Betting Market Analysis for Puerto Rico Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 6 days ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 69/1 | 4.74% | 3.3% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 90/1 | 4.61% | 3.52% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 22/1 | 3.96% | -0.35% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 22/1 | 3.58% | -0.73% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 48/1 | 2.63% | 0.59% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 22/1 | 2.35% | -1.96% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 22/1 | 2.27% | -2.05% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 34/1 | 2.17% | -0.65% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 30/1 | 2.08% | -1.11% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 109/1 | 2.06% | 1.15% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 34/1 | 1.9% | -0.93% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 1.8% | -1.69% | |
| 13 |
| Joseph Bramlett | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.09% ≈ 90/1 | 1.77% | 0.68% | |
| 14 |
| Cameron Percy | 60 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.2% ≈ 82/1 | 1.71% | 0.5% | |
| 15 |
| Lucas Glover | 35 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.04% ≈ 48/1 | 1.68% | -0.35% | |
| 16 |
| Tom Lewis | 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.16% ≈ 45/1 | 1.61% | -0.55% | |
| 17 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 28 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.53% ≈ 39/1 | 1.31% | -1.22% | |
| 18 |
| Sam Ryder | 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.44% ≈ 69/1 | 1.27% | -0.17% | |
| 19 |
| Kramer Hickok | 55 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.31% ≈ 75/1 | 1.22% | -0.09% | |
| 20 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.81% ≈ 123/1 | 1.21% | 0.4% | |
| 21 |
| William Gordon | 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.44% ≈ 69/1 | 1.13% | -0.31% | |
| 22 |
| Beau Hossler | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 1.09% | 0.19% | |
| 23 |
| Vaughn Taylor | 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.31% ≈ 75/1 | 1.05% | -0.26% | |
| 24 |
| Scott Brown | 75 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.32% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 1.05% | 0.08% | |
| 25 |
| Anirban Lahiri | 70 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.03% ≈ 96/1 | 1.04% | 0.01% | |
| 26 |
| Zhang Xinjun | 90 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.81% ≈ 123/1 | 1.03% | 0.22% | |
| 27 |
| D.J. Trahan | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 239/1 | 0.98% | 0.56% | |
| 28 |
| Greg Chalmers | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 478/1 | 0.97% | 0.77% | |
| 29 |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.09% ≈ 90/1 | 0.96% | -0.13% | |
| 30 |
| Brandon Hagy | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.09% ≈ 90/1 | 0.93% | -0.16% | |
| 31 |
| Hank Lebioda | 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 137/1 | 0.93% | 0.21% | |
| 32 |
| Ricky Barnes | 300 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 409/1 | 0.93% | 0.68% | |
| 33 |
| Brice Garnett | 80 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.92% | 0.01% | |
| 34 |
| Michael Gligic | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.91% | 0.61% | |
| 35 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.79% ≈ 55/1 | 0.9% | -0.89% | |
| 36 |
| Bronson Burgoon | 60 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.2% ≈ 82/1 | 0.89% | -0.31% | |
| 37 |
| Rhein Gibson | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.87% | 0.39% | |
| 38 |
| Roger Sloan | 55 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.31% ≈ 75/1 | 0.85% | -0.46% | |
| 39 |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 160 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.46% ≈ 219/1 | 0.85% | 0.4% | |
| 40 |
| Adam Schenk | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.09% ≈ 90/1 | 0.78% | -0.32% | |
| 41 |
| David Hearn | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.58% ≈ 171/1 | 0.77% | 0.18% | |
| 42 |
| Vincent Whaley | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.58% ≈ 171/1 | 0.74% | 0.16% | |
| 43 |
| Chase Seiffert | 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.73% | -0.18% | |
| 44 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.09% ≈ 90/1 | 0.67% | -0.43% | |
| 45 |
| Bill Haas | 140 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.71% | 0.52% ≈ 191/1 | 0.66% | 0.14% | |
| 46 |
| Ted Potter-jr | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.64% | -0.27% | |
| 47 |
| Kevin Tway | 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.64% | 0.15% | |
| 48 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 100 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.73% ≈ 137/1 | 0.62% | -0.11% | |
| 49 |
| Michael Kim | 275 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.36% | 0.27% ≈ 375/1 | 0.61% | 0.35% | |
| 50 |
| Nick Watney | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 239/1 | 0.61% | 0.19% | |
| 51 |
| Hunter Mahan | 400 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 546/1 | 0.61% | 0.43% | |
| 52 |
| J.J Spaun | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.58% ≈ 171/1 | 0.58% | 0% | |
| 53 |
| Mark Anderson | 150 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.56% | 0.08% | |
| 54 |
| Fabian Gomez | 200 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.56% | 0.2% | |
| 55 |
| Sebastian Cappelen | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.56% | 0.08% | |
| 56 |
| Josh Teater | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.09% ≈ 90/1 | 0.52% | -0.57% | |
| 57 |
| Nelson Ledesma | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 409/1 | 0.5% | 0.26% | |
| 58 |
| Ryan Brehm | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.5% | 0.13% | |
| 59 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 546/1 | 0.47% | 0.29% | |
| 60 |
| Tim Wilkinson | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.46% | -0.44% | |
| 61 |
| Matt Every | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.45% | -0.03% | |
| 62 |
| Grayson Murray | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.44% | -0.04% | |
| 63 |
| Johnson Wagner | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.44% | 0.08% | |
| 64 |
| Roberto Castro | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.44% | -0.05% | |
| 65 |
| Chris Baker | 225 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.32% ≈ 307/1 | 0.43% | 0.11% | |
| 66 |
