Betting Market Analysis for Puerto Rico Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 4 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 21/1 | 4.16% | -0.38% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 21/1 | 3.76% | -0.78% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 21/1 | 2.47% | -2.07% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 21/1 | 2.38% | -2.16% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 1.89% | -1.78% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 2.18% | -1.17% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 33/1 | 1.99% | -0.98% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 37/1 | 1.37% | -1.29% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 39/1 | 0.38% | -2.1% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 43/1 | 1.69% | -0.58% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 46/1 | 2.76% | 0.62% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 46/1 | 1.77% | -0.38% | |
| 13 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 52/1 | 0.94% | -0.94% | |
| 14 |
| Greyson Sigg | 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.88% ≈ 52/1 | 0.38% | -1.5% | |
| 15 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 4.97% | 3.46% | |
| 16 |
| Sam Ryder | 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 1.33% | -0.18% | |
| 17 |
| William Gordon | 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 1.18% | -0.33% | |
| 18 |
| Lee Hodges | 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 0.38% | -1.13% | |
| 19 |
| Davis Riley | 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.51% ≈ 65/1 | 0.38% | -1.13% | |
| 20 |
| Kramer Hickok | 55 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.38% ≈ 72/1 | 1.28% | -0.1% | |
| 21 |
| Vaughn Taylor | 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.38% ≈ 72/1 | 1.1% | -0.28% | |
| 22 |
| Roger Sloan | 55 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.38% ≈ 72/1 | 0.9% | -0.48% | |
| 23 |
| Cameron Percy | 60 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.26% ≈ 78/1 | 1.79% | 0.53% | |
| 24 |
| Bronson Burgoon | 60 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.26% ≈ 78/1 | 0.94% | -0.33% | |
| 25 |
| Stephan Jaeger | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 4.84% | 3.69% | |
| 26 |
| Joseph Bramlett | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 1.86% | 0.71% | |
| 27 |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 1.01% | -0.14% | |
| 28 |
| Brandon Hagy | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.98% | -0.17% | |
| 29 |
| Adam Schenk | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.82% | -0.34% | |
| 30 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.7% | -0.45% | |
| 31 |
| Josh Teater | 66 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.55% | -0.6% | |
| 32 |
| Anirban Lahiri | 70 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.09% ≈ 91/1 | 1.09% | 0.01% | |
| 33 |
| Scott Brown | 75 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.32% | 1.01% ≈ 98/1 | 1.1% | 0.09% | |
| 34 |
| Padraig Harrington | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 2.16% | 1.21% | |
| 35 |
| Beau Hossler | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 1.15% | 0.19% | |
| 36 |
| Brice Garnett | 80 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.96% | 0.01% | |
| 37 |
| Chase Seiffert | 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.77% | -0.19% | |
| 38 |
| Ted Potter-jr | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.67% | -0.28% | |
| 39 |
| Tim Wilkinson | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.49% | -0.47% | |
| 40 |
| Ben Martin | 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.39% | -0.56% | |
| 41 |
| Tom Kim | 80 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.39% | -0.56% | |
| 42 |
| Peter Uihlein | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 104/1 | 0.35% | -0.6% | |
| 43 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 117/1 | 1.27% | 0.42% | |
| 44 |
| Zhang Xinjun | 90 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 117/1 | 1.08% | 0.23% | |
| 45 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 100 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 130/1 | 0.65% | -0.12% | |
| 46 |
| David Hearn | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 162/1 | 0.8% | 0.19% | |
| 47 |
| Vincent Whaley | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 162/1 | 0.78% | 0.16% | |
| 48 |
| J.J Spaun | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 162/1 | 0.61% | 0% | |
| 49 |
| Paul Barjon | 125 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 162/1 | 0.38% | -0.23% | |
| 50 |
| Bill Haas | 140 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 182/1 | 0.69% | 0.14% | |
| 51 |
| Rhein Gibson | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.91% | 0.4% | |
| 52 |
| Mark Anderson | 150 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.59% | 0.08% | |
| 53 |
| Sebastian Cappelen | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.59% | 0.08% | |
| 54 |
| Matt Every | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.48% | -0.04% | |
| 55 |
| Grayson Murray | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.46% | -0.05% | |
| 56 |
| Roberto Castro | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.46% | -0.05% | |
| 57 |
| David Lingmerth | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.41% | -0.1% | |
| 58 |
| Wes Roach | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.35% | -0.16% | |
| 59 |
| Seamus Power | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 195/1 | 0.34% | -0.17% | |
| 60 |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 160 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 208/1 | 0.89% | 0.42% | |
| 61 |
| D.J. Trahan | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 227/1 | 1.03% | 0.59% | |
| 62 |
| Nick Watney | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 227/1 | 0.64% | 0.2% | |
| 63 |
| Rafael Campos | 175 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 227/1 | 0.44% | 0% | |
| 64 |
| Sangmoon Bae | 175 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 227/1 | 0.35% | -0.09% | |
| 65 |
| Fabian Gomez | 200 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.59% | 0.21% | |
| 66 |
| Ryan Brehm | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.52% | 0.14% | |
| 67 |
| Johnson Wagner | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.46% | 0.08% | |
| 68 |
| Benjamin Taylor | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.44% | 0.05% | |
| 69 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.4% | 0.02% | |
| 70 |
| Shawn Stefani | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.35% | -0.03% | |
