Betting Market Analysis for THE PLAYERS Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 2.54% -6.14%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 12/1 2.42% -5.34%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 3.54% -2.13%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 1.03% -3.89%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 1.76% -2.58%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 0.94% -3.4%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.94% -1.26%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 1.63% -1.21%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 1.3% -1.54%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 1.28% -1.55%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 3.42% 0.88%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.32% -0.85%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.1% -1.07%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 0.73% -1.44%
15 JPN Tomoharu Kimura 33 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% ≈ 45/1 0.07% -2.1%
16 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 35 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% ≈ 48/1 0.89% -1.15%
17 USA Jordan Spieth 35 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% ≈ 48/1 0.7% -1.35%
18 USA Keegan Bradley 40 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% ≈ 55/1 1.1% -0.7%
19 USA Will Zalatoris 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.27% 1.68% ≈ 59/1 0.77% -0.91%
20 USA Keith Mitchell 50 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 1.6% 0.15%
21 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.03% -0.07%
22 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.96% -0.14%
23 CAN Corey Conners 66 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.46% -0.64%
24 IRL Shane Lowry 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 0.56% -0.45%
25 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 80 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.46% -0.45%
26 USA Russell Henley 90 (Coral: 12 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 122/1 0.43% -0.38%
27 USA Matt Kuchar 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.93% 0.2%
28 USA Chris Kirk 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 1.54% 0.9%
29 USA Sahith Theegala 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 1.22% 0.59%
30 USA Sam Burns 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.82% 0.19%
31 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.73% 0.1%
32 USA Harris English 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.66% 0.06%
33 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 1.46% 0.88%
34 USA Brian Harman 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 1.15% 0.56%
35 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 1.06% 0.48%
36 BEL Thomas Pieters 125 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.55% -0.04%
37 COL Sebastian Munoz 125 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.21% -0.38%
38 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.61% 0.12%
39 USA Kurt Kitayama 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 1.07% 0.59%
40 AUS Adam Scott 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.37% -0.11%
41 IRL Seamus Power 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 1.4% 0.97%
42 ENG Justin Rose 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.41% ≈ 246/1 1.71% 1.31%
43 SWE Alexander Noren 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 1.74% 1.35%
44 USA Taylor Montgomery 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.38% ≈ 259/1 1.12% 0.73%
45 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.76% 0.39%
46 CAN Adam Svensson 200 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.56% 0.19%
47 USA JT Poston 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.41% 0.04%
48 ARG Emiliano Grillo 200 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.35% -0.02%
49 ITA Francesco Molinari 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.35% 0%
50 USA Billy Horschel 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.65% 0.32%
51 USA Webb Simpson 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.22% -0.12%
52 USA Brendon Todd 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.33% ≈ 305/1 0.7% 0.37%
53 USA Davis Riley 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 338/1 0.45% 0.16%
54 USA Joel Dahmen 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 1.15% 0.85%
55 GER Stephan Jaeger 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 1.1% 0.8%
56 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 1.04% 0.74%
57 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.77% 0.48%
58 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.73% 0.44%
59 ENG Aaron Rai 250 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.64% 0.35%
60 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.55% 0.25%
61 USA Lee Hodges 250 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.42% 0.13%
62 USA Taylor Moore 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.39% 0.09%
63 USA Gary Woodland 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.27% ≈ 376/1 0.81% 0.55%
64 USA Denny McCarthy 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.27% ≈ 376/1 0.42% 0.15%
65 USA Wyndham Clark 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.25% ≈ 403/1 0.73% 0.48%
66 USA Brandon Wu 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.57% 0.32%
67 AUS Minwoo Lee 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.23% ≈ 429/1 1.29% 1.06%
68 USA Aaron Wise 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.23% ≈ 429/1 0.6% 0.37%
69 USA Maverick McNealy 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.21% ≈ 468/1 0.83% 0.61%
70 USA Trey Mullinax 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 1.53% 1.32%
71 USA Hayden Buckley 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.57% 0.36%
72 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.44% 0.23%
73 AUT Sepp Straka 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.2% ≈ 494/1 0.45% 0.25%
74 USA Alex Smalley 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.75% 0.56%
75 USA Ben Martin 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.55% 0.36%
76 USA Joseph Bramlett 400 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.43% 0.24%
77 USA David Lipsky 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.38% 0.19%
78 USA Nick Hardy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.27% 0.09%
79 USA Patton Kizzire 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.18% -0.01%
80 USA Benjamin Griffin 412 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.8/1) 0.24% 0.18% ≈ 559/1 1.17% 0.99%
81 AUS Lucas Herbert 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.17% ≈ 571/1 0.54% 0.36%
82 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.17% ≈ 571/1 0.3% 0.13%
83 NZL Ryan Fox 451 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.16% ≈ 612/1 0.52% 0.36%
84 USA Scott Stallings 451 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.16% ≈ 612/1 0.2% 0.04%
