Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 75.1

Total Profit: -25

Genesis Open

16/02/2017 - 19/02/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 8 11.11% 8.94% 3.61% -5.34% T22
2 USA Dustin Johnson 8 11.11% 8.94% 2.5% -6.44% 1
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 10 9.09% 7.32% 3.52% -3.8% MC
4 AUS Jason Day 15 6.25% 5.03% 1.44% -3.59% T64
5 AUS Adam Scott 24 4% 3.22% 2.28% -0.94% T11
6 ESP Sergio Garcia 25 3.85% 3.1% 1.38% -1.71% T49
7 USA Justin Thomas 26 3.7% 2.98% 2.93% -0.06% T39 13.45
8 ENG Justin Rose 29 3.33% 2.68% 1.13% -1.55% T4
9 USA Bubba Watson 38 2.56% 2.06% 1.22% -0.85% WD
10 USA Brandt Snedeker 43 2.27% 1.83% 1.02% -0.81% MC
11 USA Phil Mickelson 46 2.13% 1.71% 1.84% 0.12% T34 7.73
12 ENG Paul Casey 47 2.08% 1.68% 1.43% -0.24% T39
13 USA Patrick Reed 51 1.92% 1.55% 1.64% 0.1% T59 6.98
14 USA Brooks Koepka 54 1.82% 1.46% 1.72% 0.26% MC 6.6
15 USA Matt Kuchar 65 1.52% 1.22% 1.16% -0.06% T22
16 USA Bill Haas 69 1.43% 1.15% 1.1% -0.05% T11 5.19
17 USA Brendan Steele 69 1.43% 1.15% 0.77% -0.38% T39
18 USA Ryan Moore 71 1.39% 1.12% 1.2% 0.08% MC 5.05
19 RSA Charl Schwartzel 71 1.39% 1.12% 1.14% 0.02% MC 5.05
20 USA Keegan Bradley 73 1.35% 1.09% 1.18% 0.1% T34 4.91
21 KOR Byeong Hun An 73 1.35% 1.09% 0.89% -0.2% T55
22 USA Charles Howell III 73 1.35% 1.09% 0.84% -0.25% T15
23 AUS Marc Leishman 79 1.25% 1.01% 1.2% 0.2% MC 4.54
24 USA Jimmy Walker 82 1.2% 0.97% 0.88% -0.09% T11
25 RSA Branden Grace 87 1.14% 0.91% 0.79% -0.13% T22
26 IRL Shane Lowry 89 1.11% 0.89% 1.26% 0.37% WD 4.04
27 ITA Francesco Molinari 90 1.1% 0.88% 2.33% 1.44% MC 3.99
28 USA Pat Perez 97 1.02% 0.82% 0.88% 0.06% T28 3.71
29 USA Jim Furyk 97 1.02% 0.82% 0.5% -0.32% T39
30 USA Kevin Chappell 98 1.01% 0.81% 0.76% -0.05% MC 3.67
31 USA Webb Simpson 104 0.95% 0.77% 0.72% -0.05% T39 3.46
32 CAN Adam Hadwin 107 0.93% 0.75% 1.08% 0.33% T34 3.37
33 SCO Martin Laird 109 0.91% 0.73% 0.98% 0.25% T8 3.3
34 USA Tony Finau 111 0.89% 0.72% 0.98% 0.26% MC 3.25
35 USA Brian Harman 115 0.86% 0.69% 0.88% 0.19% MC 3.13
36 BEL Thomas Pieters 115 0.86% 0.69% 0.85% 0.16% T2 (tied w/2) 3.13 +37.6
37 USA Jason Kokrak 115 0.86% 0.69% 0.51% -0.18% T22
38 USA Harris English 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.55% -0.11% MC
39 USA Billy Horschel 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.88% 0.27% MC 2.78
40 USA Kevin Na 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.6% -0.02% T4 (tied w/4) 2.78 +37.5
41 USA Patrick Rodgers 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.46% -0.15% T22
42 USA Ollie Schniederjans 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.36% -0.26% T8
43 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 0.66% 0.53% 1.11% 0.58% T64
44 USA Hudson Swafford 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.76% 0.23% MC
45 NIR Graeme McDowell 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.92% 0.42% 67
46 USA Chez Reavie 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% MC
47 USA Scott Piercy 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.57% 0.07% MC
48 USA Jamie Lovemark 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.57% 0.13% T39
49 CAN Graham Delaet 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.47% 0.02% T17
50 KOR Seungyul Noh 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.37% -0.07% T11
51 USA James Hahn 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.63% 0.21% T28
52 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 0.5% 0.4% 1.36% 0.96% T15
53 USA Kevin Streelman 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.63% 0.23% MC
54 USA Kelly Kraft 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% MC
55 USA Luke List 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.49% 0.09% MC
56 AUS Cameron Smith 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.85% 0.47% T28
57 USA Ryan Palmer 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.84% 0.46% T49
58 ENG Luke Donald 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.81% 0.43% T17
59 USA Charley Hoffman 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.78% 0.4% T4
60 USA Nick Watney 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.71% 0.33% T28
61 USA Stewart Cink 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.75% 0.38% T28
62 KOR Sunghoon Kang 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.56% 0.19% T22
63 USA Kyle Stanley 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% T39
64 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.97% 0.62% MC
65 USA Mackenzie Hughes 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% MC
66 USA Harold Varner III 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.5% 0.16% MC
67 AUS Aaron Baddeley 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.45% 0.11% MC
68 USA Michael Kim 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% MC
69 USA Daniel Summerhays 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% T55
70 USA Robert Streb 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
71 USA Derek Fathauer 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
72 USA Jim Herman 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.56% 0.27% MC
