA Kenny Perry 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
113 KOR Sungjoon Park 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.07% MC
114 USA Eric Axley 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
115 USA Michael Putnam 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% MC
116 USA Cameron Wilson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.01% 64
117 MEX Sebastian Vazquez 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% MC
118 USA Michael Hebert 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% MC
119 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 0.92% 0% 67
120 USA Keegan Bradley 0% 0% 0.72% 0% MC
121 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.44% 0% T16
122 USA Michael DeMorat 0% 0% 0.24% 0% T56
123 CHN Liang Wen-chong 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
124 USA Matt Parziale 0% 0% 0.21% 0% T48
125 USA Stewart Hagestad 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
126 USA Dylan Meyer 0% 0% 0.17% 0% T20
127 AUS David Bransdon 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
128 SCO Calum Hill 0% 0% 0.13% 0% 61
129 KOR Sungjae Im 0% 0% 0.12% 0% MC
130 USA Will Grimmer 0% 0% 0.12% 0% 66
131 USA Doug Ghim 0% 0% 0.11% 0% MC
132 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC
133 CRC Luis Gagne 0% 0% 0.09% 0% T48
134 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC
135 ENG Scott Gregory 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC
136 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% 0.06% 0% T56
137 USA Theo Humphrey 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC
138 USA David Gazzolo 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC
139 USA Michael Miller 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC
140 USA Cole Miller 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC
141 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...