Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 35.0

Total Profit: -65

Sony Open in Hawaii

12/01/2017 - 15/01/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 6 14.29% 10.48% 3.24% -7.24% 3
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 8 11.11% 8.15% 4.85% -3.31% T27
3 USA Justin Thomas 15 6.25% 4.59% 3.12% -1.47% 1
4 USA Jimmy Walker 20 4.76% 3.49% 2.5% -0.99% MC
5 ENG Paul Casey 25 3.85% 2.82% 2.5% -0.32% MC
6 USA Brandt Snedeker 25 3.85% 2.82% 2.12% -0.71% MC
7 ENG Justin Rose 25 3.85% 2.82% 1.73% -1.09% 2
8 SCO Russell Knox 30 3.23% 2.37% 2.3% -0.06% T11 10.61
9 USA Gary Woodland 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.52% -0.85% T6
10 USA Daniel Berger 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.42% -0.95% T45
11 USA Scott Piercy 30 3.23% 2.37% 0.91% -1.45% T57
12 USA Chris Kirk 40 2.44% 1.79% 1.43% -0.36% MC
13 USA Charles Howell III 40 2.44% 1.79% 1.19% -0.6% T8
14 USA Bill Haas 40 2.44% 1.79% 1% -0.79% T13
15 USA Pat Perez 40 2.44% 1.79% 0.96% -0.83% T69
16 USA Zach Johnson 40 2.44% 1.79% 0.89% -0.9% T6
17 USA Billy Horschel 40 2.44% 1.79% 0.88% -0.91% 68
18 USA Jason Dufner 50 1.96% 1.44% 1.34% -0.1% MC 6.45
19 USA Russell Henley 50 1.96% 1.44% 1% -0.44% T13
20 USA Ryan Palmer 50 1.96% 1.44% 0.88% -0.56% MC
21 SVK Rory Sabbatini 56 1.75% 1.29% 0.33% -0.96% T45
22 RSA Branden Grace 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.69% 0.48% T13 5.39
23 USA Kevin Na 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.41% 0.21% T36 5.39
24 USA Keegan Bradley 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.33% 0.13% MC 5.39
25 USA William McGirt 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.08% -0.12% T49 5.39
26 USA Kevin Kisner 60 1.64% 1.2% 1% -0.2% T4 (tied w/2) 5.39 +35
27 AUS Marc Leishman 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.99% -0.22% T20 5.39
28 USA Harris English 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.88% -0.32% MC
29 USA Webb Simpson 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.74% -0.46% T13
30 USA Tony Finau 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.73% -0.47% T20
31 USA Jamie Lovemark 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.6% -0.61% T4
32 USA Harold Varner III 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.44% -0.77% MC
33 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.97% 0.06% MC 4.06
34 ARG Fabian Gomez 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.82% -0.08% 72 4.06
35 USA Luke List 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.68% -0.23% T13 4.06
36 AUS Cameron Smith 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.67% -0.23% T27 4.06
37 USA Hudson Swafford 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.5% -0.41% T13
38 USA Shawn Stefani 83 1.19% 0.87% 0.41% -0.47% T36
39 USA Billy Hurley III 86 1.15% 0.84% 0.81% -0.03% T20 3.78
40 USA Sean O'Hair 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.36% 0.63% T11 3.26
41 USA Cody Gribble 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.81% 0.09% MC 3.26
42 USA Patrick Rodgers 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.78% 0.06% MC 3.26
43 IND Anirban Lahiri 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.57% -0.16% MC 3.26
44 COL Camilo Villegas 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.56% -0.17% MC 3.26
45 USA Jerry Kelly 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.53% -0.19% MC 3.26
46 SWE David Lingmerth 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.48% -0.24% T49 3.26
47 USA Bryson DeChambeau 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.76% 0.17% T49 2.61
48 USA Mackenzie Hughes 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.68% 0.1% T27 2.61
49 USA Smylie Kaufman 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.55% -0.04% MC 2.61
50 USA Michael Thompson 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% T20
51 USA Jon Curran 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.27% -0.19% T69
52 USA Stewart Cink 190 0.52% 0.38% 0.64% 0.26% T36
53 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 0.5% 0.37% 1.17% 0.81% T49
54 USA Jim Herman 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.99% 0.62% 10
55 USA Brian Harman 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.83% 0.47% T20
56 USA Brian Stuard 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.22% T45
57 USA Ollie Schniederjans 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% T27
58 IRL Seamus Power 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.26% -0.1% T49
59 SWE Henrik Norlander 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.54% 0.2% T20
60 USA Chez Reavie 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.82% 0.48% T8
61 USA Daniel Summerhays 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% T36
62 USA Ben Martin 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.53% 0.21% T36
63 USA James Hahn 260 0.38% 0.28% 1.02% 0.74% T36
64 FIJ Vijay Singh 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.54% 0.28% T57
65 USA Boo Weekley 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.23% -0.03% MC
66 USA Richy Werenski 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.19% -0.07% T49
67 USA Will Mackenzie 290 0.34% 0.25% 0.32% 0.06% MC
68 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.72% 0.47% T20
