Betting Market Analysis for Barracuda Championship
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 5 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 4.92% | 1.52% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 3.18% | -0.22% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 1.29% | -2.11% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 1.05% | -2.36% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 1.93% | -1.08% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 2.45% | -0.25% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 2.58% | 0.27% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 2.19% | -0.11% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 1.46% | -0.85% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 1.05% | -1.25% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 45/1 | 1.91% | -0.27% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 51/1 | 1.39% | -0.52% | |
| 13 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 51/1 | 1.29% | -0.62% | |
| 14 |
| Cameron Davis | 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.91% ≈ 51/1 | 1.15% | -0.77% | |
| 15 |
| Martin Kaymer | 40 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.91% ≈ 51/1 | 0.99% | -0.92% | |
| 16 |
| Siwoo Kim | 45 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.7% ≈ 58/1 | 1.79% | 0.09% | |
| 17 |
| Branden Grace | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.7% ≈ 58/1 | 0.62% | -1.09% | |
| 18 |
| William Gordon | 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 2.51% | 0.98% | |
| 19 |
| Scott Stallings | 50 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.5% | -0.03% | |
| 20 |
| Troy Merritt | 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.33% | -0.2% | |
| 21 |
| Pat Perez | 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.21% | -0.32% | |
| 22 |
| Kyle Stanley | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.02% | -0.51% | |
| 23 |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 0.59% | -0.94% | |
| 24 |
| Maverick McNealy | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.4% ≈ 70/1 | 3.32% | 1.92% | |
| 25 |
| Adam Schenk | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.4% ≈ 70/1 | 1.55% | 0.16% | |
| 26 |
| Ryan Armour | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 1.71% | 0.54% | |
| 27 |
| Sam Ryder | 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 1.54% | 0.37% | |
| 28 |
| Charley Hoffman | 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 1.44% | 0.27% | |
| 29 |
| Wyndham Clark | 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.82% | -0.35% | |
| 30 |
| Ben Martin | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.72% | -0.45% | |
| 31 |
| Nick Watney | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.66% | -0.51% | |
| 32 |
| Aaron Wise | 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.58% | -0.58% | |
| 33 |
| Bronson Burgoon | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.52% | -0.65% | |
| 34 |
| Brian Stuard | 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.33% | 0.22% | |
| 35 |
| Denny McCarthy | 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.01% | -0.09% | |
| 36 |
| Kyounghoon Lee | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 1.25% | 0.28% | |
| 37 |
| Chase Seiffert | 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 1.04% | 0.08% | |
| 38 |
| Chesson Hadley | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.91% | -0.06% | |
| 39 |
| Robby Shelton | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.89% | -0.07% | |
| 40 |
| Brandon Hagy | 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.61% | -0.36% | |
| 41 |
| Russell Knox | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.46% | -0.5% | |
| 42 |
| Matthew NeSmith | 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 115/1 | 1.4% | 0.54% | |
| 43 |
| Joseph Bramlett | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 115/1 | 1.23% | 0.37% | |
| 44 |
| Peter Uihlein | 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 115/1 | 1.17% | 0.31% | |
| 45 |
| Austin Cook | 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 115/1 | 1% | 0.14% | |
| 46 |
| Chris Stroud | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 128/1 | 0.86% | 0.09% | |
| 47 |
| Wes Roach | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 128/1 | 0.52% | -0.25% | |
| 48 |
| Bo Hoag | 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 128/1 | 0.52% | -0.26% | |
| 49 |
| Seamus Power | 110 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 141/1 | 1.03% | 0.32% | |
| 50 |
| Chris Baker | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 141/1 | 0.84% | 0.13% | |
| 51 |
| Doug Ghim | 110 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 141/1 | 0.68% | -0.03% | |
| 52 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.95% | 0.33% | |
| 53 |
| Josh Teater | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.76% | 0.14% | |
| 54 |
| Brandon Harkins | 125 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.27% | -0.35% | |
| 55 |
| MJ Daffue | 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 1.08% | 0.56% | |
| 56 |
| J.J Spaun | 150 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.83% | 0.31% | |
| 57 |
| Beau Hossler | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.63% | 0.12% | |
| 58 |
| Hank Lebioda | 150 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.57% | 0.05% | |
| 59 |
| Zac Blair | 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.54% | 0.02% | |
| 60 |
| Fabian Gomez | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.43% | -0.08% | |
| 61 |
| Tim Wilkinson | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.64% | 0.15% | |
| 62 |
| Bill Haas | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 224/1 | 0.82% | 0.37% | |
| 63 |
| Peter Malnati | 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 224/1 | 0.75% | 0.3% | |
| 64 |
| George McNeill | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 224/1 | 0.62% | 0.17% | |
| 65 |
| Roger Sloan | 175 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 224/1 | 0.46% | 0.02% | |
| 66 |
| Sahith Theegala | 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 224/1 | 0.28% | -0.16% | |
| 67 |
| Brian Gay | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.63% | 0.24% | |
| 68 |
| Zack Sucher | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.59% | 0.2% | |
| 69 |
| Robert Streb | 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.53% | 0.14% | |
| 70 |
| Kramer Hickok | 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.52% | 0.13% | |
| 71 |
| Alex Cejka | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.52% | 0.13% | |
| 72 |
| Mark Anderson | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.51% | 0.12% | |
| 73 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.45% | 0.06% | |
| 74 |