85 USA Robby Shelton 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.92% 0.76%
86 BEL Thomas Detry 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 663/1 0.8% 0.65%
87 USA Adam Long 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.53% 0.38%
88 SCO Martin Laird 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.36% 0.21%
89 USA Eric Cole 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.34% 0.19%
90 USA Erik Barnes 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.32% 0.17%
91 COL Nicolas Echavarria 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.31% 0.17%
92 USA Stewart Cink 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.29% 0.14%
93 USA Kevin Streelman 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.25% 0.11%
94 USA Chesson Hadley 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.17% 0.03%
95 ENG Danny Willett 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 689/1 0.56% 0.42%
96 USA Mackenzie Hughes 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.14% ≈ 715/1 1.15% 1.01%
97 CAN Taylor Pendrith 547 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.7/1) 0.18% 0.13% ≈ 742/1 0.31% 0.18%
98 USA Luke List 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.13% ≈ 754/1 0.39% 0.26%
99 USA Beau Hossler 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.13% ≈ 754/1 0.29% 0.16%
100 KOR Byeong Hun An 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 780/1 0.46% 0.33%
101 USA Doug Ghim 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 780/1 0.2% 0.07%
102 USA Greyson Sigg 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.5% 0.38%
103 USA Justin Lower 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.41% 0.29%
104 USA James Hahn 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.37% 0.25%
105 USA Dylan Wu 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.33% 0.2%
106 USA Ryan Armour 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.32% 0.2%
107 USA Peter Malnati 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.3% 0.17%
108 USA Michael Thompson 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.29% 0.17%
109 AUS Cameron Davis 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 819/1 0.23% 0.11%
110 RSA Garrick Higgo 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.11% ≈ 872/1 0.44% 0.33%
111 USA Nate Lashley 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.11% ≈ 872/1 0.32% 0.21%
112 USA Patrick Rodgers 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.11% ≈ 884/1 0.52% 0.41%
113 USA Kevin Kisner 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.11% ≈ 884/1 0.24% 0.13%
114 USA Davis Thompson 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.1% ≈ 975/1 0.84% 0.74%
115 AUS Aaron Baddeley 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1017/1 0.47% 0.37%
116 USA Harrison Endycott 750 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1017/1 0.32% 0.23%
117 RSA Dylan Frittelli 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1040/1 0.25% 0.16%
118 USA Ryan Palmer 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1054/1 0.24% 0.14%
119 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 787 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.62% 0.52%
120 USA Adam Schenk 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1132/1 0.47% 0.38%
121 SCO Russell Knox 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1132/1 0.38% 0.29%
122 ENG Matt Wallace 863 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.8/1) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1170/1 0.3% 0.22%
123 USA Scott Piercy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1300/1 0.48% 0.41%
124 SWE David Lingmerth 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1300/1 0.32% 0.24%
125 USA Kramer Hickok 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1300/1 0.25% 0.18%
126 USA Lanto Griffin 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1300/1 0.19% 0.11%
127 USA William Gordon 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.48% 0.41%
128 USA Matthew NeSmith 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.43% 0.36%
129 USA Andrew Novak 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.42% 0.34%
130 USA Kevin Tway 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.38% 0.3%
131 AUT Matthias Schwab 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.33% 0.26%
132 ENG Callum Tarren 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.32% 0.24%
133 USA Mark Hubbard 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.28% 0.21%
134 USA Chez Reavie 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.24% 0.17%
135 USA Doc Redman 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.19% 0.12%
136 USA Lucas Glover 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.17% 0.1%
137 USA Troy Merritt 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.13% 0.06%
138 USA Austin Smotherman 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1695/1 0.15% 0.09%
139 USA Tyson Alexander 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2034/1 1.04% 0.99%
140 USA Robert Streb 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2034/1 0.14% 0.09%
141 USA Ryan Brehm 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2712/1 0.28% 0.25%
142 USA Chad Ramey 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2712/1 0.26% 0.23%
143 USA Nick Watney 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2712/1 0.24% 0.2%
144 USA Max McGreevy 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2712/1 0.18% 0.15%
145 USA Kelly Kraft 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2712/1 0.08% 0.05%
146 USA Jerry Kelly 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2712/1 0.07% 0.04%
147 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.8% 7.8%
2 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 48.8% 13.6%
3 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 73.4% 15.2%
4 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 51.4% 15.6%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 12 @ 1/5 101.9% 18.9%
6 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 80% 19.6%
7 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 58% 20.6%
8 Coral 12 @ 1/5 106.5% 21.5%
9 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.6% 22.6%
10 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 71.9% 23%
11 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 61.5% 23.6%
12 BetUK 7 @ 1/5 50% 23.9%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 24.1%
14 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 52.2% 25.8%
15 Betway 8 @ 1/5 65.5% 26.4%
16 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 28.5%
17 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.2%
18 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.2%
19 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 57.7% 30.3%
20 VBet 8 @ 1/5 77.4% 35.6%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.3% 39.8%
22 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 73.2% 43.2%