Betting Market Analysis for Hero World Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 5/1 13.45% -3.84%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 8/1 9.4% -1.41%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 6.39% -2.26%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 6.13% -2.51%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 12/1 5.04% -2.82%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 8.39% 1.74%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.84% -2.92%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 6.47% 1.39%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 7.9% 3.35%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 4.95% 0.84%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 4.55% 0.43%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 2.88% -0.45%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 3.9% 0.92%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 3.88% 1.09%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 5.21% 2.67%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 52/1 1.27% -0.61%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 58/1 3.05% 1.36%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 77/1 4.31% 3.02%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 15.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 4 @ 1/4 19% 19%
2 Bet365 4 @ 1/4 22.8% 22.8%
3 William Hill 4 @ 1/4 23.2% 23.2%
4 Ladbrokes 4 @ 1/4 24.2% 24.2%
5 Coral 4 @ 1/4 24.2% 24.2%
6 Sportingbet 4 @ 1/4 24.2% 24.2%
7 Bet Victor 4 @ 1/4 25% 25%
8 Betway 4 @ 1/4 25.1% 25.1%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 5 @ 1/5 25.3% 25.3%
10 Boyle Sports 5 @ 1/5 26.9% 26.9%
11 Paddy Power 5 @ 1/5 27.5% 27.5%
12 SportPesa 4 @ 1/4 31.2% 31.2%
13 10Bet 4 @ 1/4 31.2% 31.2%
14 MoPlay 4 @ 1/4 31.2% 31.2%
15 Sport Nation 4 @ 1/4 31.2% 31.2%
16 Betfred 5 @ 1/5 31.3% 31.3%
17 Unibet 4 @ 1/4 31.9% 31.9%
18 VBet 4 @ 1/5 21.8% 33.9%
19 Marathon Bet 4 @ 1/5 28.1% 40.8%