Oman Open 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Oman Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Oman Open 2020 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Thomas Pieters favourite for the Oman Open at 11/1. That is an implied 8.3% before the margin comes out, and 6.1% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Martin Kaymer next in at 16/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 20.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 80.0% spread across the other 131 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 99 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 33.6%, or 12.7% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Sportingbet at 21.7% (6 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -12 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Oman Open 2020 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thomas Pieters
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 6.1% | 82nd |
| 2 |
Martin Kaymer
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 10th |
| 3 |
Thomas Detry
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.5% | 36th |
| 4 |
Joost Luiten
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.2% | 10th |
| 5 |
Adria Arnaus
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 123rd |
| 6 |
Gavin Green
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.5% | 18th |
| 7 |
Minwoo Lee
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 142nd |
| 8 |
Hao Tong Li
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 18th |
| 9 |
Paul Waring
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 25th |
| 10 |
Ross Fisher
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 10th |
| 11 |
Andy Sullivan
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 77th |
| 12 |
Benjamin Hebert
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 43rd |
| 13 |
Jordan L Smith
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 6th |
| 14 |
Victor Dubuisson
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 43rd |
| 15 |
George Coetzee
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 6th |
| 16 |
Jason Scrivener
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 84th |
| 17 |
Dean Burmester
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 67th |
| 18 |
Shaun Norris
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 18th |
| 19 |
Romain Langasque
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 106th |
| 20 |
Scott Jamieson
|
66/1 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 81st |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Oman Open 2020 finished
Sami Valimaki won the Oman Open, having started the week at 250/1 - an implied 0.4% chance. The favourite, Thomas Pieters, finished 82nd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sami Valimaki
|
250/1 | 0.4% |
| 2 |
Brandon Stone
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 3 |
Adrien Saddier
|
200/1 | 0.5% |
| 4 |
Mikko Korhonen
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 4 |
Guido Migliozzi
|
100/1 | 1.0% |
| 6 |
George Coetzee
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 6 |
Alejandro Canizares
|
175/1 | 0.6% |
| 6 |
Jordan L Smith
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 6 |
Rasmus Hojgaard
|
- | - |
| 10 |
Martin Kaymer
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 10 |
Joost Luiten
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 10 |
Ross Fisher
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 10 |
Lorenzo Gagli
|
250/1 | 0.4% |
| 10 |
Clement Sordet
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 10 |
Grant Forrest
|
100/1 | 1.0% |
Our model's numbers for the Oman Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportingbet | 6 @ 1/4 | 51.4% | 21.7% |
| 2 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 68.1% | 30.1% |
| 3 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.5% | 31% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.1% | 32% |
| 5 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 58.3% | 32.5% |
| 6 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.9% | 32.9% |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.9% | 33.6% |
| 8 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 61.7% | 35.3% |
| 9 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.4% | 36.1% |
| 10 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.9% | 36.6% |
| 11 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 63.6% | 36.9% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.2% | 37.7% |
| 13 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.3% | 38.4% |
| 14 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.4% | 42.5% |
| 15 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 43.6% |
| 16 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 43.7% |
| 17 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 61.9% | 44.3% |
| 18 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 61.9% | 44.3% |
Oman Open 2020 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Oman Open 2020?
Thomas Pieters was the outright favourite at 11/1, which is an implied chance of 8.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 6.1% after. Martin Kaymer was next in the market at 16/1.
Who won the Oman Open 2020?
Sami Valimaki won the Oman Open 2020, starting the week at 250/1.
When was the Oman Open 2020 played?
The Oman Open started on Thursday 27 February 2020 and finished on Sunday 1 March 2020. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the Oman Open field?
145 players were in the field, 136 of them priced by the bookmakers. 99 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Oman Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 33.6%, against 21.7% at Sportingbet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Oman Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Oman Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
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