69 JPN Hideto Tanihara 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.7% 0.46% T27
70 USA John Huh 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.52% 0.27% T27
71 USA Ricky Barnes 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.13% MC
72 USA Jason Bohn 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.37% 0.13% 62
73 AUS Rod Pampling 400 0.25% 0.18% 1.16% 0.97% T64
74 KOR Meenwhee Kim 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.53% 0.35% 79
75 USA Robert Streb 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% T49
76 CAN David Hearn 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% MC
77 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.74% 0.59% T57
78 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.41% MC
79 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
80 USA Andres Gonzales 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T36
81 USA Brandon Hagy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T80
82 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T36
83 AUS Greg Chalmers 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.54% 0.42% MC
84 USA Kyle Reifers 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% MC
85 USA Colt Knost 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% MC
86 CAN Nick Taylor 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% MC
87 USA Ben Crane 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% MC
88 USA Scott Brown 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.29% T64
89 USA Zac Blair 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% T57
90 PHI Miguel Tabuena 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T64
91 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T27
92 USA Wesley Bryan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.17% MC
93 USA Ryan Brehm 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T45
94 SWE Carl Pettersson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% 82
95 USA Johnson Wagner 1000 0.1% 0.07% 1.09% 1.02% MC
96 USA Kyle Stanley 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.89% 0.81% T36
97 USA Chad Campbell 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.77% 0.7% T74
98 JPN Daisuke Kataoka 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.76% 0.69% MC
99 AUS John Senden 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.62% 0.55% MC
100 USA Derek Fathauer 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.54% 0.47% MC
101 USA Troy Merritt 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.54% 0.47% MC
102 KOR Hyungsung Kim 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.54% 0.47% T74
103 USA Spencer Levin 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.51% 0.43% MC
104 USA Kelly Kraft 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.5% 0.42% T27
105 KOR Seungyul Noh 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.38% MC
106 JPN Hiroshi Iwata 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.37% MC
107 USA Steve Marino 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.37% MC
108 USA Brian Gay 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% T13
109 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.43% 0.36% MC
110 USA J.J Spaun 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.41% 0.34% MC
111 USA Trey Mullinax 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.33% T57
112 USA John Peterson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.32% MC
113 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.31% MC
114 USA Bryce Molder 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.37% 0.3% T49
115 USA Mark Hubbard 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% MC
116 USA Ryan Blaum 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.27% T74
117 USA Tag Ridings 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.32% 0.25% T74
118 USA Ken Duke 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.24% 73
119 USA Kevin Tway 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.23% MC
120 AUS Cameron Percy 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.22% T80
121 USA Bud Cauley 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.21% MC
122 USA Chad Collins 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.2% MC
123 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
124 NZL Steven Alker 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
125 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
126 USA Bob Estes 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
127 USA Matt Every 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
128 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.69% 0% MC
129 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.59% 0% MC
130 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.57% 0% 63
131 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
132 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
133 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.38% 0% T64
134 KOR Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T27
135 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
136 USA John Chin 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
137 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
138 USA John Oda 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...