| 71 |
| Zack Sucher | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 260/1 | 0.35% | -0.03% | |
| 72 |
| Chris Baker | 225 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.34% ≈ 292/1 | 0.45% | 0.11% | |
| 73 |
| Michael Gligic | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.95% | 0.64% | |
| 74 |
| Michael Gellerman | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.44% | 0.13% | |
| 75 |
| Andres Romero | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.37% | 0.06% | |
| 76 |
| Tommy Gainey | 250 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.36% | 0.05% | |
| 77 |
| Chris Couch | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.36% | 0.05% | |
| 78 |
| Bryson Nimmer | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.36% | 0.05% | |
| 79 |
| Carson Young | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.36% | 0.05% | |
| 80 |
| Ryan Blaum | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 324/1 | 0.35% | 0.04% | |
| 81 |
| Michael Kim | 275 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.64% | 0.36% | |
| 82 |
| Ricky Barnes | 300 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 389/1 | 0.97% | 0.72% | |
| 83 |
| Nelson Ledesma | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 389/1 | 0.53% | 0.27% | |
| 84 |
| Arjun Atwal | 300 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 389/1 | 0.36% | 0.1% | |
| 85 |
| Greg Chalmers | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 454/1 | 1.02% | 0.8% | |
| 86 |
| Martin Trainer | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 454/1 | 0.45% | 0.23% | |
| 87 |
| Carl Pettersson | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 454/1 | 0.41% | 0.19% | |
| 88 |
| John Senden | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 454/1 | 0.31% | 0.09% | |
| 89 |
| George McNeill | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 454/1 | 0.3% | 0.08% | |
| 90 |
| Hunter Mahan | 400 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 519/1 | 0.64% | 0.45% | |
| 91 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 519/1 | 0.5% | 0.31% | |
| 92 |
| Derek Ernst | 400 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 519/1 | 0.38% | 0.19% | |
| 93 |
| Smylie Kaufman | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 519/1 | 0.36% | 0.17% | |
| 94 |
| Dominic Bozzelli | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 519/1 | 0.35% | 0.16% | |
| 95 |
| Parker McLachlin | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.42% | 0.27% | |
| 96 |
| Jason Bohn | 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.41% | 0.26% | |
| 97 |
| Daniel Chopra | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.41% | 0.26% | |
| 98 |
| Stephen Stallings Jr | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.41% | 0.26% | |
| 99 |
| Robert Garrigus | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.36% | 0.21% | |
| 100 |
| Will Mackenzie | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.36% | 0.2% | |
| 101 |
| Heath Slocum | 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.36% | 0.2% | |
| 102 |
| Charlie Beljan | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.36% | 0.2% | |
| 103 |
| William Cannon | 500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 649/1 | 0.36% | 0.2% | |
| 104 |
| John Merrick | 600 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 778/1 | 0.41% | 0.28% | |
| 105 |
| Mark Hensby | 600 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 778/1 | 0.36% | 0.23% | |
| 106 |
| Marcelo Rozo | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 973/1 | 0.36% | 0.26% | |
| 107 |
| Brendon de Jonge | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.41% | 0.33% | |
| 108 |
| John Rollins | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.41% | 0.33% | |
| 109 |
| Eric Axley | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.41% | 0.33% | |
| 110 |
| Sebastian Saavedra | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.41% | 0.33% | |
| 111 |
| Ted Purdy | 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.41% | 0.33% | |
| 112 |
| Dicky Pride | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.36% | 0.28% | |
| 113 |
| Ian Holt | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.36% | 0.28% | |
| 114 |
| Omar Uresti | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.36% | 0.28% | |
| 115 |
| Edward Figueroa | 1000 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.36% | 0.28% | |
| 116 |
| Chris Nido | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1297/1 | 0.36% | 0.28% | |
| 117 |
| Carlos Franco | 1500 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 1945/1 | 0.41% | 0.36% | |
| 118 |
| Robert Allenby | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 119 |
| D.A. Points | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 120 |
| J.J. Henry | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 121 |
| Richard S. Johnson | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 122 |
| Guillermo Pereira | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 123 |
| Oliver Suhr | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 124 |
| Dylan Meyer | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 125 |
| Frank Lickliter-II | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 126 |
| Jonathan Kaye | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 127 |
| Dalton Ward | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 128 |
| Donnie Trosper | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 129 |
| Tyler Collet | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 130 |
| Marcos Montenegro | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 131 |
| Roberto Nieves | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 132 |
| Zach Smith | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 29.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.2 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.2% | 21.5% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 7 @ 1/5 | 46.1% | 22.4% |
| 3 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 50.6% | 26.1% |
| 4 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 50.6% | 26.1% |
| 5 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 43% | 30.3% |
| 6 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.9% | 32.9% |
| 7 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.4% | 33.4% |
| 8 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.7% | 33.4% |
| 9 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.9% | 34.5% |
| 10 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.9% | 37.5% |
| 11 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.7% | 38.2% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.9% | 46.6% |