Betting Market Analysis for Puerto Rico Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 5 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 15/1 | 3% | -3.07% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 1.6% | -2.55% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 1.6% | -1.83% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 2.87% | -0.17% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 2.27% | -0.76% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 2.06% | -0.97% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 2.02% | -1.02% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 2.66% | -0.06% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 38/1 | 0.99% | -1.56% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 1.7% | -0.62% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 42/1 | 1.4% | -0.92% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 51/1 | 1.47% | -0.45% | |
| 13 |
| Henrik Norlander | 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.92% ≈ 51/1 | 1.25% | -0.67% | |
| 14 |
| Beau Hossler | 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.92% ≈ 51/1 | 1.12% | -0.8% | |
| 15 |
| Ben Martin | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.55% ≈ 64/1 | 1.22% | -0.33% | |
| 16 |
| Grayson Murray | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.55% ≈ 64/1 | 0.99% | -0.56% | |
| 17 |
| Martin Laird | 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.55% ≈ 64/1 | 0.71% | -0.83% | |
| 18 |
| Peter Uihlein | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.55% ≈ 64/1 | 0.62% | -0.92% | |
| 19 |
| Zac Blair | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.41% ≈ 70/1 | 1.19% | -0.22% | |
| 20 |
| Tyler McCumber | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.41% ≈ 70/1 | 1.06% | -0.35% | |
| 21 |
| Zhang Xinjun | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.29% ≈ 76/1 | 2.15% | 0.86% | |
| 22 |
| Kyounghoon Lee | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.29% ≈ 76/1 | 1.52% | 0.23% | |
| 23 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.29% ≈ 76/1 | 1.11% | -0.19% | |
| 24 |
| Joseph Bramlett | 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.18% ≈ 84/1 | 1.23% | 0.05% | |
| 25 |
| Kyle Stanley | 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.18% ≈ 84/1 | 0.77% | -0.4% | |
| 26 |
| Davis Thompson | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 1.83% | 0.72% | |
| 27 |
| Cameron Percy | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 1.58% | 0.47% | |
| 28 |
| Tim Wilkinson | 70 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 1.29% | 0.18% | |
| 29 |
| D.J. Trahan | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 1.01% | -0.1% | |
| 30 |
| Brice Garnett | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 0.98% | -0.13% | |
| 31 |
| David Hearn | 70 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 0.93% | -0.18% | |
| 32 |
| Chase Seiffert | 70 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 0.68% | -0.43% | |
| 33 |
| Shawn Stefani | 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.11% ≈ 89/1 | 0.5% | -0.61% | |
| 34 |
| Andrea Pavan | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 2.26% | 1.29% | |
| 35 |
| Sam Ryder | 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 1.14% | 0.17% | |
| 36 |
| Sebastian Cappelen | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.97% | -0.01% | |
| 37 |
| Brandon Hagy | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.8% | -0.17% | |
| 38 |
| Fabian Gomez | 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.97% ≈ 102/1 | 0.54% | -0.44% | |
| 39 |
| Seamus Power | 90 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.54% | -0.32% | |
| 40 |
| Richy Werenski | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 1.82% | 1.04% | |
| 41 |
| William Gordon | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 1.42% | 0.64% | |
| 42 |
| Mark Anderson | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 1.03% | 0.25% | |
| 43 |
| Roger Sloan | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 0.66% | -0.12% | |
| 44 |
| Robert Streb | 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 0.65% | -0.13% | |
| 45 |
| Alex Cejka | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 0.51% | -0.27% | |
| 46 |
| Bo Hoag | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 2.03% | 1.32% | |
| 47 |
| Robby Shelton | 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 1.2% | 0.48% | |
| 48 |
| Hank Lebioda | 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 1.14% | 0.43% | |
| 49 |
| Austin Cook | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 1.01% | 0.3% | |
| 50 |
| Lucas Bjerregaard | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.71% ≈ 140/1 | 0.71% | 0% | |
| 51 |
| Ted Potter-jr | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 1.83% | 1.2% | |
| 52 |
| Yuan Carl Yechun | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 1.82% | 1.2% | |
| 53 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 1.6% | 0.98% | |
| 54 |
| Kramer Hickok | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 0.65% | 0.02% | |
| 55 |
| Wes Roach | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 0.62% | -0.01% | |
| 56 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 0.39% | -0.23% | |
| 57 |
| Johnson Wagner | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 0.39% | -0.23% | |
| 58 |
| Anirban Lahiri | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 0.36% | -0.27% | |
| 59 |
| Sam Saunders | 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.63% ≈ 159/1 | 0.35% | -0.28% | |
| 60 |
| Andres Romero | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.9% | 0.37% | |
| 61 |
| Michael Gligic | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.69% | 0.16% | |
| 62 |
| Vincent Whaley | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.67% | 0.15% | |
| 63 |
| Martin Trainer | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.66% | 0.14% | |
| 64 |
| Dominic Bozzelli | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.66% | 0.14% | |
| 65 |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.62% | 0.1% | |
| 66 |
| Chris Baker | 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.58% | 0.06% | |
| 67 |
| Ryan Brehm | 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.56% | 0.04% | |
| 68 |
| Doug Ghim | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.51% | -0.01% | |
| 69 |