| Kevin Tway | 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.43% | 0.04% | |
| 75 |
| Johnson Wagner | 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.26% | -0.13% | |
| 76 |
| Sam Saunders | 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.25% | -0.14% | |
| 77 |
| Shawn Stefani | 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.7% | 0.38% | |
| 78 |
| Vincent Whaley | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.66% | 0.35% | |
| 79 |
| Rhein Gibson | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.62% | 0.31% | |
| 80 |
| Michael Gligic | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.56% | 0.25% | |
| 81 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.5% | 0.19% | |
| 82 |
| Roberto Castro | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.5% | 0.19% | |
| 83 |
| Ted Potter-jr | 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.49% | 0.17% | |
| 84 |
| Michael Gellerman | 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.33% | 0.02% | |
| 85 |
| Cameron Percy | 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 319/1 | 0.24% | -0.07% | |
| 86 |
| Arjun Atwal | 275 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 351/1 | 0.45% | 0.17% | |
| 87 |
| David Hearn | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.41% | 0.15% | |
| 88 |
| Robert Garrigus | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.3% | 0.04% | |
| 89 |
| Ryan Blaum | 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.28% | 0.02% | |
| 90 |
| D.J. Trahan | 300 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.27% | 0.01% | |
| 91 |
| Ricky Barnes | 300 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.26% | 0% | |
| 92 |
| Ryan Brehm | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 383/1 | 0.26% | 0% | |
| 93 |
| Tyler McCumber | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 447/1 | 0.58% | 0.36% | |
| 94 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 447/1 | 0.41% | 0.19% | |
| 95 |
| Matt Every | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 447/1 | 0.31% | 0.09% | |
| 96 |
| Sangmoon Bae | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 447/1 | 0.28% | 0.06% | |
| 97 |
| Dominic Bozzelli | 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 447/1 | 0.26% | 0.04% | |
| 98 |
| Chad Campbell | 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.31% | 0.11% | |
| 99 |
| Freddie Jacobson | 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.29% | 0.1% | |
| 100 |
| Greg Chalmers | 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.29% | 0.09% | |
| 101 |
| John Merrick | 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.28% | 0.08% | |
| 102 |
| David Lingmerth | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.27% | 0.08% | |
| 103 |
| Sebastian Cappelen | 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.27% | 0.08% | |
| 104 |
| Benjamin Taylor | 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 511/1 | 0.26% | 0.07% | |
| 105 |
| Hunter Mahan | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 639/1 | 0.32% | 0.16% | |
| 106 |
| Brendon de Jonge | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 639/1 | 0.28% | 0.12% | |
| 107 |
| Jason Gore | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 639/1 | 0.27% | 0.12% | |
| 108 |
| Gregor Main | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 639/1 | 0.27% | 0.12% | |
| 109 |
| Nelson Ledesma | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 639/1 | 0.26% | 0.11% | |
| 110 |
| Charlie Wi | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 766/1 | 0.27% | 0.14% | |
| 111 |
| John Senden | 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 958/1 | 0.37% | 0.26% | |
| 112 |
| Peter Kuest | 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 958/1 | 0.31% | 0.2% | |
| 113 |
| Michael Kim | 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 958/1 | 0.29% | 0.19% | |
| 114 |
| Daniel Chopra | 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 958/1 | 0.28% | 0.17% | |
| 115 |
| Parker McLachlin | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 958/1 | 0.28% | 0.17% | |
| 116 |
| Dylan Meyer | 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 958/1 | 0.27% | 0.17% | |
| 117 |
| Martin Trainer | 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.53% | 0.46% | |
| 118 |
| Jason Bohn | 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.29% | 0.21% | |
| 119 |
| Charlie Beljan | 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.29% | 0.21% | |
| 120 |
| John Rollins | 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.29% | 0.21% | |
| 121 |
| Ted Purdy | 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.28% | 0.2% | |
| 122 |
| Dicky Pride | 1000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.27% | 0.19% | |
| 123 |
| David Berganio-Jr | 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 | 0.27% | 0.19% | |
| 124 |
| Shaun Micheel | 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1596/1 | 0.27% | 0.21% | |
| 125 |
| Brian Davis | 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1596/1 | 0% | -0.06% | |
| 126 |
| Omar Uresti | 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.05% | 0.04% ≈ 2554/1 | 0% | -0.04% | |
| 127 |
| Eric Axley | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 128 |
| Oliver Suhr | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 129 |
| Jonathan Kaye | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 130 |
| Derek Bayley | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 131 |
| Tyler Weworski | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 27.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 49.3% | 24.9% |
| 2 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 49.3% | 24.9% |
| 3 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 41.6% | 26.2% |
| 4 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 51.4% | 26.6% |
| 5 | Bet Victor | 5 @ 1/4 | 44% | 28.3% |
| 6 | Sportingbet | 5 @ 1/4 | 45.3% | 29.5% |
| 7 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 42.5% | 29.8% |
| 8 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 44.3% | 31.5% |
| 9 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.5% | 32.4% |
| 10 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.5% | 32.4% |
| 11 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.5% | 32.4% |
| 12 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.5% | 32.4% |
| 13 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 58.8% | 32.8% |
| 14 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.2% | 35.9% |
| 15 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.2% | 35.9% |
| 16 | GentingBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.2% | 39.2% |
| 17 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.2% | 42.3% |
| 18 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 59.2% | 45.1% |