Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

The American Express

16/01/2020 - 19/01/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Rickie Fowler 12 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.73% 3.51% -2.22% T10
2 KOR Sungjae Im 18 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.92% 1.98% -1.94% T10
3 ENG Paul Casey 22 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 3.62% 0.39% T21 14.55
4 USA Tony Finau 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.86% 1.96% -0.9% T14
5 USA Kevin Kisner 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 2.87% 0.31% MC 11.54
6 KOR Byeong Hun An 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 2.25% -0.32% MC
7 USA Charles Howell III 30 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.4% 1.51% -0.89% MC
8 USA Scottie Scheffler 30 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.4% 1.1% -1.3% 3
9 USA Matthew Wolff 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 1.67% -0.4% T61
10 USA Jason Kokrak 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 1.66% -0.41% MC
11 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 2.39% 0.58% MC 8.17
12 USA Cameron Champ 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.7% -0.12% T21
13 MEX Abraham Ancer 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.22% -0.59% 2
14 ITA Francesco Molinari 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 0.89% -0.92% MC
15 USA Phil Mickelson 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 0.45% -1.37% MC
16 USA JT Poston 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 2.23% 0.77% T37 6.57
17 USA Vaughn Taylor 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.5% 0.04% T43 6.57
18 USA Brian Harman 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.3% -0.16% T21
19 USA Brendon Todd 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.16% -0.3% T37
20 SWE Alexander Noren 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.9% -0.56% T14
21 SCO Russell Knox 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.6% -0.86% T37
22 USA Harris English 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.17% -0.05% T48
23 USA Kevin Na 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 2.13% 1.02% T17 5
24 USA Andrew Putnam 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.43% 0.32% T10 5
25 USA Brendan Steele 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.13% 0.02% T43 5
26 USA Lucas Glover 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 1.04% -0.07% MC
27 USA Chez Reavie 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.99% -0.12% MC
28 USA Ryan Moore 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.96% -0.15% T6
29 SVK Rory Sabbatini 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.89% -0.22% T48
30 USA Daniel Berger 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.88% -0.24% T29
31 USA Zach Johnson 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.46% -0.65% MC
32 USA Denny McCarthy 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.05% 1.14% 0.1% T48 4.72
33 USA Bud Cauley 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0.56% -0.49% T4
34 NZL Danny Lee 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.91% 0.09% MC 3.68
35 USA Aaron Wise 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.5% -0.32% MC
36 MEX Carlos Ortiz 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.37% 0.64% T48 3.32
37 USA Cameron Tringale 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.36% 0.62% T43 3.32
38 USA Adam Long 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.76% 0.02% MC 3.32
39 USA Scott Piercy 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.6% -0.14% T61
40 USA Harold Varner III 110 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 1.2% 0.53% MC 3.02
41 USA Nate Lashley 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.64% -0.03% WD 3.02
42 USA Brian Stuard 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.89% 0.3% 72 2.66
43 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.87% 0.28% MC 2.66
44 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.59% 0% T29 2.66
45 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.56% -0.03% WD 2.66
46 SWE Henrik Norlander 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.55% -0.04% T68 2.66
47 USA Austin Cook 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.4% -0.19% MC
48 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.68% 0.19% MC
49 USA Wyndham Clark 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% MC
50 USA Bo Hoag 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.64% 0.15% WD
51 USA Beau Hossler 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% MC
52 USA Kevin Streelman 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.39% -0.1% MC
53 USA Russell Henley 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.38% -0.12% MC
54 USA Nick Watney 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.36% -0.13% T29
55 USA Talor Gooch 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.27% -0.22% T17
56 USA Kyle Stanley 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.56% 0.1% MC
57 USA Harry Higgs 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.46% 0% MC
58 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.4% -0.06% T55
59 USA Max Homa 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.96% 0.54% T48
60 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.82% 0.39% T6
61 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.81% 0.39% T64
62 USA Richy Werenski 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% MC
63 USA Brian Gay 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.61% 0.19% MC
64 USA Brice Garnett 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.48% 0.06% MC
65 USA Dominic Bozzelli 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.25% -0.17% MC
66 USA Kevin Chappell 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.21% -0.22% MC
67 USA Hudson Swafford 175 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.14% -0.29% MC
68 USA Bronson Burgoon 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% T43
69 USA Stewart Cink 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% MC
70 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% T17
71 USA Maverick McNealy 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% T37
72 AUS Aaron Baddeley 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
73 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
74 USA Sam Ryder 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% T29
75 USA Andrew Landry 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.39% 0.02% 1
76 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.39% 0.02% MC
77 USA Peter Malnati 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% MC
78 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.05% MC
79 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.05% T64
