Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 36.7

Total Profit: -63.4

Wells Fargo Championship

03/05/2018 - 06/05/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 7 12.5% 9.59% 1.83% -7.76% T16
2 USA Justin Thomas 10 9.09% 6.98% 2.16% -4.82% T21
3 USA Rickie Fowler 13 7.14% 5.48% 2.89% -2.6% T21
4 AUS Jason Day 22 4.35% 3.34% 2.16% -1.18% 1
5 USA Patrick Reed 23 4.17% 3.2% 2.8% -0.4% 8
6 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 24 4% 3.07% 1.52% -1.55% T76
7 ENG Paul Casey 27 3.57% 2.74% 1.5% -1.24% T5
8 USA Phil Mickelson 28 3.45% 2.65% 2.39% -0.26% T5
9 USA Tiger Woods 28 3.45% 2.65% 2.28% -0.37% T55
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 29 3.33% 2.56% 2.1% -0.46% MC
11 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 38 2.56% 1.97% 1.47% -0.5% MC
12 USA Tony Finau 38 2.56% 1.97% 1.04% -0.93% T21
13 USA Webb Simpson 43 2.27% 1.74% 1.05% -0.7% T21
14 USA Chesson Hadley 45 2.17% 1.67% 0.83% -0.84% T16
15 USA Kevin Kisner 48 2.04% 1.57% 1.48% -0.08% MC 7
16 USA Ryan Moore 51 1.92% 1.48% 1.31% -0.16% MC
17 SWE Alexander Noren 54 1.82% 1.4% 1.36% -0.04% MC 6.24
18 USA Bryson DeChambeau 57 1.72% 1.32% 1.27% -0.05% 4 5.92 +36.7
19 USA Brooks Koepka 59 1.67% 1.28% 0.58% -0.7% T42
20 USA Brian Harman 64 1.54% 1.18% 1.14% -0.04% 74 5.28
21 ARG Emiliano Grillo 65 1.52% 1.16% 0.9% -0.26% T9
22 USA Luke List 66 1.49% 1.15% 0.82% -0.32% T9
23 USA Daniel Berger 72 1.37% 1.05% 1.05% 0% T55 4.7
24 ITA Francesco Molinari 84 1.18% 0.9% 1.91% 1.01% T16 4.04
25 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 84 1.18% 0.9% 1.43% 0.52% T42 4.04
26 AUS Adam Scott 84 1.18% 0.9% 0.87% -0.03% T76 4.04
27 USA Kevin Streelman 85 1.16% 0.89% 1.29% 0.4% MC 3.99
28 USA Russell Henley 86 1.15% 0.88% 0.75% -0.13% MC
29 KOR Byeong Hun An 88 1.12% 0.86% 0.58% -0.28% T63
30 USA Xander Schauffele 90 1.1% 0.84% 1.1% 0.26% T72 3.77
31 CAN Adam Hadwin 92 1.08% 0.83% 1.12% 0.3% T16 3.69
32 USA Gary Woodland 93 1.06% 0.82% 0.98% 0.16% MC 3.65
33 USA Jason Dufner 97 1.02% 0.78% 0.58% -0.2% T42
34 USA Trey Mullinax 99 1% 0.77% 0.76% -0.01% MC 3.43
35 USA Kyle Stanley 99 1% 0.77% 0.55% -0.22% T13
36 USA Beau Hossler 100 0.99% 0.76% 0.67% -0.09% T34 3.4
37 USA Charles Howell III 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.68% -0.04% T21 3.21
38 USA Jamie Lovemark 109 0.91% 0.7% 0.59% -0.1% MC 3.12
39 USA Lucas Glover 115 0.86% 0.66% 0.68% 0.02% MC 2.96
40 USA Keegan Bradley 116 0.85% 0.66% 0.62% -0.03% T76 2.94
41 RSA Dylan Frittelli 120 0.83% 0.63% 1% 0.36% MC 2.84
42 USA Grayson Murray 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.75% 0.12% T59 2.84
43 USA Ollie Schniederjans 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.73% 0.1% T34 2.84
44 RSA Charl Schwartzel 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.72% 0.09% T9 2.84
45 USA J.B. Holmes 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.56% -0.08% T42 2.84
46 USA James Hahn 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.4% 0.81% MC 2.62
47 USA Andrew Landry 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.06% 0.47% WD 2.62
48 IRL Shane Lowry 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.91% 0.32% T34 2.62
49 USA Bud Cauley 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.47% -0.12% T67 2.62
50 USA Bill Haas 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.41% -0.1% MC
51 USA Sam Burns 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.37% -0.14% T55
52 USA Patrick Rodgers 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T34
53 SVK Rory Sabbatini 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.8% 0.39% T27
54 USA Austin Cook 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% T34
55 USA Jason Kokrak 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.61% 0.2% MC
56 USA Nick Watney 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.83% 0.45% T2
57 USA Patton Kizzire 210 0.47% 0.36% 1.11% 0.75% MC
58 GER Martin Kaymer 210 0.47% 0.36% 1.01% 0.65% T42
59 ENG Chris Paisley 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.71% 0.35% MC
60 ENG Ross Fisher 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.7% 0.33% T63
61 USA Keith Mitchell 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.54% 0.17% T34
62 USA Peter Uihlein 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.48% 0.13% T5
63 USA Andrew Putnam 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.52% 0.18% T82
64 NIR Graeme McDowell 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.43% 0.1% T27
65 NZL Danny Lee 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% MC
66 USA Stewart Cink 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.4% 0.11% T72
67 USA Brice Garnett 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.38% 0.09% 75
68 USA Robert Streb 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.19% -0.09% T42
69 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.73% 0.46% T42
70 USA Aaron Wise 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% T2
71 USA Kevin Tway 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
72 USA Scott Brown 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
73 AUS Aaron Baddeley 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.6% 0.33% MC
74 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.75% 0.5% T42
75 USA Kelly Kraft 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.71% 0.46% MC
76 USA Ben Martin 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.63% 0.37% MC
77 USA Tom Hoge 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.62% 0.36% T76
78 RSA Retief Goosen 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
