U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP at 5/1. That is an implied 16.7% before the margin comes out, and 11.3% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Rory McIlroy next in at 7.5/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 34.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 66.0% spread across the other 146 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 116 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 31.7%, or 9.6% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 19.3% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -12.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
5/1 | 16.7% | 11.3% | 14th |
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
|
7.5/1 | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7th |
| 3 |
Cameron Young
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.2% | 26th |
| 4 |
Jon Rahm
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2nd |
| 5 |
Xander Schauffele
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7th |
| 6 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4th |
| 7 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.6% | 126th |
| 8 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 2.9% | 91st |
| 9 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 14th |
| 10 |
Justin Rose
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 10th |
| 11 |
Brooks Koepka
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 55th |
| 12 |
Viktor Hovland
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 102nd |
| 13 |
Collin Morikawa
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 55th |
| 14 |
Justin Thomas
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 4th |
| 15 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 35th |
| 16 |
Rickie Fowler
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 60th |
| 17 |
Russell Henley
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 90th |
| 18 |
Tyrrell Hatton
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 107th |
| 19 |
Siwoo Kim
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 35th |
| 20 |
Nicolai Hojgaard
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 44th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026 finished
Aaron Rai won the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP, having started the week at 175/1 - an implied 0.6% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 14th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aaron Rai
|
175/1 | 0.6% |
| 2 |
Jon Rahm
|
14/1 | 6.7% |
| 2 |
Alex Smalley
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 4 |
Justin Thomas
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 4 |
Matthias Schmid
|
500/1 | 0.2% |
| 4 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 7 |
Rory McIlroy
|
7.5/1 | 11.8% |
| 7 |
Cameron Smith
|
300/1 | 0.3% |
| 7 |
Xander Schauffele
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 10 |
Justin Rose
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 10 |
Patrick Reed
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 10 |
Kurt Kitayama
|
100/1 | 1.0% |
| 10 |
Chris Gotterup
|
- | - |
Our model's numbers for the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 8 @ 1/5 | 55.4% | 19.3% |
| 2 | Betfred | 8 @ 1/5 | 56.8% | 20.2% |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 89.2% | 26.4% |
| 4 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 89.2% | 26.4% |
| 5 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 59.5% | 27.5% |
| 6 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/4 | 60.7% | 28.5% |
| 7 | Skybet | 10 @ 1/5 | 92.5% | 28.7% |
| 8 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 47% | 30% |
| 9 | Spreadex | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.9% | 30.2% |
| 10 | Sporting Index | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.9% | 30.2% |
| 11 | BetMGM UK | 7 @ 1/5 | 57.5% | 30.5% |
| 12 | Virgin Bet | 7 @ 1/5 | 57.5% | 30.5% |
| 13 | PricedUp | 6 @ 1/5 | 48% | 33.4% |
| 14 | Star Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.1% | 34.3% |
| 15 | 10Bet | 7 @ 1/5 | 64.3% | 36.2% |
| 16 | QuinnBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 66.3% | 37.9% |
| 17 | AK Bets | 5 @ 1/5 | 39.5% | 37.9% |
| 18 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| 19 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.6% | 42.2% |
| 20 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 82.1% | 51% |
| 21 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 77.2% | 56.8% |
| 22 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 63.6% | 63.6% |
U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026?
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 5/1, which is an implied chance of 16.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 11.3% after. Rory McIlroy was next in the market at 7.5/1.
Who won the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026?
Aaron Rai won the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, starting the week at 175/1.
When was the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2026 played?
The U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP started on Thursday 14 May 2026 and finished on Sunday 17 May 2026. It is a Majors event.
How big was the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP field?
161 players were in the field, 151 of them priced by the bookmakers. 116 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 31.7%, against 19.3% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its U.S. PGA CHAMPIONSHIP picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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