Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 30.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 19.4

Total Profit: -80.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.65% 1.55% -4.1% 3
2 NOR Viktor Hovland 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.46% 1.29% -3.17% 1
3 MEX Abraham Ancer 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.04% 2.42% -1.62% T7
4 USA Tony Finau 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.92% 2.28% -0.64% T45
5 USA Scottie Scheffler 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.73% 2.07% -0.67% 4
6 USA Brooks Koepka 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.49% 2.29% -0.2% MC 11.07
7 USA Patrick Reed 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.35% 1.88% -0.47% T56
8 USA Aaron Wise 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.35% 1.14% -1.21% T15
9 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 40 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.07% 1.43% -0.63% T64
10 USA Talor Gooch 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.07% 1.42% -0.64% T11
11 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 2.02% 1.89% -0.12% T40 4.48
12 USA Billy Horschel 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 2.02% 1.58% -0.44% T33
13 USA Will Zalatoris 45 (Bet365: 1 @ 1/1) 2.17% 1.84% 1.18% -0.66% MC
14 USA Russell Henley 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.84% 1.03% -0.81% T56
15 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% 1.27% -0.39% T5
16 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% 1.19% -0.47% T11
17 IRL Shane Lowry 51 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.92% 1.63% 1.95% 0.32% MC 3.62
18 USA Keegan Bradley 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.51% 0.99% -0.52% 70
19 USA Cameron Tringale 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.37% 1.41% 0.04% MC 3.04
20 ESP Sergio Garcia 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.37% 0.98% -0.38% T7
21 USA Rickie Fowler 70 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.41% 1.19% 0.96% -0.23% T40 2.65
22 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% 0.87% -0.32% MC 5.3
23 USA Matthew Wolff 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.12% 1.15% 0.04% T5 2.48
24 ARG Emiliano Grillo 75 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.12% 0.73% -0.38% MC
25 ENG Ian Poulter 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 2% 0.95% MC 4.65
26 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.35% 0.31% MC 4.65
27 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 1.22% 0.17% MC 4.65
28 USA Brian Harman 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 1.13% 0.09% MC 4.65
29 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.67% -0.37% T11 4.65
30 MEX Carlos Ortiz 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 0.67% -0.38% 2
31 SCO Russell Knox 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.52% -0.53% MC
32 ENG Justin Rose 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 0.99% 1.18% 0.19% T40 2.19
33 USA Patrick Rodgers 85 (Fanduel: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 0.99% 1.07% 0.08% MC 2.19
34 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 0.99% 1.05% 0.06% T15 2.19
35 IRL Seamus Power 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.94% 1.55% 0.6% T11 2.09
36 SWE Alexander Noren 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.94% 1.29% 0.35% T45 2.09
37 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.93% 0.91% -0.02% T45 4.14
38 USA Charley Hoffman 95 (Fanduel: 1 @ 1/1) 1.04% 0.88% 1.35% 0.46% MC 1.96
39 USA Pat Perez 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.84% 0% MC 3.73
40 CAN Adam Hadwin 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.82% -0.02% T56 3.73
41 USA Chez Reavie 110 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.76% 0.52% -0.25% T33 3.39
42 USA Gary Woodland 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.74% 0.84% 0.09% MC 1.65
43 USA Tom Hoge 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 1.13% 0.46% T56 2.99
44 USA Adam Schenk 125 (Pointsbet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.67% 0.96% 0.29% MC 1.5
45 USA Chris Kirk 125 (888Sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.71% 0.04% T64 2.99
46 NZL Danny Lee 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.61% -0.07% T7 (tied w/4) 2.99 +19.4
47 USA Charles Howell III 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.37% -0.3% T33 2.99
48 AUS Lucas Herbert 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.64% 1.46% 0.82% MC 1.42
49 USA Keith Mitchell 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.6% 1.08% 0.48% T56
50 RSA Garrick Higgo 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.6% 0.42% -0.19% T64
51 USA Brice Garnett 140 (Fanduel: 1 @ 1/1) 0.71% 0.6% 0.35% -0.25% MC
52 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.97% 0.41% T15
53 USA Adam Long 150 (BetMGM: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.56% 0.61% 0.05% T22
54 USA Brian Stuard 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.49% -0.07% T27
55 USA Brendan Steele 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.56% 0.79% 0.23% 69
56 NIR Graeme McDowell 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.53% 0.41% -0.11% MC
57 SWE Henrik Norlander 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.52% 0.91% 0.39% T45
58 SVK Rory Sabbatini 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.5% 1.62% 1.13% MC
59 CAN Taylor Pendrith 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% MC
60 TPE C.T. Pan 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% T45
61 USA Patton Kizzire 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.5% 0.8% 0.31% T56
62 ENG Aaron Rai 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.61% 0.13% T15
63 USA Doug Ghim 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.55% 0.07% T27
64 USA Kyle Stanley 175 (888Sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.46% -0.02% MC
65 ITA Guido Migliozzi 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.47% 1.28% 0.82% MC
