Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100

The Honda Classic

23/02/2017 - 26/02/2017

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Adam Scott 13 7.14% 5.98% 2.32% -3.66% T14
2 USA Justin Thomas 17 5.56% 4.65% 3.31% -1.34% MC
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 17 5.56% 4.65% 1.55% -3.1% T14
4 USA Rickie Fowler 18 5.26% 4.4% 1.51% -2.9% 1
5 SCO Russell Knox 30 3.23% 2.7% 1.49% -1.21% MC
6 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 35 2.78% 2.32% 1.66% -0.66% T21
7 USA Daniel Berger 35 2.78% 2.32% 1.49% -0.83% MC
8 ENG Paul Casey 37 2.63% 2.2% 2.32% 0.11% T11 27.23
9 USA Gary Woodland 37 2.63% 2.2% 1.63% -0.58% T2
10 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 43 2.27% 1.9% 1.33% -0.57% T4
11 BEL Thomas Pieters 43 2.27% 1.9% 0.94% -0.96% MC
12 USA Kevin Kisner 45 2.17% 1.82% 1.32% -0.5% T48
13 USA Brendan Steele 46 2.13% 1.78% 1.14% -0.64% T14
14 USA Zach Johnson 47 2.08% 1.74% 1.19% -0.55% T27
15 RSA Branden Grace 48 2.04% 1.71% 1.55% -0.16% WD
16 USA Charles Howell III 49 2% 1.67% 1.88% 0.21% T52 20.7
17 USA Brooks Koepka 49 2% 1.67% 1.75% 0.07% MC 20.7
18 USA Russell Henley 57 1.72% 1.44% 1.02% -0.42% T43
19 USA Jimmy Walker 58 1.69% 1.42% 1.34% -0.07% T21
20 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 58 1.69% 1.42% 1.18% -0.24% 68
21 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 61 1.61% 1.35% 1.27% -0.08% T37
22 USA Keegan Bradley 63 1.56% 1.31% 1.58% 0.27% MC 16.17
23 ENG Danny Willett 66 1.49% 1.25% 1.02% -0.22% MC
24 ITA Francesco Molinari 67 1.47% 1.23% 2.66% 1.43% T14 15.22
25 USA Jason Dufner 67 1.47% 1.23% 0.85% -0.38% T14
26 USA Ollie Schniederjans 69 1.43% 1.2% 0.64% -0.55% T48
27 NIR Graeme McDowell 70 1.41% 1.18% 0.94% -0.24% T14
28 GER Martin Kaymer 72 1.37% 1.15% 1.43% 0.28% T4
29 ENG Luke Donald 72 1.37% 1.15% 1.25% 0.1% T27
30 ARG Emiliano Grillo 81 1.22% 1.02% 0.95% -0.07% T43
31 AUS Marc Leishman 81 1.22% 1.02% 0.95% -0.07% T27
32 USA Patrick Rodgers 91 1.09% 0.91% 0.7% -0.21% MC
33 KOR Seungyul Noh 97 1.02% 0.85% 0.57% -0.29% T43
34 USA Billy Horschel 99 1% 0.84% 0.75% -0.09% T4
35 USA William McGirt 101 0.98% 0.82% 0.7% -0.12% MC
36 USA Brian Harman 103 0.96% 0.8% 1.11% 0.31% T48
37 CAN Graham Delaet 104 0.95% 0.8% 0.67% -0.13% 10
38 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 108 0.92% 0.77% 1.41% 0.64% T4
39 USA Ryan Palmer 108 0.92% 0.77% 0.69% -0.08% T37
40 USA Scott Brown 111 0.89% 0.75% 0.51% -0.23% T57
41 USA Lucas Glover 115 0.86% 0.72% 0.8% 0.08% T21
42 SWE David Lingmerth 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.61% -0.09% MC
43 USA Hudson Swafford 130 0.76% 0.64% 1.03% 0.4% MC
44 ENG Ian Poulter 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.97% 0.33% T43
45 USA Stewart Cink 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.86% 0.22% T27
46 IND Anirban Lahiri 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.76% 0.12% T11
47 USA Harris English 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.69% 0.05% T60
48 USA Wesley Bryan 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.35% -0.29% T4
49 USA Robert Garrigus 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.73% 0.17% MC
50 USA Kyle Stanley 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.7% 0.15% MC
51 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% MC
52 USA Jamie Lovemark 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.62% 0.07% MC
53 USA Nick Watney 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.62% 0.06% T14
54 COL Camilo Villegas 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.59% 0.04% MC
55 KOR Sunghoon Kang 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.46% -0.09% T52
56 USA Luke List 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.77% 0.25% T52
57 USA Scott Stallings 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.63% 0.17% T21
58 USA Daniel Summerhays 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.47% 0.01% T52
59 USA Martin Flores 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.42% -0.04% MC
60 USA Cameron Tringale 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.3% -0.17% 65
61 USA Billy Hurley III 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.83% 0.39% T52
62 USA Jim Herman 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.7% 0.26% T27
63 USA John Huh 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.63% 0.19% MC
64 USA Michael Thompson 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.52% 0.08% MC
65 USA John Peterson 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.27% -0.17% MC
66 USA Bud Cauley 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.57% 0.15% T27
67 USA Mackenzie Hughes 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.82% 0.43% T66
68 USA Brian Stuard 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.62% 0.22% T27
69 USA Robert Streb 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% MC
70 USA Michael Kim 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% MC
71 USA Kelly Kraft 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.74% 0.38% MC
72 SVK Rory Sabbatini 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.55% 0.19% MC
