Phoenix Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Phoenix Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
£39.99/month after 30 days. Cancel any time.
Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Phoenix Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the Phoenix Open at 2/1. That is an implied 33.3% before the margin comes out, and 25.7% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a dominant favourite, with Siwoo Kim next in at 25/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 35.7% of the win chance between them, which leaves 64.3% spread across the other 107 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 76 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 15.8%, or 2.9% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 15.3% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -0.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Phoenix Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
2/1 | 33.3% | 25.7% | 3rd |
| 2 |
Siwoo Kim
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5th |
| 3 |
Harris English
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 28th |
| 4 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 9th |
| 5 |
J.J Spaun
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | - |
| 6 |
Sam Burns
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 112th |
| 7 |
Maverick McNealy
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 15th |
| 8 |
Benjamin Griffin
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 61st |
| 9 |
Viktor Hovland
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 11th |
| 10 |
Rickie Fowler
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 20th |
| 11 |
Sahith Theegala
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 23rd |
| 12 |
Jake Knappe
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 8th |
| 13 |
Rasmus Hojgaard
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 27th |
| 14 |
Collin Morikawa
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 59th |
| 15 |
Jordan Spieth
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 101st |
| 16 |
Daniel Berger
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 16th |
| 17 |
JT Poston
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 39th |
| 18 |
Minwoo Lee
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 34th |
| 19 |
Brooks Koepka
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 87th |
| 20 |
Keith Mitchell
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 42nd |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Phoenix Open 2026 finished
Chris Gotterup won the Phoenix Open. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 3rd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chris Gotterup
|
- | - |
| 2 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
- | - |
| 3 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
2/1 | 33.3% |
| 4 |
Akshay Bhatia
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 5 |
Siwoo Kim
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 6 |
Michael Thorbjornsen
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 7 |
Nicolai Hojgaard
|
75/1 | 1.3% |
| 8 |
Jake Knappe
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 9 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 10 |
Pierceson Coody
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
Our model's numbers for the Phoenix Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 30% | 15.3% |
| 2 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 30.9% | 15.9% |
| 3 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 30.9% | 15.9% |
| 4 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 45% | 16.4% |
| 5 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/4 | 45% | 16.4% |
| 6 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.8% | 17.8% |
| 7 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 33.2% | 18.1% |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 75.8% | 18.3% |
| 9 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 75.8% | 18.3% |
| 10 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.6% | 19.6% |
| 11 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.6% | 19.6% |
| 12 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 37.3% | 21.7% |
| 13 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 36.4% | 23% |
| 14 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 42% | 25.9% |
| 15 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 42% | 25.9% |
| 16 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 45% | 30.7% |
| 17 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.2% | 31.9% |
| 18 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 34% | 34% |
| 19 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.7% | 36.7% |
| 20 | BetGoodwin | 6 @ 1/4 | 71.7% | 37.9% |
| 21 | BetTom | 6 @ 1/4 | 71.7% | 37.9% |
| 22 | PricedUp | 1 @ 1/1 | 49% | 49% |
| 23 | BresBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 49% | 49% |
Phoenix Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Phoenix Open 2026?
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 2/1, which is an implied chance of 33.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 25.7% after. Siwoo Kim was next in the market at 25/1.
Who won the Phoenix Open 2026?
Chris Gotterup won the Phoenix Open 2026.
When was the Phoenix Open 2026 played?
The Phoenix Open started on Thursday 5 February 2026 and finished on Sunday 8 February 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Phoenix Open field?
128 players were in the field, 112 of them priced by the bookmakers. 76 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Phoenix Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 15.8%, against 15.3% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Phoenix Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Phoenix Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
Get the picks, not just the numbers
Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. Your first 30 days are free.
£39.99/month after 30 days. Cancel any time.
More golf betting analysis
- All golf betting tips
- Mexico Open betting tips
- PGA Tour and DP World Tour schedule
- GolfForecast track record
- Each-way golf betting explained
- Which bookie is best for golf?
- Should you bet each-way on golf?
- How often do favourites win golf events?
- Golfer profiles and form
18+. Please gamble responsibly. GolfForecast publishes statistical analysis, not guarantees - past results do not guarantee future returns.