Puerto Rico Open 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Puerto Rico Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Puerto Rico Open 2020 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Viktor Hovland favourite for the Puerto Rico Open at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 6.1% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Alexander Noren next in at 18/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 19.7% of the win chance between them, which leaves 80.3% spread across the other 107 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 73 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 25.4%, or 11.3% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Skybet at 22.2% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -3.2 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Puerto Rico Open 2020 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viktor Hovland
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1st |
| 2 |
Alexander Noren
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.2% | 72nd |
| 3 |
Cameron Davis
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.4% | 27th |
| 4 |
Scott Brown
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 67th |
| 5 |
Tom Lewis
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 114th |
| 6 |
Patrick Rodgers
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 35th |
| 7 |
Maverick McNealy
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 27th |
| 8 |
Matthew NeSmith
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 6th |
| 9 |
Chesson Hadley
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 113th |
| 10 |
Emiliano Grillo
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3rd |
| 11 |
Jhonattan Vegas
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 9th |
| 12 |
Henrik Norlander
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 44th |
| 13 |
Adam Schenk
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 14th |
| 14 |
Beau Hossler
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 35th |
| 15 |
Ben Martin
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 14th |
| 16 |
Martin Laird
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 6th |
| 17 |
Peter Uihlein
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 44th |
| 18 |
Grayson Murray
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 75th |
| 19 |
Zac Blair
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 82nd |
| 20 |
Tyler McCumber
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 20th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Puerto Rico Open 2020 finished
Viktor Hovland won the Puerto Rico Open, having started the week at 12/1 - an implied 7.7% chance. The favourite delivered, which happens far less often than most punters assume - see how often do favourites win golf events.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viktor Hovland
|
12/1 | 7.7% |
| 2 |
Josh Teater
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 3 |
Emiliano Grillo
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 3 |
Kyle Stanley
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 3 |
Sam Ryder
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 6 |
Martin Laird
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 6 |
Ted Potter-jr
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 6 |
Matthew NeSmith
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 9 |
Jhonattan Vegas
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 9 |
Wes Roach
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 9 |
Rob Oppenheim
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 9 |
Joseph Bramlett
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 9 |
Vincent Whaley
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
Our model's numbers for the Puerto Rico Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 37.1% | 22.2% |
| 2 | Coral | 5 @ 1/4 | 41.3% | 26% |
| 3 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.6% | 27.2% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 46% | 30.2% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 68.4% | 30.4% |
| 6 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 7 | MoPlay | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 8 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.3% | 33.1% |
| 10 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.7% | 33.6% |
| 11 | Sportingbet | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.3% | 34.9% |
| 12 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.1% | 35% |
| 13 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.5% | 36.1% |
| 14 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.5% | 37.1% |
| 15 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 65.5% | 38.6% |
| 16 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 56% | 39.1% |
| 17 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 54% | 40.4% |
| 18 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 54% | 40.4% |
| 19 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.4% | 51.5% |
Puerto Rico Open 2020 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Puerto Rico Open 2020?
Viktor Hovland was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 6.1% after. Alexander Noren was next in the market at 18/1.
Who won the Puerto Rico Open 2020?
Viktor Hovland won the Puerto Rico Open 2020, starting the week at 12/1.
When was the Puerto Rico Open 2020 played?
The Puerto Rico Open started on Thursday 20 February 2020 and finished on Sunday 23 February 2020. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Puerto Rico Open field?
120 players were in the field, 112 of them priced by the bookmakers. 73 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Puerto Rico Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 25.4%, against 22.2% at Skybet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Puerto Rico Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Puerto Rico Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
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