66 USA Scott Stallings 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.47% 0.78% 0.31% MC
67 USA Ryan Moore 180 (DraftKings: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.47% 0.33% -0.13% MC
68 SWE Henrik Stenson 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.7% 0.28% MC
69 USA Matt Kuchar 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.38% -0.05% T22
70 GER Stephan Jaeger 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.32% -0.1% MC
71 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Pointsbet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.92% 0.5% T33
72 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.77% 0.35% T64
73 SCO Martin Laird 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.7% 0.28% T22
74 USA Luke List 200 (DraftKings: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.67% 0.25% MC
75 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.62% 0.2% MC
76 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Pointsbet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.4% -0.02% T64
77 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.39% -0.03% T27
78 USA Ryan Palmer 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.56% 0.16% T27
79 RSA Dylan Frittelli 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.57% 0.19% MC
80 USA Greyson Sigg 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.62% 0.24% T33
81 USA James Hahn 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.27% -0.11% T27
82 CAN Adam Svensson 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.18% -0.19% T45
83 AUS Matt Jones 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.72% 0.37% MC
84 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.6% 0.26% MC
85 USA Denny McCarthy 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.39% 0.06% T15
86 COL Camilo Villegas 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% MC
87 ENG Danny Willett 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.75% 0.43% T27
88 USA Brandt Snedeker 275 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.47% 0.16% T56
89 USA Sam Ryder 275 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% MC
90 ITA Francesco Molinari 275 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% MC
91 USA Tyler Duncan 275 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% T45
92 USA Scott Piercy 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.59% 0.29% T40
93 USA Nate Lashley 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% MC
94 USA Davis Riley 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
95 USA Hank Lebioda 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.63% 0.35% MC
96 CAN Nick Taylor 300 (Pointsbet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% T33
97 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.44% 0.16% T7
98 USA John Huh 300 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.2% -0.08% T15
99 USA Michael Thompson 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.2% -0.09% T15
100 USA Zach Johnson 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.25% -0.03% MC
101 USA Doc Redman 310 (Fanduel: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.44% 0.16% T45
102 CAN Roger Sloan 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.61% 0.34% MC
103 USA Peter Malnati 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
104 BEL Thomas Detry 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.26% 1.08% 0.81% T22
105 USA Brian Gay 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.29% 0.03% MC
106 USA Trey Mullinax 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.68% 0.44% MC
107 AUT Sepp Straka 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.65% 0.41% T33
108 IND Anirban Lahiri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% T40
109 USA Jimmy Walker 351 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.58% 0.34% MC
110 USA Richy Werenski 351 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
111 RSA Charl Schwartzel 370 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.9% 0.67% T45
112 USA Joseph Bramlett 370 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% MC
113 USA JT Poston 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
114 USA Nick Watney 493 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.26% MC
115 USA Bill Haas 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% T45
116 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Play Sugar House: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T56
117 ENG Luke Donald 598 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% MC
118 USA Curtis Thompson 598 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
119 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 598 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.14% 0% MC
120 USA Kelly Kraft 800 (DraftKings: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.13% 0.03% WD
121 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Bet365: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% MC
122 USA Samuel Del Val 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
123 USA Willie Mack III 1500 (Bet365: 1 @ 1/1) 0.07% 0.06% 0.17% 0.11% MC
124 MEX Roberto Diaz 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.12% 0.06% T45
125 MEX Juan Carlos Benitez 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.12% 0.06% MC
126 USA Martin Trainer 2500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.16% 0.12% MC
127 USA David Lipsky 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 USA Braden Thornberry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 USA Andrew Novak 0% 0% 0% 0% T22
131 COL Camilo Aguado 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 MEX Juan Diego Fernandez 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 6 @ 1/4 29.4% 2.6%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 41.9% 7.7%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 49.7% 13.7%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 49.7% 13.7%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 26.9%
6 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47% 31.7%