Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 75.8

Total Profit: -24.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 7 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 8.92% 5.48% -3.44% T22
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 11 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.95% 1.84% -4.11% T17
3 USA Collin Morikawa 12 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.49% 4.11% -1.38% T68
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.2% 2.17% -2.03% T17
5 ENG Matt Wallace 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.4% 2.04% -1.35% T51
6 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.4% 1.93% -1.47% T22
7 ENG Paul Casey 22 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.1% 2.56% -0.55% 1
8 ESP Sergio Garcia 22 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.1% 1.02% -2.08% T6
9 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.46% 1.69% -0.77% 3
10 ENG Andy Sullivan 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.3% 1.76% -0.54% T48
11 IRL Shane Lowry 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.1% 1.17% -0.93% T27
12 FRA Victor Perez 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 1.45% -0.53% MC
13 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 1.63% -0.11% T9 7.75
14 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 1.32% -0.42% T6 (tied w/3) 7.75 +34.9
15 BEL Thomas Pieters 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 1.12% -0.62% T27
16 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 1.1% -0.64% T44
17 ENG Justin Rose 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 0.64% -1.1% T35
18 AUS Lucas Herbert 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% 1.01% -0.54% T22
19 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% 0.98% -0.57% T35
20 ENG Lee Westwood 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.4% 1.64% 0.24% T17 6.23
21 ENG Danny Willett 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% 0.59% -0.68% T44
22 SWE Henrik Stenson 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.35% -0.82% MC
23 ENG Ian Poulter 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.07% 1.96% 0.89% MC 4.74
24 AUS Jason Scrivener 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.87% 0.8% T41 4.74
25 AUT Matthias Schwab 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.07% 0.67% -0.4% T9 4.74
26 FRA Antoine Rozner 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 1.61% 0.6% T9 4.48
27 FRA Romain Langasque 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 1.13% 0.13% MC 4.48
28 USA David Lipsky 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.94% 1.6% 0.66% T35 4.18
29 FIN Sami Valimaki 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 2.1% 1.22% T51 3.93
30 RSA George Coetzee 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.31% 0.43% T60 3.93
31 RSA Dean Burmester 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.57% -0.31% T35 3.93
32 BEL Thomas Detry 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.53% -0.35% T9 3.93
33 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.48% 0.77% MC 3.15
34 ENG Laurie Canter 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.71% 1.42% 0.71% T4 (tied w/2) 3.15 +41
35 RSA Wilco Nienaber 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.18% 0.47% MC 3.15
36 NED Joost Luiten 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.71% 0.59% -0.11% T44 3.15
37 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.38% 0.82% MC 2.53
38 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.16% 0.59% MC 2.53
39 ENG Andrew Johnston 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.86% 0.29% MC 2.53
40 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.81% 0.24% T27 2.53
41 ENG Jordan L Smith 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.63% 0.06% T60 2.53
42 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.48% -0.08% T60 2.53
43 JPN Takumi Kanaya 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.47% -0.1% T9 2.53
44 USA Kurt Kitayama 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.41% -0.16% T20 2.53
45 FIN Mikko Korhonen 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.4% -0.17% T35 2.53
46 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 1.26% 0.78% T51
47 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.14% 0.67% 2
48 DEN Joachim B Hansen 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.95% 0.48% MC
49 ENG Chris Paisley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.75% 0.27% MC
50 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.68% 0.2% T51
51 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.66% 0.19% T9
52 RSA Justin Harding 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.13% T27
53 SCO Stephen Gallacher 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.47% 0% MC
54 NZL Ryan Fox 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.37% -0.1% T41
55 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.97% 0.57% T27
56 RSA Garrick Higgo 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.68% 0.27% MC
57 SWE Alexander Bjork 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.42% 0.01% T35
58 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.56% 1.2% T48
59 FRA Benjamin Hebert 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.98% 0.62% T51
60 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.9% 0.54% MC
61 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.85% 0.49% MC
62 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.78% 0.43% T6
63 FIN Kalle Samooja 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.37% T4
64 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.63% 0.27% MC
65 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.52% 0.17% MC
66 SCO Connor Syme 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.52% 0.17% MC
67 ITA Renato Paratore 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.5% 0.15% 67
68 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.47% 0.12% T27
69 MAS Gavin Green 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.44% 0.09% 71
70 ENG Robert Rock 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% WD
71 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.41% 0.06% MC
72 AUS Minwoo Lee 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.39% 0.03% MC
73 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% 0% T20
74 AUS Wade Ormsby 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.78% 0.5% T22
75 ENG James Morrison 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.77% 0.49% MC
76 SWE Marcus Kinhult 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.71% 0.43% T60
77 ENG David Horsey 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.67% 0.39% MC
78 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.67% 0.38% MC
79 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.62% 0.34% T51
80 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.22% T51
81 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.41% 0.12% T27
82 ITA Guido Migliozzi 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.37% 0.08% T44
83 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.33% 0.04% T60
84 NIR Graeme McDowell 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.23% -0.06% MC
85 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.88% 0.64% T48
86 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% MC
87 SCO Richie Ramsay 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% T68
88 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% MC
89 DEN Jeff Winther 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05% T27
90 FRA Matthieu Pavon 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.04% MC
91 USA Julian Suri 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
92 USA John Catlin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.58% 0.38% MC
93 GER Maximilian Kieffer 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.14% MC
94 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.07% MC
95 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.23% 0.02% MC
96 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.78% 0.6% MC
97 RSA Justin Walters 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% 59
98 IND Shubhankar Sharma 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T22
99 CHN Wu Ashun 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% T9
100 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% MC
101 AUS Scott Hend 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% MC
102 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
103 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.22% 0.05% MC
104 RSA Ernie Els 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.15% -0.03% MC
105 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
106 ITA Nino Bertasio 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.2% T41
107 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% 66
108 ENG Chris Wood 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% T60
109 ENG Ashley Chesters 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% T51
110 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
111 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% MC
112 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% MC
113 ENG Richard McEvoy 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
114 ENG Oliver Fisher 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
115 SCO David Law 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% 0% MC
116 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.53% 0.43% MC
117 ENG David Howell 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
118 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
119 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
120 ENG David Langley 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
121 ITA Andrea Pavan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.09% WD
122 ENG David Hague 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
123 ENG Curtis Knipes 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% MC
124 MAR Karim El Hali 2500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
125 JOR Shergo Kurdi 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.15% 0.13% MC
126 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
127 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 FRA Julien Guerrier 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
132 ESP Eduard Rousaud 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 57.5% 22.2%
2 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 57.5% 22.2%
3 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 26.3%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.7% 28.2%
5 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 29.5%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 57.5% 32.1%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 71.7% 33.3%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 34.2%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 35.4%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.7% 36.3%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 38.1%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 56.6% 39.8%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 56.6% 39.8%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.9%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.9%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40.2%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 55.8% 42.1%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.4%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 46.1%