Betting Market Analysis for Barracuda Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 4.92% 1.52%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 70/1 3.32% 1.92%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 3.18% -0.22%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.58% 0.27%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 2.51% 0.98%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.45% -0.25%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.19% -0.11%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.93% -1.08%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.91% -0.27%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 58/1 1.79% 0.09%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 85/1 1.71% 0.54%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 70/1 1.55% 0.16%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 85/1 1.54% 0.37%
14 USA Scott Stallings 50 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.5% -0.03%
15 ARG Emiliano Grillo 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% ≈ 42/1 1.46% -0.85%
16 USA Charley Hoffman 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 1.44% 0.27%
17 USA Matthew NeSmith 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.4% 0.54%
18 USA Bud Cauley 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% ≈ 51/1 1.39% -0.52%
19 USA Troy Merritt 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.33% -0.2%
20 USA Brian Stuard 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.33% 0.22%
21 SWE Alexander Noren 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.41% ≈ 28/1 1.29% -2.11%
22 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% ≈ 51/1 1.29% -0.62%
23 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.25% 0.28%
24 USA Joseph Bramlett 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.23% 0.37%
25 USA Pat Perez 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.21% -0.32%
26 USA Peter Uihlein 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.17% 0.31%
27 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% ≈ 51/1 1.15% -0.77%
28 RSA MJ Daffue 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 1.08% 0.56%
29 USA Kurt Kitayama 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% ≈ 42/1 1.05% -1.25%
30 USA Ryan Moore 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.41% ≈ 28/1 1.05% -2.36%
31 USA Chase Seiffert 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.04% 0.08%
32 IRL Seamus Power 110 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 141/1 1.03% 0.32%
33 USA Kyle Stanley 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.02% -0.51%
34 USA Denny McCarthy 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.01% -0.09%
35 USA Austin Cook 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1% 0.14%
36 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.91% ≈ 51/1 0.99% -0.92%
37 AUS Aaron Baddeley 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.95% 0.33%
38 USA Chesson Hadley 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.91% -0.06%
39 USA Robby Shelton 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.89% -0.07%
40 USA Chris Stroud 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.86% 0.09%
41 USA Chris Baker 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 141/1 0.84% 0.13%
42 USA J.J Spaun 150 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.83% 0.31%
43 USA Bill Haas 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 224/1 0.82% 0.37%
44 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 0.82% -0.35%
45 USA Josh Teater 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.76% 0.14%
46 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 224/1 0.75% 0.3%
47 USA Ben Martin 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 0.72% -0.45%
48 USA Shawn Stefani 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.7% 0.38%
49 USA Doug Ghim 110 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 141/1 0.68% -0.03%
50 USA Nick Watney 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 0.66% -0.51%
51 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.66% 0.35%
52 NZL Tim Wilkinson 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 205/1 0.64% 0.15%
53 USA Brian Gay 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.63% 0.24%
54 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.63% 0.12%
55 USA George McNeill 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 224/1 0.62% 0.17%
56 AUS Rhein Gibson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.62% 0.31%
57 RSA Branden Grace 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 0.62% -1.09%
58 USA Brandon Hagy 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.61% -0.36%
59 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 0.59% -0.94%
60 USA Zack Sucher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.59% 0.2%
61 USA Aaron Wise 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 0.58% -0.58%
62 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 447/1 0.58% 0.36%
63 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.57% 0.05%
64 CAN Michael Gligic 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.56% 0.25%
65 USA Zac Blair 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.54% 0.02%
66 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.53% 0.46%
67 USA Robert Streb 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.53% 0.14%
68 USA Wes Roach 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.52% -0.25%
69 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.52% 0.13%
70 USA Bronson Burgoon 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 0.52% -0.65%
71 GER Alex Cejka 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.52% 0.13%
72 USA Bo Hoag 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.52% -0.26%
73 USA Mark Anderson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.51% 0.12%
74 USA Rob Oppenheim 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.5% 0.19%
75 USA Roberto Castro 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.5% 0.19%
76 USA Ted Potter-jr 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.49% 0.17%
77 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.46% -0.5%
78 CAN Roger Sloan 175 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 224/1 0.46% 0.02%
79 IND Arjun Atwal 275 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.45% 0.17%
80 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.45% 0.06%
81 ARG Fabian Gomez 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.43% -0.08%
82 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.43% 0.04%
83 USA Bo Van Pelt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 447/1 0.41% 0.19%
84 CAN David Hearn 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.41% 0.15%
85 AUS John Senden 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 958/1 0.37% 0.26%
86 USA Michael Gellerman 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.33% 0.02%
87 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 639/1 0.32% 0.16%
88 USA Matt Every 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 447/1 0.31% 0.09%
89 USA Chad Campbell 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.31% 0.11%
90 USA Peter Kuest 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 958/1 0.31% 0.2%
91 USA Robert Garrigus 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.3% 0.04%
92 USA Michael Kim 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 958/1 0.29% 0.19%
93 USA Jason Bohn 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.29% 0.21%
94 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.29% 0.21%
95 USA John Rollins 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.29% 0.21%
96 SWE Freddie Jacobson 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.29% 0.1%
97 AUS Greg Chalmers 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.29% 0.09%
98 USA Sahith Theegala 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 224/1 0.28% -0.16%
99 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.28% 0.02%
100 USA Ted Purdy 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.28% 0.2%
101 SWE Daniel Chopra 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 958/1 0.28% 0.17%
102 USA Parker McLachlin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 958/1 0.28% 0.17%
103 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 639/1 0.28% 0.12%
104 USA John Merrick 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.28% 0.08%
105 KOR Sangmoon Bae 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 447/1 0.28% 0.06%
106 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.27% 0.08%
107 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.27% 0.08%
108 USA D.J. Trahan 300 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.27% 0.01%
109 USA Shaun Micheel 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1596/1 0.27% 0.21%
110 USA Dicky Pride 1000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.27% 0.19%
111 USA David Berganio-Jr 1000 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1277/1 0.27% 0.19%
112 USA Dylan Meyer 750 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 958/1 0.27% 0.17%
113 KOR Charlie Wi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 766/1 0.27% 0.14%
114 USA Jason Gore 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 639/1 0.27% 0.12%
115 USA Gregor Main 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 639/1 0.27% 0.12%
116 USA Brandon Harkins 125 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.27% -0.35%
117 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 639/1 0.26% 0.11%
118 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 511/1 0.26% 0.07%
119 USA Dominic Bozzelli 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 447/1 0.26% 0.04%
120 USA Ricky Barnes 300 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.26% 0%
121 USA Ryan Brehm 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.26% 0%
122 USA Johnson Wagner 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.26% -0.13%
123 USA Sam Saunders 200 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 256/1 0.25% -0.14%
124 AUS Cameron Percy 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.24% -0.07%
125 USA Eric Axley 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
126 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
127 USA Jonathan Kaye 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 USA Derek Bayley 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
129 USA Tyler Weworski 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
130 USA Omar Uresti 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2554/1 0% -0.04%
131 ENG Brian Davis 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1596/1 0% -0.06%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 24.9%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 24.9%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 26.2%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.4% 26.6%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.3%
6 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 29.5%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 29.8%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.3% 31.5%
9 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 58.8% 32.8%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 35.9%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 35.9%
16 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.3%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.2% 45.1%