BMW Championship 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the BMW Championship
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
BMW Championship 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the BMW Championship at 3/1. That is an implied 25.0% before the margin comes out, and 23.4% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a dominant favourite, with Rory McIlroy next in at 18.6/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 40.9% of the win chance between them, which leaves 59.1% spread across the other 45 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 21 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 3.8%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Matchbook at 6.7% (1 @ 1/1), so taking the best price player by player is worth 2.8 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
BMW Championship 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
3/1 | 25.0% | 23.4% | 12th |
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
|
18.6/1 | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3rd |
| 3 |
Xander Schauffele
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 4.4% | 26th |
| 4 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 4.4% | 16th |
| 5 |
Sam Burns
|
23/1 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 28th |
| 6 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.6% | 47th |
| 7 |
Cameron Young
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.6% | 37th |
| 8 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 28th |
| 9 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
32/1 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 28th |
| 10 |
Chris Gotterup
|
32/1 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4th |
| 11 |
Siwoo Kim
|
34/1 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 33rd |
| 12 |
Viktor Hovland
|
36/1 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 33rd |
| 13 |
Wyndham Clark
|
38/1 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1st |
| 14 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
42/1 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2nd |
| 15 |
Jake Knappe
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 41st |
| 16 |
Justin Thomas
|
48/1 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 16th |
| 17 |
Collin Morikawa
|
48/1 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4th |
| 18 |
Maverick McNealy
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 7th |
| 19 |
Russell Henley
|
63/1 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 12th |
| 20 |
Kurt Kitayama
|
63/1 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 26th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the BMW Championship 2026 finished
Wyndham Clark won the BMW Championship, having started the week at 38/1 - an implied 2.6% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 12th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wyndham Clark
|
38/1 | 2.6% |
| 2 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
42/1 | 2.3% |
| 3 |
Rory McIlroy
|
18.6/1 | 5.1% |
| 4 |
Gary Woodland
|
136/1 | 0.7% |
| 4 |
Collin Morikawa
|
48/1 | 2.0% |
| 4 |
Chris Gotterup
|
32/1 | 3.0% |
| 7 |
Robert MacIntyre
|
117/1 | 0.8% |
| 7 |
Maverick McNealy
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 9 |
Jacob Bridgeman
|
126/1 | 0.8% |
| 10 |
Sungjae Im
|
82/1 | 1.2% |
| 10 |
Michael Brennan
|
82/1 | 1.2% |
Our model's numbers for the BMW Championship
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matchbook | 1 @ 1/1 | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| 2 | Betfair | 1 @ 1/1 | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| 3 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/5 | 21% | 16.7% |
| 4 | AK Bets | 4 @ 1/5 | 11.9% | 19.4% |
| 5 | Virgin Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 43% | 24.3% |
| 6 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 43.8% | 25.2% |
| 7 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.4% | 25.6% |
| 8 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.5% | 25.6% |
| 9 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.5% | 25.6% |
| 10 | Star Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.2% | 30.6% |
| 11 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.8% | 32% |
| 12 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52% | 32.1% |
| 13 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.2% | 32.2% |
| 14 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.4% | 32.4% |
| 15 | QuinnBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.4% | 32.4% |
| 16 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 55% | 34.7% |
| 17 | Ladbrokes | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.4% | 35.1% |
| 18 | Coral | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.4% | 35.1% |
| 19 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.6% | 35.4% |
| 20 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.3% | 35.8% |
| 21 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.9% | 36.3% |
| 22 | BetMGM UK | 1 @ 1/1 | 43.5% | 43.5% |
| 23 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 44.9% | 44.9% |
BMW Championship 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the BMW Championship 2026?
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 3/1, which is an implied chance of 25.0% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 23.4% after. Rory McIlroy was next in the market at 18.6/1.
Who won the BMW Championship 2026?
Wyndham Clark won the BMW Championship 2026, starting the week at 38/1.
When was the BMW Championship 2026 played?
The BMW Championship started on Thursday 20 August 2026 and finished on Sunday 23 August 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the BMW Championship field?
51 players were in the field, 50 of them priced by the bookmakers. 21 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the BMW Championship?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 3.8%, against 6.7% at Matchbook, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get BMW Championship betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its BMW Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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