Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 59.6

Total Profit: -40.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 10.07% 4.74% -5.33% 3
2 NOR Viktor Hovland 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 8.24% 3.41% -4.82% 1
3 USA Collin Morikawa 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.97% 2.95% -4.02% T18
4 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.77% 1.78% -2.99% T4
5 ESP Sergio Garcia 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.94% 1.35% -2.59% T12
6 IRL Shane Lowry 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.12% 1.34% -1.79% T24
7 AUS Adam Scott 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.92% 1.49% -1.43% T9
8 BEL Thomas Pieters 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.92% 1.4% -1.53% T12
9 ENG Paul Casey 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.92% 0.8% -2.12% T12
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.66% 1.52% -1.14% T12 11.02
11 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.66% 1.23% -1.43% T24
12 ENG Ian Poulter 35 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.52% 1.31% -1.2% MC 10.41
13 RSA Dean Burmester 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.97% 1.28% -0.69% T55 8.15
14 RSA Erik van Rooyen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.78% 1.99% 0.22% T4 (tied w/5) 7.35 +19.8
15 SCO Robert MacIntyre 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.78% 0.92% -0.85% MC 7.35
16 AUS Lucas Herbert 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.49% 1.14% -0.34% T18 6.14
17 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 1.24% -0.12% T4 (tied w/5) 5.6 +39.8
18 BEL Thomas Detry 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 0.87% -0.48% MC 5.6
19 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 0.72% -0.64% T47 5.6
20 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.28% 1.38% 0.1% MC 5.28
21 ESP Adria Arnaus 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.28% 1.04% -0.24% MC 5.28
22 ENG Laurie Canter 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.19% 1.03% -0.16% T73 4.93
23 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.19% 1.01% -0.18% T47 4.93
24 JPN Takumi Kanaya 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.95% 0.95% -0.01% MC 1.98
25 ENG Lee Westwood 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.95% 0.83% -0.12% T32 1.98
26 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.9% 0.79% -0.11% 75 3.71
27 FRA Romain Langasque 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.82% 0.4% -0.42% T18 3.38
28 AUT Matthias Schwab 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.68% 1.08% 0.4% MC 1.41
29 SWE Alexander Bjork 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.63% 1.4% 0.77% T60
30 FRA Victor Perez 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.63% 0.59% -0.04% T60
31 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% MC
32 DEN Joachim B Hansen 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.6% 1.11% 0.51% T66
33 ENG Danny Willett 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.6% 0.82% 0.23% MC
34 ENG Jordan L Smith 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.56% 0.91% 0.35% T9
35 CHN Li Haotong 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.56% 0.64% 0.09% T32
36 FRA Victor Dubuisson 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.56% 0.45% -0.11% MC
37 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.56% 0.34% -0.22% T35
38 POL Adrian Meronk 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.53% 0.89% 0.36% T4
39 RSA Charl Schwartzel 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.53% 0.68% 0.15% T76
40 ENG Matt Wallace 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.53% 0.44% -0.09% T35
41 USA Sean Crocker 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.5% 1% 0.5% MC
42 FRA Antoine Rozner 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% T47
43 RSA Garrick Higgo 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.5% 0.57% 0.07% T47
44 RSA Justin Harding 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.48% 0.85% 0.38% T4
45 DEN Jeff Winther 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.48% 0.71% 0.24% MC
46 ENG Andy Sullivan 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.55% 0.1% T47
47 USA Johannes Veerman 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.43% 1.4% 0.97% T35
48 USA John Catlin 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.43% 1.01% 0.57% T60
49 FIN Kalle Samooja 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.43% 0.29% -0.14% T12
50 NZL Ryan Fox 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.57% 0.16% T26
51 CHN Wu Ashun 227 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.4% 0.38% -0.01% T30
52 ENG Richard Bland 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.38% 1.33% 0.95% 2
53 SWE Henrik Stenson 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.38% 1.3% 0.92% T60
54 SCO Grant Forrest 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.38% 1.29% 0.91% T43
55 SCO Scott Jamieson 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.38% 0.7% 0.31% T35
56 ITA Francesco Laporta 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 1.18% 0.82% MC
57 NED Wil Besseling 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.34% 0.52% 0.18% MC
58 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.31% 0.8% 0.49% MC
59 FIN Mikko Korhonen 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.31% 0.63% 0.33% MC
60 ENG Daniel Gavins 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% T55
61 AUS Jason Scrivener 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% MC
62 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 1.38% 1.1% MC
63 FRA Alexander Levy 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.95% 0.68% MC
64 ENG Marcus Armitage 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.78% 0.51% T12
65 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% T35
66 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% T66
67 ITA Guido Migliozzi 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% MC
68 WAL Jamie Donaldson 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.26% 1.22% 0.95% MC
69 RSA Brandon Stone 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% T26
70 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.26% 0.82% 0.57% MC
71 SCO Stephen Gallacher 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% MC
72 ENG Matthew Jordan 351 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.26% 0.91% 0.66% T70
