Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 311.2

Total Profit: +211.1

Pebble Beach Pro-Am

03/02/2022 - 06/02/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Patrick Cantlay 8 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 9.51% 3.08% -6.43% T4
2 USA Daniel Berger 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.71% 3.08% -2.63%
3 USA Will Zalatoris 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.51% 2.19% -2.32%
4 USA Jordan Spieth 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.08% 1.29% -2.79% 2
5 AUS Jason Day 27 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.8/1) 3.57% 3.06% 0.66% -2.4% T24
6 ENG Justin Rose 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.95% 1.98% -0.97% 62
7 USA Maverick McNealy 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.95% 1.51% -1.45% T33
8 IRL Seamus Power 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.76% 2.01% -0.75% T9
9 USA Cameron Tringale 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.76% 1.75% -1.01% MC
10 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 2.31% 0.22% T6 (tied w/3) 8.99 +40.5
11 USA Lanto Griffin 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.86% 1.22% -0.64% T16
12 USA Mackenzie Hughes 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.5% -0.18% T16
13 USA Kevin Kisner 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.68% 1.48% -0.2% MC
14 USA Ryan Palmer 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.68% 1.21% -0.47% MC
15 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.53% 1.37% -0.16% T14 6.58
16 USA Tom Hoge 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.4% 2.11% 0.71% 1 6.04 +223.5
17 USA Brian Harman 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.4% 0.79% -0.62% T65
18 AUS Matt Jones 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.15% -0.13% MC 5.5
19 USA Michael Thompson 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.13% -0.15% MC 5.5
20 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13/1) 1.49% 1.28% 0.99% -0.29% MC
21 AUS Minwoo Lee 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 1.4% 0.2% MC 5.19
22 USA Denny McCarthy 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.13% 1.45% 0.32% T12 4.85
23 USA Charley Hoffman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.16% 0.1% WD 4.55
24 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.06% 0.65% -0.41% T33
25 USA Keith Mitchell 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.94% 1.47% 0.53% T12 4.05
26 ENG Aaron Rai 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.94% 1.41% 0.47% T65 4.05
27 USA Matt Kuchar 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.9% 1.56% 0.66% MC 3.88
28 USA Lucas Glover 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.9% 1.11% 0.2% MC 3.88
29 RSA Dean Burmester 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 1.17% 0.32% MC 3.65
30 USA Patrick Rodgers 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.68% -0.17% MC
31 USA Sahith Theegala 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.63% -0.21% T65
32 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.5% -0.35% T65
33 USA Stewart Cink 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.77% 1.15% 0.38% MC 3.32
34 USA Pat Perez 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.77% 0.89% 0.12% T9 3.32
35 USA Chris Kirk 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.75% 0.73% -0.02% MC 3.24
36 USA Joel Dahmen 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 1.39% 0.7% T6 2.98
37 USA Chez Reavie 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.51% -0.18% MC
38 USA Brandt Snedeker 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.46% -0.23% MC
39 USA Greyson Sigg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 1.24% 0.56% T33 2.93
40 USA Taylor Moore 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.95% 0.27% T16 2.93
41 USA Alex Smalley 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.95% 0.27% MC 2.93
42 CAN Taylor Pendrith 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.88% 0.2% T49 2.93
43 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.76% 0.08% T65 2.93
44 USA Troy Merritt 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.63% -0.05% T4 (tied w/2) 2.93 +47.3
45 USA Scott Stallings 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.56% -0.12% MC 2.93
46 USA Andrew Putnam 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.97% 0.37% T6
47 CAN Nick Taylor 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.75% 0.15% T14
48 USA Cameron Champ 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.47% -0.13% MC
49 RSA Charl Schwartzel 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.38% -0.22% MC
50 USA Vincent Whaley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.64% 0.07% MC
51 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.53% -0.04% MC
52 USA Brandon Harkins 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.15% -0.42% MC
53 CAN Adam Hadwin 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.56% 1.23% 0.67% T16
54 USA Brendon Todd 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.45% 0.7% 0.25% T16
55 USA Davis Riley 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.45% 0.61% 0.16% T49
56 CAN Adam Svensson 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.46% 0.04% T49
57 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.55% 0.12% T24
58 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.46% 0.03% MC
59 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.32% -0.11% T33
60 AUT Matthias Schwab 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.82% 0.41% T49
61 USA Chad Ramey 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.42% 0.02% MC
62 USA Austin Eckroat 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% T65
63 USA Dylan Wu 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.33% -0.01% 59
64 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.32% -0.02% MC
65 USA Trey Mullinax 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.29% -0.05% T28
66 USA Hayden Buckley 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 1.15% 0.82% T49
67 USA Lee Hodges 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.87% 0.55% MC
68 USA J.J Spaun 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.81% 0.52% T16
69 USA Kyle Stanley 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% MC
70 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.81% 0.53% MC
71 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.71% 0.43% MC
72 USA Peter Malnati 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.63% 0.34% T42
73 USA James Hahn 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0%
74 USA Andrew Novak 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% -0.01% MC
75 USA Ted Potter-jr 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.19% -0.1% MC
76 USA Peter Uihlein 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.17% -0.12% MC
77 USA John Huh 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13%
78 USA Scott Piercy 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.66% 0.38% MC
79 USA Nick Hardy 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.39% 0.11% MC
80 USA Doc Redman 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.41% 0.15% T33
81 USA David Lipsky 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.68% 0.43% T24