73 USA Patton Kizzire 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.24% -0.05% 70
74 CAN Nick Taylor 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T55
75 USA Rob Oppenheim 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
76 USA Bud Cauley 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.32% 0.05% T61
77 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.91% 0.64% MC
78 COL Camilo Villegas 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.82% 0.55% MC
79 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.75% 0.48% MC
80 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.69% 0.42% T39
81 IRL Padraig Harrington 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% T39
82 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% MC
83 USA Chad Campbell 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.46% 0.2% T59
84 NZL Danny Lee 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% MC
85 RSA Ernie Els 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.41% 0.15% MC
86 USA Scott Brown 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.12% T2
87 USA Shawn Stefani 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% MC
88 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
89 AUS Cameron Percy 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% T49
90 USA Ricky Barnes 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.66% 0.46% MC
91 USA John Huh 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.59% 0.39% T49
92 USA Vaughn Taylor 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.59% 0.38% WD
93 KOR Meenwhee Kim 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.52% 0.31% T61
94 USA Billy Hurley III 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.3% T28
95 AUS John Senden 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.47% 0.26% MC
96 USA Bryce Molder 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.47% 0.26% MC
97 USA Bryson DeChambeau 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% WD
98 USA Hunter Mahan 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
99 USA Ben Martin 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
100 USA Zac Blair 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% T34
101 USA Jon Curran 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% MC
102 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% 71
103 USA Troy Merritt 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% MC
104 USA Kyle Reifers 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
105 USA Cameron Tringale 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% T8
106 USA Blayne Barber 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% MC
107 USA Morgan Hoffmann 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
108 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.51% 0.35% MC
109 USA Ryan Blaum 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.22% MC
110 USA Johnson Wagner 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
111 USA Spencer Levin 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
112 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T55
113 USA Ben Crane 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% T61
114 USA Wesley Bryan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% T4
115 CAN David Hearn 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
116 USA John Merrick 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
117 USA Kevin Tway 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% MC
118 USA Steve Marino 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.16% WD
119 USA Mark Hubbard 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.2% 0.07% 69
120 USA Charlie Beljan 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% MC
121 USA Ken Duke 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% MC
122 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
123 USA Sam Saunders 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% T49
124 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% T64
125 KOR Jinho Choi 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% WD
126 USA Brett Stegmaier 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% T39
127 SWE Carl Pettersson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0.01% MC
128 USA Bob Estes 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
129 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
130 USA Andrew Loupe 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
131 USA Chad Collins 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
132 USA Matt Every 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
133 USA J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 1.38% 0% T34
134 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0.67% 0% T17
135 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
136 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.54% 0% MC
137 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.27% 0% T17
138 USA Sahith Theegala 0% 0% 0.26% 0% T49
139 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.15% 0% T17
140 USA Jonathan Garrick 0% 0% 0.11% 0% 68
141 USA Kevin Dougherty 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...