73 IRL Padraig Harrington 351 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.26% 0.75% 0.49% T9
74 ITA Edoardo Molinari 379 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.24% 0.77% 0.53% T26
75 SWE Joakim Lagergren 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.23% 0.85% 0.63% T18
76 ENG James Morrison 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.23% 0.73% 0.5% MC
77 ESP Adrian Otaegui 408 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.51% 0.29% T47
78 RSA George Coetzee 446 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% T47
79 AUS Wade Ormsby 455 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.72% 0.53% MC
80 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 455 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.58% 0.38% T18
81 ESP Jorge Campillo 474 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 1.04% 0.85% T55
82 ESP Nacho Elvira 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% T35
83 ENG Ross Fisher 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% T47
84 ENG Robert Rock 493 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.51% 0.33% MC
85 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.68% 0.5% MC
86 AUS Maverick Antcliff 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.34% 0.15% T66
87 RSA Darren Fichardt 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.22% 0.04% MC
88 SCO Connor Syme 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.17% -0.01% MC
89 NED Joost Luiten 503 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% MC
90 FIN Sami Valimaki 522 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% MC
91 THA Jazz Janewattananond 541 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.17% 0.8% 0.63% T60
92 FRA Julien Guerrier 550 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.47% 0.31% T26
93 ENG David Horsey 579 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.16% 0.96% 0.8% MC
94 SCO Richie Ramsay 579 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.16% 0.45% 0.3% T32
95 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 579 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
96 RSA Justin Walters 588 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% T35
97 ESP Alejandro Canizares 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.57% 0.42% MC
98 ENG Jack Singh Brar 655 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
99 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 683 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.68% 0.54% T73
100 SWE Marcus Kinhult 683 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.26% 0.12% MC
101 ITA Nino Bertasio 712 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% T30
102 ENG Dale Whitnell 712 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.61% 0.48% MC
103 GER Maximilian Kieffer 712 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.51% 0.38% MC
104 SCO David Law 721 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.69% 0.57% T55
105 ENG Matthew Southgate 721 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% MC
106 ITA Andrea Pavan 731 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.16% 0.03% T18
107 SCO David Drysdale 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% T76
108 ENG Steven Brown 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% MC
109 SWE Rikard Karlberg 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
110 ENG Paul Waring 759 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
111 RSA Thriston Lawrence 769 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 1.67% 1.55% MC
112 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 883 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.43% 0.32% T70
113 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.68% 0.59% MC
114 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.53% 0.43% T43
115 ENG Chris Paisley 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.44% 0.35% MC
116 NED Darius Van Driel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
117 AUS Scott Hend 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.35% 0.26% MC
118 ENG Chris Wood 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
119 SCO Marc Warren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.25% 0.16% MC
120 RSA Richard Sterne 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
121 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.17% 0.08% T60
122 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
123 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% T43
124 USA Josh Hill 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.19% 0.13% T55
125 SCO Colin Montgomerie 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
126 THA Thongchai Jaidee 0% 0% 0% 0% T70
127 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
128 POR Ricardo Gouveia 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
129 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
131 UAE Ahmed Skaik 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 USA Sam Bennett 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.8 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 42.6% 8.6%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 24.8% 10%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.5% 12.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 56.5% 19.3%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 56.5% 19.3%
6 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 48.7% 22.6%
7 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 49% 22.9%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 23.8%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 63.8% 24.9%
10 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 64.6% 25.5%
11 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 55.8% 28.5%
12 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 69.6% 29.4%
13 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.6% 29.9%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31.2%
15 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31.2%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 31.7%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.1% 32.5%
18 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.4% 33.2%
19 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 48.4% 33.2%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 37.8%
21 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 38.7%
22 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.5% 43.3%