73 USA Trey Mullinax 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.44% 0.08% MC
74 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% T37
75 IRL Seamus Power 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.44% 0.11% MC
76 USA Blayne Barber 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.26% -0.08% T62
77 USA Patton Kizzire 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.6% 0.28% T66
78 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.55% 0.23% T37
79 USA Harold Varner III 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.5% 0.18% T57
80 NZL Tim Wilkinson 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% WD
81 USA Richy Werenski 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.44% 0.14% MC
82 AUS Cameron Percy 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.38% 0.07% WD
83 USA Zac Blair 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% MC
84 USA Chad Campbell 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.53% 0.23% MC
85 SWE Jonas Blixt 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
86 USA Will Mackenzie 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% MC
87 USA Shawn Stefani 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.32% 0.03% MC
88 USA Will Wilcox 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.3% 0% WD
89 USA Ben Crane 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.48% 0.2% T62
90 USA Derek Fathauer 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% MC
91 AUS John Senden 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
92 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.77% 0.49% MC
93 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.64% 0.36% MC
94 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% 70
95 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% MC
96 KOR Meenwhee Kim 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% MC
97 GER Alex Cejka 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.39% 0.12% MC
98 USA Boo Weekley 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.37% 0.1% T48
99 NZL Danny Lee 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.35% 0.07% MC
100 USA Brett Stegmaier 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.29% 0.02% MC
101 USA Brandon Hagy 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0% T21
102 USA Smylie Kaufman 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.22% -0.06% MC
103 USA Bryson DeChambeau 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.57% 0.37% MC
104 RSA Ernie Els 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
105 USA Ken Duke 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
106 USA Brian Gay 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% T60
107 CAN David Hearn 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% T43
108 USA Johnson Wagner 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% MC
109 USA Ricky Barnes 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% MC
110 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% T27
111 USA Jon Curran 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% MC
112 USA Ryan Brehm 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.18% -0.03% 69
113 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.53% 0.36% T2
114 RSA Retief Goosen 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.22% MC
115 USA Ryan Blaum 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% T37
116 USA Jason Bohn 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.33% 0.17% MC
117 USA Kyle Reifers 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.13% MC
118 USA Peter Malnati 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% MC
119 USA Mark Wilson 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T27
120 USA Andrew Loupe 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
121 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% T57
122 USA Ryan Armour 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% MC
123 USA Spencer Levin 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
124 NZL Steven Alker 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.1% MC
125 AUS Brett Drewitt 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% MC
126 USA Mark Hubbard 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.16% 0.05% MC
127 SWE Carl Pettersson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% T62
128 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
129 USA Matt Every 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% WD
130 USA Chad Collins 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% T4
131 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.97% 0% T37
132 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.93% 0% T11
133 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
134 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.62% 0% MC
135 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0.59% 0% T21
136 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
137 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.4% 0% MC
138 USA Andres Gonzales 0% 0% 0.37% 0% MC
139 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T27
140 USA Joey Garber 0% 0% 0.24% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...