Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 36.6

Total Profit: -63.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 8 11.11% 8.71% 5.54% -3.17% T13
2 USA Dustin Johnson 10 9.09% 7.12% 2.79% -4.33% T17
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 9.09% 7.12% 2.16% -4.97% T5
4 USA Rickie Fowler 16 5.88% 4.61% 3.71% -0.9% 9
5 USA Brooks Koepka 17 5.56% 4.35% 2.53% -1.82% T17
6 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 21 4.55% 3.56% 1.79% -1.77% 1
7 ESP Jon Rahm 22 4.35% 3.41% 2.4% -1.01% T28
8 SWE Henrik Stenson 26 3.7% 2.9% 2.08% -0.83% T17
9 ENG Justin Rose 28 3.45% 2.7% 2.19% -0.51% T63
10 AUS Jason Day 30 3.23% 2.53% 1.78% -0.75% T24
11 ESP Sergio Garcia 31 3.13% 2.45% 2.59% 0.14% T39
12 AUS Adam Scott 31 3.13% 2.45% 1.57% -0.88% T13
13 USA Matt Kuchar 32 3.03% 2.37% 2.81% 0.43% T17 10.46
14 ENG Paul Casey 32 3.03% 2.37% 1.84% -0.53% T5
15 AUS Marc Leishman 43 2.27% 1.78% 2.05% 0.27% T41 7.85
16 RSA Branden Grace 44 2.22% 1.74% 1.42% -0.33% T28
17 USA Justin Thomas 44 2.22% 1.74% 1.33% -0.41% T28
18 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 2.17% 1.7% 1.93% 0.22% T28 7.5
19 USA Daniel Berger 46 2.13% 1.67% 1.81% 0.14% T17
20 SWE Alexander Noren 54 1.82% 1.42% 1.94% 0.52% T28 6.28
21 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 55 1.79% 1.4% 1.63% 0.23% 72 6.17
22 USA Kevin Chappell 55 1.79% 1.4% 1.42% 0.02% T13
23 RSA Charl Schwartzel 60 1.64% 1.28% 1.01% -0.27% T24
24 USA Jason Dufner 63 1.56% 1.22% 2.04% 0.82% T50 5.4
25 USA Charley Hoffman 64 1.54% 1.21% 2.37% 1.16% 3 5.31 +36.6
26 USA Gary Woodland 64 1.54% 1.21% 0.98% -0.23% T63
27 USA Phil Mickelson 65 1.52% 1.19% 1.13% -0.06% T39
28 BEL Thomas Pieters 65 1.52% 1.19% 0.97% -0.22% 4
29 USA Patrick Reed 68 1.45% 1.14% 1.75% 0.61% T36 5
30 USA Zach Johnson 68 1.45% 1.14% 1.26% 0.13% 2
31 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 79 1.25% 0.98% 1.39% 0.41% T50 4.32
32 USA Bubba Watson 81 1.22% 0.96% 1.1% 0.15% T17 4.21
33 USA Russell Henley 87 1.14% 0.89% 1.28% 0.39% T66 3.93
34 USA J.B. Holmes 92 1.08% 0.84% 1.41% 0.57% T60 3.71
35 USA Kevin Kisner 97 1.02% 0.8% 1.56% 0.76% T28 3.53
36 ENG Lee Westwood 100 0.99% 0.78% 1.31% 0.53% T47 3.42
37 ITA Francesco Molinari 108 0.92% 0.72% 1.13% 0.41% T24 3.17
38 USA Kyle Stanley 111 0.89% 0.7% 1.29% 0.59% T41 3.09
39 USA Brian Harman 113 0.88% 0.69% 1.79% 1.1% T50 3.03
40 ENG Chris Wood 115 0.86% 0.68% 0.94% 0.26% 73 2.98
41 USA Bill Haas 120 0.83% 0.65% 1.49% 0.84% T36 2.86
42 ENG Ross Fisher 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.42% 0.82% T44 2.64
43 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.35% 0.75% T41 2.64
44 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.22% 0.62% T50 2.64
45 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.35% 0.83% T17
46 ENG Andy Sullivan 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.06% 0.54% T50
47 USA Brendan Steele 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.75% 0.23% T24
48 USA Billy Horschel 160 0.62% 0.49% 1.21% 0.72% T74
49 USA Jimmy Walker 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.92% 0.43% T28
50 KOR Siwoo Kim 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.86% 0.37% T50
51 USA Bryson DeChambeau 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.75% 0.26% T60
52 ARG Emiliano Grillo 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.5% 0.01% T50
53 USA Ryan Moore 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.69% 0.26% T28
54 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.54% 0.11% T10
55 USA Pat Perez 200 0.5% 0.39% 1.06% 0.67% 69
56 USA Wesley Bryan 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.8% 0.41% T44
57 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% T36
58 JPN Hideto Tanihara 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.84% 0.49% T50
59 CAN Adam Hadwin 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.82% 0.46% T5
60 USA Hudson Swafford 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% T10
61 SCO Russell Knox 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.24% -0.07% T5
62 USA Mackenzie Hughes 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.66% 0.37% T66
63 USA Harold Varner III 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% T50
64 ENG Danny Willett 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.72% 0.44% 76
65 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% T50
66 THA Thongchai Jaidee 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% T63
67 ARG Andres Romero 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.52% 0.26% 70
68 AUS Scott Hend 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T10
69 ITA Renato Paratore 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T44
70 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.23% -0.03% T47
71 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.22% T66
72 AUS Rod Pampling 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T74
73 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T47
74 SCO Paul Lawrie 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T60
75 RSA Shaun Norris 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% 71
76 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 1.03% 0% T13

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...