Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 247.2

Total Profit: +147.1

THE NORTHERN TRUST

23/08/2018 - 26/08/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 9 10% 7.91% 2.46% -5.45% T11
2 USA Justin Thomas 13 7.14% 5.65% 2.44% -3.21% T8
3 USA Brooks Koepka 14 6.67% 5.27% 4.38% -0.89% T8
4 AUS Jason Day 15 6.25% 4.94% 1.76% -3.18% T20
5 USA Tiger Woods 16 5.88% 4.65% 2.32% -2.33% T40
6 ENG Justin Rose 19 5% 3.95% 2.52% -1.43% MC
7 ESP Jon Rahm 21 4.55% 3.6% 1.36% -2.24% MC
8 USA Jordan Spieth 22 4.35% 3.44% 1.5% -1.94% T25
9 ITA Francesco Molinari 24 4% 3.16% 2.89% -0.27% MC
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 32 3.03% 2.4% 1.86% -0.54% T20
11 USA Webb Simpson 38 2.56% 2.03% 1.98% -0.05% T28 8.94
12 USA Patrick Cantlay 43 2.27% 1.8% 1.14% -0.66% T8
13 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 45 2.17% 1.72% 0.85% -0.87% T15
14 AUS Adam Scott 47 2.08% 1.65% 1.36% -0.28% T5
15 USA Patrick Reed 57 1.72% 1.36% 2.09% 0.72% T25 6.02
16 USA Matt Kuchar 57 1.72% 1.36% 1.31% -0.05% T60 6.02
17 USA Tony Finau 59 1.67% 1.32% 1.26% -0.06% 2
18 ENG Paul Casey 60 1.64% 1.3% 1.36% 0.07% T60 5.72
19 USA Zach Johnson 60 1.64% 1.3% 1.23% -0.06% T40
20 USA Gary Woodland 69 1.43% 1.13% 1.04% -0.09% T48
21 USA Xander Schauffele 70 1.41% 1.11% 1.38% 0.26% MC 4.92
22 AUS Marc Leishman 71 1.39% 1.1% 0.83% -0.27% T34
23 USA Bubba Watson 73 1.35% 1.07% 1.32% 0.26% T34 4.72
24 SWE Alexander Noren 79 1.25% 0.99% 1.15% 0.17% MC 4.36
25 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 81 1.22% 0.96% 1.17% 0.2% T20 4.26
26 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 83 1.19% 0.94% 0.99% 0.05% T28 4.16
27 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 84 1.18% 0.93% 1.23% 0.3% T60 4.11
28 ENG Ian Poulter 89 1.11% 0.88% 1.17% 0.29% T48 3.88
29 USA Billy Horschel 89 1.11% 0.88% 0.84% -0.04% T3 (tied w/2) 3.88 +36.5
30 USA Bryson DeChambeau 92 1.08% 0.85% 1.43% 0.58% 1 3.75 +210.8
31 USA Kevin Kisner 92 1.08% 0.85% 1.02% 0.17% T73 3.75
32 USA Kevin Na 97 1.02% 0.81% 1.03% 0.22% T15 3.56
33 USA Ryan Moore 98 1.01% 0.8% 1.11% 0.31% MC 3.53
34 USA Phil Mickelson 99 1% 0.79% 1.84% 1.04% T15 3.49
35 USA Kyle Stanley 101 0.98% 0.78% 1.1% 0.32% T28 3.42
36 RSA Branden Grace 102 0.97% 0.77% 0.93% 0.16% MC 3.39
37 USA Stewart Cink 110 0.9% 0.71% 0.93% 0.22% MC 3.15
38 ARG Emiliano Grillo 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.94% 0.29% T48 2.89
39 KOR Byeong Hun An 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.79% 0.14% T40 2.89
40 USA Keegan Bradley 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.92% 0.31% T34 2.67
41 USA Daniel Berger 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.77% 0.16% T15 2.67
42 USA Charley Hoffman 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.08% 0.55% T20
43 USA Russell Henley 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.03% 0.51% MC
44 SCO Russell Knox 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.97% 0.44% MC
45 TPE C.T. Pan 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.77% 0.25% T60
46 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.76% 0.23% MC
47 USA Luke List 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.7% 0.17% T48
48 USA Kevin Chappell 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% MC
49 USA Kevin Streelman 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.53% 0.09% T40
50 NZL Danny Lee 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.52% 0.08% T34
51 SCO Martin Laird 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.45% 0.01% T73
52 USA Jimmy Walker 190 0.52% 0.41% 1.26% 0.84% T71
53 USA Chris Kirk 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.96% 0.54% T78
54 USA Beau Hossler 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.65% 0.24% T60
55 USA Charles Howell III 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% MC
56 USA Aaron Wise 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T5
57 USA Pat Perez 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% T40
58 USA Brian Gay 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.6% 0.21% 70
59 USA Jason Dufner 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.82% 0.44% MC
60 USA Jason Kokrak 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.61% 0.24% T40
61 USA Austin Cook 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.43% 0.05% T60
62 KOR Siwoo Kim 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.85% 0.49% T76
63 USA Brian Harman 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.8% 0.44% T48
64 USA Joel Dahmen 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.6% 0.25% MC
65 USA Kevin Tway 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.58% 0.22% T56
66 AUS Cameron Smith 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.58% 0.24% T3
67 USA Chesson Hadley 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% T56
68 USA Jamie Lovemark 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.46% 0.12% T34
69 USA Harold Varner III 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.39% 0.05% T40
70 USA J.B. Holmes 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% MC
71 USA Andrew Putnam 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.76% 0.44% T78
72 USA J.J Spaun 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.6% 0.29% T60
73 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% T71
74 USA Chez Reavie 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.63% 0.33% T20
75 USA Peter Uihlein 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.53% 0.23% T48
76 USA Keith Mitchell 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
77 USA Ollie Schniederjans 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.47% 0.16% MC
78 USA Brendan Steele 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
79 USA Ryan Armour 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% T78
80 SVK Rory Sabbatini 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% MC
81 USA William McGirt 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.75% 0.47% MC
82 CAN Adam Hadwin 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.53% 0.25% T11
83 USA Harris English 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% MC
84 USA Nick Watney 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.71% 0.45% T11
85 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.68% 0.42% T15
86 USA Andrew Landry 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.34% T76
87 USA Scott Piercy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.08% T48
88 USA Ryan Palmer 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.05% T5
89 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% MC
90 USA Troy Merritt 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.48% 0.28% MC
91 USA Richy Werenski 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
92 USA Brice Garnett 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
93 USA Trey Mullinax 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% T56
94 USA Scott Stallings 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.17% T28
95 USA Ryan Blaum 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
96 KOR Meenwhee Kim 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T48
97 USA Sam Saunders 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T60
98 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% T11
99 CAN Nick Taylor 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.04% MC
100 USA Tom Hoge 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% MC
101 USA Patton Kizzire 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% T60
102 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% MC
103 USA JT Poston 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
104 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.21% MC
105 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T40
106 USA Scott Brown 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
107 USA Grayson Murray 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% WD
108 USA Sam Ryder 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% T28
109 USA Tyler Duncan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% MC
110 USA John Huh 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
111 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% 75
112 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.07% T56
113 USA Brandon Harkins 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% T60
114 USA James Hahn 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% MC
115 IRL Seamus Power 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.03% T34
116 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.65% 0.52% MC
117 USA Brian Stuard 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% T25
118 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
119 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T28

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...