82 USA Mark Hubbard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.47% 0.22% T33
83 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.32% 0.07% T28
84 USA Austin Smotherman 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.71% 0.47% T33
85 USA Vaughn Taylor 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.55% 0.31% T28
86 USA Ryan Armour 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.34% 0.11% T28
87 COL Camilo Villegas 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.54% 0.32% T49
88 USA Brian Stuard 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% T60
89 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% T49
90 USA Bo Hoag 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.19% -0.02% MC
91 USA Jimmy Walker 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.37% 0.16% T33
92 USA Tyler McCumber 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
93 USA Bronson Burgoon 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
94 USA Beau Hossler 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% 3
95 FRA Paul Barjon 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.87% 0.69% MC
96 USA Andrew Landry 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% MC
97 USA Ryan Moore 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% T42
98 USA Chesson Hadley 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.5% 0.33% MC
99 USA Chan Kim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.64% 0.47% T65
100 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.58% 0.41% T42
101 USA Nick Watney 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.51% 0.34% T65
102 USA Jim Knous 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% MC
103 USA Chase Seiffert 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.21% MC
104 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.19% T65
105 SWE David Lingmerth 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14%
106 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
107 USA Ben Kohles 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% 63
108 USA Justin Lower 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% MC
109 USA Brice Garnett 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
110 IRL John Murphy 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.89% 0.74% MC
111 AUS Cameron Percy 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
112 USA Bill Haas 588 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% T65
113 USA Scott Brown 617 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
114 ENG Luke Donald 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T42
115 AUS Aaron Baddeley 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
116 USA Brian Gay 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
117 USA Brandon Wu 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
118 USA Max McGreevy 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
119 USA Kurt Kitayama 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.16% 0.04% MC
120 USA Sean O'Hair 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.52% 0.4% T16
121 USA Seth Reeves 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.32% 0.2% T33
122 USA Austin Cook 731 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.9/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.32% 0.2% T42
123 USA Grayson Murray 731 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.9/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% T65
124 USA Bo Van Pelt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.27% T24
125 RSA Dawie van der Walt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.21% MC
126 USA Jonathan Byrd 807 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.2/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% T9
127 USA Richy Werenski 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.45% 0.36% MC
128 KOR Seungyul Noh 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T42
129 USA Curtis Thompson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% T49
130 USA Chris Stroud 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T49
131 ENG David Skinns 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
132 USA Jared Wolfe 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
133 USA Kelly Kraft 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T28
134 USA Joshua Creel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
135 GER Alex Cejka 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
136 AUS Brett Drewitt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
137 USA Scott Gutschewski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% WD
138 ENG Callum Tarren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
139 KOR Sangmoon Bae 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% MC
140 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
141 USA Robert Garrigus 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T16
142 USA John Merrick 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% WD
143 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.13% T42
144 CAN David Hearn 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.09% T65
145 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
146 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.07% MC
147 JPN Ryuji Imada 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06%
148 USA Mark Baldwin 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% T49
149 USA Johnson Wagner 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% T60
150 USA Ricky Barnes 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
151 USA Tom Lehman 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.15% 0.09% MC
152 USA D.A. Points 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.19% MC
153 USA Brad Marek 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.1% MC
154 AUS John Senden 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.08% MC
155 USA Peter Jacobsen 5000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.15% 0.13% MC
156 USA Kevin Stadler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 AUS Greg Chalmers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
161 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 JPN Ryuji Imada 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47% 12.1%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 28.7% 13.6%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 14.1% 14.1%
4 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 54.7% 18%
5 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56% 19.2%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59% 21.3%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59% 21.3%
8 Betway 8 @ 1/5 64.4% 25.6%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 43% 28.6%
10 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 43% 28.6%
11 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 94.4% 29%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 30.5%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 30.5%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 48.7% 33.7%
15 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 38%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.2% 45.1%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 45.3%
18 10Bet 5 @ 1/5 52% 50.2%
19 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/5 52% 50.2%