80 SCO Martin Laird 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.28% -0.09% MC
81 USA Bill Haas 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.2% -0.17% MC
82 USA D.J. Trahan 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T68
83 USA Scott Stallings 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.4% 0.07% T55
84 USA Jimmy Walker 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.37% 0.04% MC
85 USA Doc Redman 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.35% 0.02% T29
86 USA Patton Kizzire 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% MC
87 CHN Zhang Xinjun 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% MC
88 USA Scott Harrington 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
89 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.06% T21
90 USA Charley Hoffman 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T61
91 USA Zac Blair 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.29% 0% T55
92 USA Grayson Murray 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% T10
93 USA Luke List 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% MC
94 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.18% -0.11% T55
95 USA Sam Saunders 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.16% -0.14% MC
96 USA Steve Stricker 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.14% -0.16% MC
97 USA Chesson Hadley 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% T29
98 AUS Greg Chalmers 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 1.07% 0.82% MC
99 USA Josh Teater 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.91% 0.66% T68
100 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.81% 0.56% T68
101 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.65% 0.4% T55
102 AUT Sepp Straka 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.62% 0.37% T4
103 USA Robby Shelton 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.58% 0.34% MC
104 USA Robert Streb 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
105 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.47% 0.22% T14
106 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% T17
107 USA Ted Potter-jr 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% T37
108 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% T21
109 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% MC
110 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.13% MC
111 USA Ben Martin 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.11% T29
112 USA Mark Hubbard 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% T43
113 CAN David Hearn 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.28% 0.04% T37
114 USA Ricky Barnes 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.02% MC
115 USA John Huh 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% T48
116 USA Scott Brown 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.01% MC
117 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% 73
118 USA James Hahn 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.03% MC
119 USA Wes Roach 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% T64
120 KOR Seungyul Noh 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.14% -0.11% MC
121 AUS Cameron Percy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
122 USA Chris Stroud 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
123 USA Matt Every 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% 74
124 USA Ben Crane 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% WD
125 USA Mackenzie Hughes 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.17% -0.04% MC
126 NZL Tim Wilkinson 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% T21
127 USA Joseph Bramlett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.14% MC
128 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0.02% T48
129 AUS Rhein Gibson 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% MC
130 USA Doug Ghim 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.16% -0.03% MC
131 USA Sam Burns 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.03% T6
132 USA J.J Spaun 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.12% -0.07% MC
133 USA Isaiah Salinda 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
134 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% MC
135 USA Ryan Brehm 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T55
136 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
137 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T64
138 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.02% T6
139 USA Chris Baker 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
140 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.02% MC
141 ENG Benjamin Taylor 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.17% MC
142 PUR Rafael Campos 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% MC
143 CAN Michael Gligic 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% T21
144 AUS John Senden 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
145 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.77% 0.69% MC
146 USA Mark Wilson 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
147 ARG Nelson Ledesma 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
148 USA Vincent Whaley 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T29
149 USA Vince Covello 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
150 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.08% MC
151 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% MC
152 USA Brian Smock 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
153 USA Akshay Bhatia 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.05% MC
154 USA Zack Sucher 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
156 USA Charles Reiter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 47.4% 23.3%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 27.8%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 28.3%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 67.8% 29.8%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 31.3%
6 Coral 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 34.3%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.5% 35.3%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.6%
9 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.8%
10 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 56.1% 39.1%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.1% 39.1%
13 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 56.1% 39.1%
14 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.6% 40.9%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 59.1% 41.8%
16 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 42%
17 Betway 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 46%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 65.5% 50.8%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 68.5% 53.5%