3M Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the 3M Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
3M Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the 3M Open at 2.75/1. That is an implied 26.7% before the margin comes out, and 18.6% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a clear favourite, with Kurt Kitayama next in at 22/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 29.1% of the win chance between them, which leaves 70.9% spread across the other 136 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 100 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 38.9%, or 17.7% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Ladbrokes at 28.3% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -10.6 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
3M Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
2.75/1 | 26.7% | 18.6% | 2nd |
| 2 |
Kurt Kitayama
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.0% | 24th |
| 3 |
Maverick McNealy
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 34th |
| 4 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3rd |
| 5 |
Keith Mitchell
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 44th |
| 6 |
Jackson Koivun(Am)
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1st |
| 7 |
Jake Knappe
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 13th |
| 8 |
Joohyung Kim
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.1% | - |
| 9 |
Pierceson Coody
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 142nd |
| 10 |
Jordan L Smith
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 39th |
| 11 |
Doug Ghim
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 84th |
| 12 |
Jackson Suber
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 110th |
| 13 |
Gary Woodland
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 10th |
| 14 |
Max Homa
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 130th |
| 15 |
Corey Conners
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 39th |
| 16 |
Sungjae Im
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 86th |
| 17 |
Samuel Stevens
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 60th |
| 18 |
Benjamin James
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 90th |
| 19 |
Tony Finau
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 108th |
| 20 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 20th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the 3M Open 2026 finished
Jackson Koivun(Am) won the 3M Open, having started the week at 30/1 - an implied 3.2% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 2nd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jackson Koivun(Am)
|
30/1 | 3.2% |
| 2 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
2.75/1 | 26.7% |
| 3 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 3 |
Brian Harman
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 3 |
Denny McCarthy
|
90/1 | 1.1% |
| 3 |
Chandler Phillips
|
250/1 | 0.4% |
| 7 |
Emiliano Grillo
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 7 |
Davis Thompson
|
85/1 | 1.2% |
| 9 |
Ben Kohles
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 10 |
Gary Woodland
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 10 |
Michael Kim
|
75/1 | 1.3% |
| 10 |
Seamus Power
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
Our model's numbers for the 3M Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 66.9% | 28.3% |
| 2 | Coral | 8 @ 1/5 | 66.9% | 28.3% |
| 3 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 65% | 32.1% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.9% | 33.7% |
| 5 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.8% | 35.4% |
| 6 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.8% | 35.4% |
| 7 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.7% | 36.2% |
| 8 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.2% | 38.4% |
| 9 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.7% | 39.8% |
| 10 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.6% | 42.2% |
| 11 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.6% | 42.2% |
| 12 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.1% | 44.5% |
| 13 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.5% | 44.7% |
| 14 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 64.9% | 48.7% |
| 15 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 64.9% | 48.7% |
| 16 | Star Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 67.9% | 48.7% |
| 17 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 18 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 68.8% | 52.1% |
| 19 | BetGoodwin | 5 @ 1/4 | 79.5% | 59% |
| 20 | BetTom | 5 @ 1/4 | 79.5% | 59% |
| 21 | BetAhoy | 5 @ 1/4 | 79.5% | 59% |
| 22 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 79.9% | 59.4% |
| 23 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 79.9% | 59.4% |
3M Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the 3M Open 2026?
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 2.75/1, which is an implied chance of 26.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 18.6% after. Kurt Kitayama was next in the market at 22/1.
Who won the 3M Open 2026?
Jackson Koivun(Am) won the 3M Open 2026, starting the week at 30/1.
When was the 3M Open 2026 played?
The 3M Open started on Thursday 23 July 2026 and finished on Sunday 26 July 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the 3M Open field?
149 players were in the field, 141 of them priced by the bookmakers. 100 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the 3M Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 38.9%, against 28.3% at Ladbrokes, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get 3M Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its 3M Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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