| Josh Teater | 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.43% | -0.09% | |
| 70 |
| Bill Haas | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.34% | -0.18% | |
| 71 |
| Julian Etulain | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 190/1 | 0.32% | -0.21% | |
| 72 |
| Roberto Castro | 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.49% ≈ 203/1 | 0.39% | -0.1% | |
| 73 |
| George McNeill | 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 222/1 | 0.72% | 0.28% | |
| 74 |
| Sangmoon Bae | 175 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.45% ≈ 222/1 | 0.48% | 0.03% | |
| 75 |
| Chad Campbell | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 254/1 | 1.75% | 1.36% | |
| 76 |
| Zack Sucher | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 254/1 | 1.27% | 0.88% | |
| 77 |
| Benjamin Taylor | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 254/1 | 0.5% | 0.11% | |
| 78 |
| Rhein Gibson | 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 254/1 | 0.48% | 0.08% | |
| 79 |
| Robert Garrigus | 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 254/1 | 0.39% | 0% | |
| 80 |
| David Lingmerth | 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.39% | 0.04% | |
| 81 |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 317/1 | 1.14% | 0.83% | |
| 82 |
| Ricky Barnes | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 317/1 | 0.63% | 0.31% | |
| 83 |
| J.J. Henry | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 317/1 | 0.39% | 0.08% | |
| 84 |
| Chandler Phillips | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 317/1 | 0.33% | 0.02% | |
| 85 |
| Michael Gellerman | 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 381/1 | 0.82% | 0.55% | |
| 86 |
| John Merrick | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 444/1 | 0.51% | 0.29% | |
| 87 |
| D.A. Points | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 444/1 | 0.33% | 0.1% | |
| 88 |
| Andrew Loupe | 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 444/1 | 0.32% | 0.09% | |
| 89 |
| Nelson Ledesma | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 507/1 | 0.35% | 0.16% | |
| 90 |
| MJ Daffue | 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 507/1 | 0.32% | 0.12% | |
| 91 |
| Chris Couch | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.2% ≈ 507/1 | 0.32% | 0.12% | |
| 92 |
| Derek Ernst | 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 634/1 | 0.47% | 0.31% | |
| 93 |
| Smylie Kaufman | 500 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 634/1 | 0.45% | 0.3% | |
| 94 |
| Arjun Atwal | 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 634/1 | 0.39% | 0.24% | |
| 95 |
| Justin Doeden | 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 634/1 | 0.32% | 0.16% | |
| 96 |
| Freddie Jacobson | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 634/1 | 0.31% | 0.15% | |
| 97 |
| John Senden | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 634/1 | 0.29% | 0.13% | |
| 98 |
| Parker McLachlin | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 761/1 | 0.39% | 0.26% | |
| 99 |
| Charlie Beljan | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.11% ≈ 951/1 | 0.3% | 0.19% | |
| 100 |
| Robert Allenby | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.46% | 0.38% | |
| 101 |
| John Rollins | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.45% | 0.37% | |
| 102 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.39% | 0.31% | |
| 103 |
| Alexander Beach | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.38% | 0.3% | |
| 104 |
| Brendon de Jonge | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.33% | 0.25% | |
| 105 |
| Domenico Geminiani | 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.32% | 0.24% | |
| 106 |
| Daniel Chopra | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.31% | 0.24% | |
| 107 |
| Ted Purdy | 1000 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1268/1 | 0.3% | 0.22% | |
| 108 |
| Omar Uresti | 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.08% | 0.06% ≈ 1585/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 109 |
| Jay McLuen | 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 1902/1 | 0.32% | 0.26% | |
| 110 |
| Edward Figueroa | 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 1902/1 | 0.32% | 0.26% | |
| 111 |
| Brian Davis | 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 1902/1 | 0.3% | 0.25% | |
| 112 |
| Carlos Franco | 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3170/1 | 0.3% | 0.27% | |
| 113 |
| Jason Bohn | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 114 |
| Shane Bertsch | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 115 |
| Nick Gillespie | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 116 |
| Oliver Suhr | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 117 |
| Chris Nido | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 118 |
| Parker Gillam | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 119 |
| Bryson Nimmer | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 120 |
| Hiram Silfa | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 25.4 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 37.1% | 22.2% |
| 2 | Coral | 5 @ 1/4 | 41.3% | 26% |
| 3 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.6% | 27.2% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 46% | 30.2% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 68.4% | 30.4% |
| 6 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 7 | MoPlay | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 8 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.1% | 31.1% |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.3% | 33.1% |
| 10 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.7% | 33.6% |
| 11 | Sportingbet | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.3% | 34.9% |
| 12 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.1% | 35% |
| 13 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 62.5% | 36.1% |
| 14 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.5% | 37.1% |
| 15 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 65.5% | 38.6% |
| 16 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 56% | 39.1% |
| 17 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 54% | 40.4% |
| 18 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 54% | 40.4% |
| 19 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.4% | 51.5% |