79 CAN Corey Conners 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.24% T42
80 USA Scott Stallings 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.43% 0.18% MC
81 TPE C.T. Pan 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.16% T76
82 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.11% MC
83 USA Sam Saunders 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% T9
84 USA JT Poston 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.08% MC
85 USA Brandon Harkins 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T63
86 USA Brian Stuard 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.73% 0.54% MC
87 USA Troy Merritt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.68% 0.49% T42
88 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% T27
89 USA Sam Ryder 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
90 USA Michael Thompson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% T42
91 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
92 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.22% MC
93 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T27
94 USA Denny McCarthy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
95 USA Nate Lashley 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.07% MC
96 USA Chris Stroud 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% T67
97 USA Adam Schenk 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% MC
98 IRL Seamus Power 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0% T27
99 RSA Ernie Els 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.59% 0.44% MC
100 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.37% MC
101 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% T82
102 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.28% MC
103 USA Martin Piller 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
104 USA Johnson Wagner 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% T13
105 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
106 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.18% MC
107 CAN Nick Taylor 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.16% MC
108 USA Shawn Stefani 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.15% T42
109 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.15% T27
110 USA Blayne Barber 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T67
111 USA Matt Every 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
112 USA Talor Gooch 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T13
113 USA Martin Flores 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T59
114 USA Hudson Swafford 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.06% MC
115 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.06% MC
116 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
117 USA Harold Varner III 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T55
118 USA Rob Oppenheim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
119 USA Richy Werenski 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% MC
120 ARG Fabian Gomez 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% T84
121 USA John Peterson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% T42
122 USA Steve Marino 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% WD
123 USA Tom Lovelady 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T34
124 USA Ryan Blaum 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.2% 0.07% T84
125 AUS Ryan Ruffels 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
126 AUS Rod Pampling 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
127 USA Cameron Tringale 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.21% T27
128 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% T34
129 USA Derek Fathauer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.2% MC
130 MEX Roberto Diaz 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
131 USA Tyler Duncan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% T84
132 USA Joel Dahmen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T16
133 USA Mackenzie Hughes 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.09% T59
134 GER Stephan Jaeger 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
135 USA Derek Ernst 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.04% MC
136 USA Smylie Kaufman 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
137 USA Jonathan Randolph 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.02% T70
138 USA Davis Love III 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% WD
139 USA D.A. Points 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.24% MC
140 USA Billy Hurley III 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% 81
141 USA Bob Estes 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% WD
142 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T21
143 USA Kyle Thompson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.02% MC
144 CHI Guillermo Pereira 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% MC
145 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.84% 0% T63
146 CHI Joaquin Niemann 0% 0% 0.69% 0% MC
147 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.46% 0% MC
148 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T84
149 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
150 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.23% 0% T70
151 USA Lanto Griffin 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
152 USA T.J. Vogel 0% 0% 0.12% 0% T59
153 USA Carter Jenkins 0% 0% 0.07% 0% MC
154 USA J.T. Griffin 0% 0% 0.07% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...