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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the RBC Heritage at 3.33/1. That is an implied 23.1% before the margin comes out, and 15.7% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a clear favourite, with Xander Schauffele next in at 12/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 33.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 67.0% spread across the other 77 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 39 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 38.0%, or 18.6% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is BetVictor at 33.6% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -4.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
3.33/1 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2nd |
| 2 |
Xander Schauffele
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.2% | 12th |
| 3 |
Cameron Young
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.5% | 25th |
| 4 |
Russell Henley
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.0% | 25th |
| 5 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1st |
| 6 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.2% | 52nd |
| 7 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.0% | 8th |
| 8 |
Collin Morikawa
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4th |
| 9 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4th |
| 10 |
Jordan Spieth
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 33rd |
| 11 |
Jake Knappe
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.2% | 74th |
| 12 |
Maverick McNealy
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.2% | 16th |
| 13 |
Sam Burns
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 16th |
| 14 |
Viktor Hovland
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 42nd |
| 15 |
Siwoo Kim
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3rd |
| 16 |
Robert MacIntyre
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 42nd |
| 17 |
Shane Lowry
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 42nd |
| 18 |
Justin Thomas
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 77th |
| 19 |
Benjamin Griffin
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 33rd |
| 20 |
Jason Day
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 42nd |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
Matthew Fitzpatrick won the RBC Heritage, having started the week at 18/1 - an implied 5.3% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 2nd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
18/1 | 5.3% |
| 2 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
3.33/1 | 23.1% |
| 3 |
Siwoo Kim
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
| 4 |
Harris English
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 4 |
Collin Morikawa
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 4 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 7 |
Bud Cauley
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 8 |
Rickie Fowler
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 8 |
Gary Woodland
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 8 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 8 |
Kurt Kitayama
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.2% | 33.6% |
| 2 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.7% | 34% |
| 3 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.5% | 34.2% |
| 4 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.5% | 34.2% |
| 5 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.9% | 34.2% |
| 6 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 77.4% | 34.5% |
| 7 | Coral | 8 @ 1/5 | 77.4% | 34.5% |
| 8 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.8% | 34.9% |
| 9 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 105.8% | 36% |
| 10 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.7% | 36.1% |
| 11 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.9% | 36.8% |
| 12 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.1% | 37.4% |
| 13 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.1% | 37.4% |
| 14 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 90% | 44% |
| 15 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 90% | 44% |
| 16 | QuinnBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 76% | 44.2% |
| 17 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 61.9% | 44.4% |
| 18 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 64.7% | 44.5% |
| 19 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 64.7% | 44.5% |
| 20 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.7% | 48.6% |
| 21 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 57.1% | 57.1% |
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 3.33/1, which is an implied chance of 23.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 15.7% after. Xander Schauffele was next in the market at 12/1.
Matthew Fitzpatrick won the RBC Heritage 2026, starting the week at 18/1.
The RBC Heritage started on Thursday 16 April 2026 and finished on Sunday 19 April 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
82 players were in the field, 82 of them priced by the bookmakers. 39 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 38.0%, against 33.6% at BetVictor, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
GolfForecast publishes its RBC Heritage picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. Your first 30 days are free.
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