| Martin Trainer | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 478/1 | 0.43% | 0.22% | |
| 67 |
| Michael Gellerman | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.42% | 0.12% | |
| 68 |
| Benjamin Taylor | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.42% | 0.05% | |
| 69 |
| Rafael Campos | 175 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 239/1 | 0.42% | 0% | |
| 70 |
| Parker McLachlin | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.4% | 0.26% | |
| 71 |
| Carlos Franco | 1500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2046/1 | 0.39% | 0.34% | |
| 72 |
| Brendon de Jonge | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.39% | 0.32% | |
| 73 |
| John Rollins | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.39% | 0.32% | |
| 74 |
| Eric Axley | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.39% | 0.32% | |
| 75 |
| Sebastian Saavedra | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.39% | 0.32% | |
| 76 |
| Ted Purdy | 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.39% | 0.32% | |
| 77 |
| John Merrick | 600 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 819/1 | 0.39% | 0.27% | |
| 78 |
| Jason Bohn | 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.39% | 0.25% | |
| 79 |
| Daniel Chopra | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.39% | 0.25% | |
| 80 |
| Stephen Stallings Jr | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.39% | 0.25% | |
| 81 |
| Carl Pettersson | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 478/1 | 0.39% | 0.18% | |
| 82 |
| David Lingmerth | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.39% | -0.09% | |
| 83 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.38% | 0.02% | |
| 84 |
| Ben Martin | 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.38% | -0.53% | |
| 85 |
| Joohyung Kim | 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.37% | -0.53% | |
| 86 |
| Paul Barjon | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.58% ≈ 171/1 | 0.37% | -0.22% | |
| 87 |
| Lee Hodges | 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.44% ≈ 69/1 | 0.37% | -1.07% | |
| 88 |
| Greyson Sigg | 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.79% ≈ 55/1 | 0.37% | -1.42% | |
| 89 |
| Brandon Wu | 30 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.37% ≈ 41/1 | 0.37% | -2% | |
| 90 |
| Derek Ernst | 400 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 546/1 | 0.36% | 0.18% | |
| 91 |
| Davis Riley | 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.44% ≈ 69/1 | 0.36% | -1.08% | |
| 92 |
| David Duval | 2000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.05% | 0.04% ≈ 2728/1 | 0.36% | 0.32% | |
| 93 |
| Andres Romero | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.35% | 0.06% | |
| 94 |
| Robert Garrigus | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.34% | 0.2% | |
| 95 |
| Arjun Atwal | 300 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 409/1 | 0.34% | 0.1% | |
| 96 |
| Tommy Gainey | 250 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.34% | 0.05% | |
| 97 |
| Dicky Pride | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 98 |
| Ian Holt | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 99 |
| Omar Uresti | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 100 |
| Edward Figueroa | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 101 |
| Chris Nido | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1364/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 102 |
| Marcelo Rozo | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1023/1 | 0.34% | 0.24% | |
| 103 |
| Mark Hensby | 600 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 819/1 | 0.34% | 0.22% | |
| 104 |
| Will Mackenzie | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.34% | 0.2% | |
| 105 |
| Heath Slocum | 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.34% | 0.2% | |
| 106 |
| Charlie Beljan | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.34% | 0.2% | |
| 107 |
| William Cannon | 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 682/1 | 0.34% | 0.2% | |
| 108 |
| Smylie Kaufman | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 546/1 | 0.34% | 0.16% | |
| 109 |
| Chris Couch | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.34% | 0.05% | |
| 110 |
| Bryson Nimmer | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.34% | 0.05% | |
| 111 |
| Carson Young | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.34% | 0.05% | |
| 112 |
| Dominic Bozzelli | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 546/1 | 0.33% | 0.15% | |
| 113 |
| Ryan Blaum | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.29% ≈ 341/1 | 0.33% | 0.04% | |
| 114 |
| Shawn Stefani | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.33% | -0.03% | |
| 115 |
| Zack Sucher | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.33% | -0.03% | |
| 116 |
| Sangmoon Bae | 175 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 239/1 | 0.33% | -0.08% | |
| 117 |
| Wes Roach | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.33% | -0.15% | |
| 118 |
| Peter Uihlein | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.91% ≈ 109/1 | 0.33% | -0.57% | |
| 119 |
| Seamus Power | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.32% | -0.16% | |
| 120 |
| Chris Stroud | 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.3% | -0.18% | |
| 121 |
| John Senden | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 478/1 | 0.29% | 0.08% | |
| 122 |
| George McNeill | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 478/1 | 0.29% | 0.08% | |
| 123 |
| Alex Cejka | 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.36% ≈ 273/1 | 0.29% | -0.08% | |
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 29.6 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.7 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.2% | 21.5% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 7 @ 1/5 | 46.1% | 22.4% |
| 3 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 50.6% | 26.1% |
| 4 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 50.6% | 26.1% |
| 5 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 43% | 30.3% |
| 6 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.9% | 32.9% |
| 7 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.4% | 33.4% |
| 8 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.7% | 33.4% |
| 9 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.9% | 34.5% |
| 10 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.9% | 37.5% |
| 11 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.7% | 38.2% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.9% | 46.6% |